ForensicHockey

Forensic report

63 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

SJS

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
48.3%
Finishing luck
+2.80

COL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
51.7%
Finishing luck
+1.79

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
19J. Thornton02220024:10
9M. Michalek10111019:21
25M. Grier10101118:38
26S. Bernier10101011:10
14J. Cheechoo01110014:57
17T. Mitchell01102215:33
8J. Pavelski00001113:56
12P. Marleau000-10020:19
16D. Setoguchi00001010:57
27J. Roenick00001011:57
34P. Rissmiller00000214:36

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
21A. Semenov01101217:20
52C. Rivet01115221:35
3D. Murray00001116:43
10C. Ehrhoff00001020:02
18M. Carle00011107:42
24S. Ozolinsh00001015:20
44M. Vlasic00001021:45

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
E. Nabokov35294.3%59:59W
D. PatzoldNaN%

Shot map

63 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:20COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P3 17:56SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
  • P3 16:55COLGoalAndrew Brunette, Brad Richardson
  • P3 16:51COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 16:33COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P3 15:18COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P3 14:04SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P3 14:03SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P3 13:20SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P3 13:13SJSShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P3 12:47SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P3 11:44Penalty
  • P3 11:34COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 11:10COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P3 10:17COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P3 08:50COLShot on goalBrad Richardson
  • P3 08:30SJSGoalMike Grier, Torrey Mitchell, Craig Rivet
  • P3 05:57COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P3 05:26COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P3 04:41COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P3 04:27COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P3 03:22COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 01:13COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P3 00:26COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 19:01COLShot on goalKarlis Skrastins
  • P2 17:52SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P2 17:45COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P2 14:57SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P2 14:45COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P2 14:35COLShot on goalBrad Richardson
  • P2 14:25SJSShot on goalSteve Bernier
  • P2 14:06SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
  • P2 12:59COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P2 12:52Penalty
  • P2 11:51COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P2 09:44COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P2 09:20SJSGoalSteve Bernier, Joe Thornton, Alexei Semenov
  • P2 07:09SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P2 06:41COLShot on goalKyle Cumiskey
  • P2 06:15COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P2 05:59SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P2 05:30COLShot on goalCody McCormick
  • P2 02:55SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
  • P2 02:36Penalty
  • P2 02:29SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P2 01:59SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P2 01:19Penalty
  • P1 19:50COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P1 19:14SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P1 16:35COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P1 16:01COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P1 15:57COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P1 15:52COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P1 12:34COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P1 12:07Penalty
  • P1 10:52SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P1 10:17SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P1 09:08SJSShot on goalMike Grier
  • P1 08:28SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
  • P1 07:55COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P1 05:59SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
  • P1 04:59COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P1 04:01SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P1 03:58SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P1 03:36Penalty
  • P1 03:26COLGoalMilan Hejduk, Kyle Cumiskey, Karlis Skrastins
  • P1 03:14SJSGoalMilan Michalek, Jonathan Cheechoo, Joe Thornton
  • P1 01:56SJSShot on goalPatrick Rissmiller
  • P1 00:53SJSShot on goalDevin Setoguchi

SJS vs COL · 69 events