ForensicHockey

Forensic report

50 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: DET

SJS

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.06
xG (raw)
0.06
Deserve %
18.9%
Finishing luck
+0.94

DET

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.28
xG (raw)
0.28
Deserve %
81.1%
Finishing luck
+4.72

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
8J. Pavelski00000113:30
9M. Michalek000-11017:44
12P. Marleau000-10115:57
14J. Cheechoo00000012:29
17T. Mitchell000-11115:15
19J. Thornton000-33218:18
25M. Grier000-11017:16
26S. Bernier000-10009:16
27J. Roenick000-32015:39
29R. Clowe000-34013:04
34P. Rissmiller000-12014:01

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
21A. Semenov101-34020:51
44M. Vlasic011-20021:28
4K. McLaren000-10221:51
5R. Davison00001005:20
10C. Ehrhoff000-11220:58
18M. Carle000-10114:45
52C. Rivet000-21120:13

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
E. Nabokov30486.7%48:12L
D. Patzold9188.9%11:48

Shot map

50 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 17:13DETShot on goalMatt Ellis
  • P3 15:26DETShot on goalDaniel Cleary
  • P3 14:08SJSGoalAlexei Semenov, Marc-Edouard Vlasic
  • P3 13:10Penalty
  • P3 10:38DETShot on goalBrett Lebda
  • P3 10:30DETShot on goalChris Chelios
  • P3 10:01DETShot on goalJiri Hudler
  • P3 09:54DETShot on goalMikael Samuelsson
  • P3 09:45SJSShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P3 09:23DETShot on goalHenrik Zetterberg
  • P3 08:34DETGoalKirk Maltby, Kris Draper, Daniel Cleary
  • P3 08:33DETShot on goalKris Draper
  • P3 08:12DETGoalHenrik Zetterberg, Pavel Datsyuk, Tomas Holmstrom
  • P3 05:39DETShot on goalChris Chelios
  • P3 04:26SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
  • P3 04:05DETShot on goalDaniel Cleary
  • P3 03:44DETShot on goalDaniel Cleary
  • P3 03:20DETShot on goalTomas Holmstrom
  • P3 02:36DETShot on goalHenrik Zetterberg
  • P3 02:20Penalty
  • P3 01:49SJSShot on goalPatrick Rissmiller
  • P3 01:02SJSShot on goalTorrey Mitchell
  • P3 00:39DETGoalHenrik Zetterberg, Tomas Holmstrom, Nicklas Lidstrom
  • P3 00:23DETShot on goalPavel Datsyuk
  • P2 18:42DETShot on goalKirk Maltby
  • P2 17:40Penalty
  • P2 16:54DETShot on goalHenrik Zetterberg
  • P2 15:29Penalty
  • P2 11:34DETShot on goalTomas Kopecky
  • P2 09:04SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
  • P2 08:18SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P2 07:24DETShot on goalTomas Kopecky
  • P2 07:00SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P2 06:13DETShot on goalJiri Hudler
  • P2 05:21DETShot on goalTomas Holmstrom
  • P2 05:21DETShot on goalHenrik Zetterberg
  • P2 04:33DETShot on goalNicklas Lidstrom
  • P2 04:11Penalty
  • P2 04:11Penalty
  • P2 04:11Penalty
  • P2 03:32DETShot on goalNiklas Kronwall
  • P1 19:16DETShot on goalTomas Holmstrom
  • P1 18:15DETShot on goalNicklas Lidstrom
  • P1 17:17DETShot on goalHenrik Zetterberg
  • P1 16:52Penalty
  • P1 16:52Penalty
  • P1 16:51DETShot on goalPavel Datsyuk
  • P1 15:31DETGoalAndreas Lilja, Valtteri Filppula, Niklas Kronwall
  • P1 15:08DETShot on goalHenrik Zetterberg
  • P1 14:36DETShot on goalHenrik Zetterberg
  • P1 14:26DETShot on goalTomas Holmstrom
  • P1 13:51SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P1 13:15DETShot on goalBrett Lebda
  • P1 12:53DETShot on goalKris Draper
  • P1 06:54Penalty
  • P1 06:38SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P1 06:19SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P1 02:50DETShot on goalChris Chelios
  • P1 02:21DETShot on goalTomas Kopecky
  • P1 01:23DETGoalValtteri Filppula, Mikael Samuelsson, Chris Osgood

SJS vs DET · 60 events