ForensicHockey

Forensic report

50 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: PIT

PIT

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.22
xG (raw)
0.22
Deserve %
63.5%
Finishing luck
+3.78

EDM

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.13
xG (raw)
0.13
Deserve %
36.5%
Finishing luck
+1.87

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
87S. Crosby03320020:24
20C. Armstrong11221015:14
71E. Malkin02200121:04
25M. Talbot10110017:44
10G. Roberts000-20013:04
11J. Staal000-11116:52
12R. Malone00024017:12
16E. Christensen00001011:59
17P. Sykora00010016:15
27G. Laraque00000012:25
48T. Kennedy000-20015:43

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
3M. Eaton02220320:40
19R. Whitney101-10019:46
58K. Letang10100112:58
4R. Scuderi00020320:48
5D. Sydor000-10212:10
44B. Orpik000-11213:04
55S. Gonchar00010120:40

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Fleury19289.5%59:58W
D. SabourinNaN%

Shot map

50 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:19EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P3 17:41PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P3 16:21EDMShot on goalShawn Horcoff
  • P3 15:14PITShot on goalColby Armstrong
  • P3 13:30PITGoalRyan Whitney, Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin
  • P3 12:28Penalty
  • P3 12:12EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P3 10:57PITGoalColby Armstrong, Mark Eaton, Sidney Crosby
  • P3 08:50PITShot on goalSergei Gonchar
  • P3 08:16PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P3 08:15PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P3 06:26PITGoalKris Letang, Sidney Crosby, Colby Armstrong
  • P3 06:05PITGoalMax Talbot, Evgeni Malkin, Mark Eaton
  • P3 06:03PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P3 05:21PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P3 04:51PITShot on goalTyler Kennedy
  • P3 04:21EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 03:38EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P2 19:59EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P2 18:26EDMShot on goalKyle Brodziak
  • P2 17:22EDMGoalShawn Horcoff, Ales Hemsky
  • P2 17:07EDMShot on goalAllan Rourke
  • P2 14:57PITShot on goalSergei Gonchar
  • P2 12:37EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P2 10:08PITShot on goalBrooks Orpik
  • P2 07:56EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P2 06:48EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P2 05:21PITShot on goalKris Letang
  • P2 05:00PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P2 04:01PITShot on goalSergei Gonchar
  • P2 03:19Penalty
  • P2 03:17PITShot on goalErik Christensen
  • P2 03:10PITShot on goalErik Christensen
  • P2 02:44EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P2 01:56PITShot on goalMax Talbot
  • P1 18:56EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 17:46PITShot on goalMark Eaton
  • P1 16:25PITShot on goalSergei Gonchar
  • P1 15:53EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P1 14:14PITShot on goalDarryl Sydor
  • P1 11:40Penalty
  • P1 08:09PITShot on goalJordan Staal
  • P1 07:31PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P1 05:39EDMGoalRobert Nilsson, Joni Pitkanen, Kyle Brodziak
  • P1 05:05EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P1 05:03EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 04:49PITShot on goalKris Letang
  • P1 04:43PITShot on goalTyler Kennedy
  • P1 03:49PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P1 03:15PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P1 02:06PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P1 01:38EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P1 00:54PITShot on goalJordan Staal

PIT vs EDM · 53 events