ForensicHockey

Forensic report

51 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: SJS

SJS

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
51.3%
Finishing luck
+1.81

COL

Goals
6
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
48.7%
Finishing luck
+5.82

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
29R. Clowe20212012:37
8J. Pavelski01111315:46
26S. Bernier01111012:05
9M. Michalek000-11013:06
11M. Goc000-10112:53
12P. Marleau000-20017:54
14J. Cheechoo000-20015:16
17T. Mitchell000-10014:11
19J. Thornton000-20016:51
25M. Grier000-13214:17
27J. Roenick000-11211:29
34P. Rissmiller000-10012:56

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
10C. Ehrhoff011-20222:45
18M. Carle01101221:01
3D. Murray00000009:30
4K. McLaren000-10021:29
44M. Vlasic000-20024:21
52C. Rivet000-12221:15

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
E. Nabokov23673.9%48:06L
D. Patzold20100.0%11:47

Shot map

51 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 17:53SJSGoalRyane Clowe, Steve Bernier, Matt Carle
  • P3 16:33SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P3 16:14SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P3 16:05Penalty
  • P3 15:41COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P3 13:48Penalty
  • P3 13:48Penalty
  • P3 13:48Penalty
  • P3 13:18COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P3 12:45SJSShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P3 11:04Penalty
  • P3 09:03Penalty
  • P3 08:32SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P3 08:06COLGoalRyan Smyth, Paul Stastny
  • P3 07:48COLGoalMarek Svatos, Jeff Finger, Tyler Arnason
  • P3 07:16COLShot on goalKurt Sauer
  • P3 07:11COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P3 07:09COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P3 04:08Penalty
  • P3 04:08Penalty
  • P3 02:47COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 02:47COLGoalMilan Hejduk, Ryan Smyth, Paul Stastny
  • P3 02:23SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P3 02:03SJSShot on goalKyle McLaren
  • P3 00:51COLGoalPaul Stastny, Milan Hejduk, Jordan Leopold
  • P3 00:22COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P2 17:19SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P2 16:48COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 12:38SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P2 12:13SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P2 11:14Penalty
  • P2 10:12COLShot on goalWyatt Smith
  • P2 09:39SJSShot on goalTorrey Mitchell
  • P2 08:28SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P2 07:47SJSGoalRyane Clowe, Joe Pavelski, Christian Ehrhoff
  • P2 07:46SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
  • P2 07:20COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P2 06:10SJSShot on goalTorrey Mitchell
  • P2 06:09SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P2 06:05SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P2 04:48SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
  • P2 04:21Penalty
  • P2 02:29Penalty
  • P2 02:00SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
  • P2 01:56Penalty
  • P1 19:14SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
  • P1 18:46COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 17:53COLGoalMilan Hejduk, Joe Sakic, Paul Stastny
  • P1 17:39Penalty
  • P1 17:28SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
  • P1 16:49COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P1 15:18COLGoalJoe Sakic, Paul Stastny, John-Michael Liles
  • P1 14:55Penalty
  • P1 14:55Penalty
  • P1 14:54COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P1 11:11COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 08:31COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P1 07:15Penalty
  • P1 07:14COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P1 05:55COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 04:58SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P1 03:58SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P1 03:49SJSShot on goalSteve Bernier
  • P1 03:39SJSShot on goalPatrick Rissmiller
  • P1 03:09SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P1 02:51COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P1 01:12Penalty
  • P1 00:29COLShot on goalJordan Leopold

SJS vs COL · 68 events