Forensic report
101 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
MTL
- Goals
- 6
- xG (flurry)
- 0.73
- xG (raw)
- 0.74
- Deserve %
- 42.3%
- Finishing luck
- +5.27
BUF
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 1.00
- xG (raw)
- 1.03
- Deserve %
- 57.7%
- Finishing luck
- +2.00
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | N. Suzuki | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20:45 | |
| 20 | J. Slafkovský | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 19:17 | |
| 93 | I. Demidov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14:44 | |
| 24 | P. Danault | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16:00 | |
| 13 | C. Caufield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:48 | |
| 17 | J. Anderson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | |
| 71 | J. Evans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | |
| 85 | A. Texier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | |
| 15 | A. Newhook | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16:15 | |
| 76 | Z. Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 09:52 | |
| 77 | K. Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 09:05 | |
| 90 | J. Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 09:56 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | L. Hutson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:33 | |
| 45 | A. Carrier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23:27 | |
| 8 | M. Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 26:18 | |
| 21 | K. Guhle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:38 | |
| 53 | N. Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20:20 | |
| 72 | A. Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 07:16 |
Shot map
101 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:52MTLFaceoffJoe Veleno
- P3 19:52—Stoppage—
- P3 19:46BUFBlocked shotLuke Schenn
- P3 18:42BUFHitOwen Power
- P3 18:39BUFBlocked shotKonsta Helenius
- P3 18:35BUFMissed shotOwen Power
- P3 18:22BUFMissed shotRyan McLeod
- P3 18:11BUFBlocked shotOwen Power
- P3 17:50MTLFaceoffJake Evans
- P3 17:50—Penalty—
- P3 17:50—Penalty—
- P3 17:50—Stoppage—
- P3 17:49BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin
- P3 17:30BUFShot on goalJosh Norris
- P3 16:32MTLFaceoffJake Evans
- P3 16:32—Penalty—
- P3 16:32—Penalty—
- P3 16:32—Penalty—
- P3 16:30—delayed penalty—
- P3 15:56BUFFaceoffRyan McLeod
- P3 15:56—Stoppage—
- P3 15:44BUFBlocked shotTage Thompson
- P3 15:29BUFBlocked shotTage Thompson
- P3 15:28BUFFaceoffJosh Norris
- P3 15:28—Stoppage—
- P3 15:23MTLMissed shotJuraj Slafkovský
- P3 15:22—Giveaway—
- P3 15:08BUFShot on goalAlex Tuch
- P3 14:58BUFBlocked shotAlex Tuch
- P3 14:41BUFBlocked shotAlex Tuch
- P3 14:38—Giveaway—
- P3 14:28BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin
- P3 14:23BUFFaceoffRyan McLeod
- P3 14:23—Stoppage—
- P3 14:21BUFShot on goalMattias Samuelsson
- P3 14:02—Takeaway—
- P3 13:55BUFHitJosh Norris
- P3 13:51BUFShot on goalTage Thompson
- P3 13:31MTLFaceoffPhillip Danault
- P3 13:31—Stoppage—
- P3 13:29BUFMissed shotZach Benson
- P3 13:15BUFFaceoffJosh Norris
- P3 13:15—Stoppage—
- P3 13:09—Giveaway—
- P3 12:37BUFShot on goalBowen Byram
- P3 12:01—Giveaway—
- P3 11:56BUFFaceoffAlex Tuch
- P3 11:56—Stoppage—
- P3 11:54BUFBlocked shotJack Quinn
- P3 11:46BUFMissed shotJack Quinn
- P3 11:27BUFHitMattias Samuelsson
- P3 11:19BUFHitJosh Doan
- P3 10:35MTLFaceoffJoe Veleno
- P3 10:35—Stoppage—
- P3 10:32MTLBlocked shotKaiden Guhle
- P3 10:06MTLFaceoffPhillip Danault
- P3 10:06—Stoppage—
- P3 10:04BUFShot on goalJack Quinn
- P3 09:42BUFMissed shotJosh Doan
- P3 09:33BUFBlocked shotRasmus Dahlin
- P3 09:31BUFShot on goalJosh Doan
- P3 09:30BUFShot on goalJosh Norris
- P3 09:29BUFShot on goalJosh Norris
- P3 09:28BUFBlocked shotJosh Doan
- P3 09:26BUFShot on goalMattias Samuelsson
- P3 09:02MTLFaceoffPhillip Danault
- P3 09:02—Stoppage—
- P3 09:00BUFShot on goalBowen Byram
- P3 08:56BUFShot on goalAlex Tuch
- P3 08:48BUFMissed shotOwen Power
- P3 07:45BUFMissed shotPeyton Krebs
- P3 07:44BUFFaceoffPeyton Krebs
- P3 07:44—Stoppage—
- P3 07:41BUFShot on goalJosh Doan
- P3 07:32MTLHitKaiden Guhle
- P3 07:27—Giveaway—
- P3 07:11BUFBlocked shotBowen Byram
- P3 06:13BUFFaceoffRyan McLeod
- P3 06:13—Stoppage—
- P3 06:11—Giveaway—
- P3 06:08BUFHitKonsta Helenius
- P3 06:03—Giveaway—
- P3 05:44MTLMissed shotNoah Dobson
- P3 05:01MTLFaceoffPhillip Danault
- P3 05:01—Stoppage—
- P3 04:59BUFShot on goalTage Thompson
- P3 04:58MTLHitNoah Dobson
- P3 04:02MTLHitZachary Bolduc
- P3 03:58MTLShot on goalKirby Dach
- P3 03:32BUFFaceoffKonsta Helenius
- P3 03:32MTLGoalIvan Demidov, Juraj Slafkovský, Nick Suzuki
- P3 03:07MTLBlocked shotIvan Demidov
- P3 02:53MTLBlocked shotLane Hutson
- P3 02:09BUFFaceoffJordan Greenway
- P3 02:09—Penalty—
- P3 02:07—delayed penalty—
- P3 02:07MTLBlocked shotAlex Newhook
- P3 01:56BUFShot on goalMattias Samuelsson
- P3 01:50BUFFaceoffJosh Norris
- P3 01:50—Stoppage—
- P3 01:48BUFShot on goalJordan Greenway
- P3 01:40BUFFaceoffRyan McLeod
- P3 01:40—Stoppage—
- P3 01:15—Takeaway—
- P3 00:58MTLFaceoffPhillip Danault
- P3 00:58—Stoppage—
- P3 00:49MTLShot on goalJuraj Slafkovský
- P3 00:38BUFMissed shotZach Benson
- P3 00:35BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin
- P3 00:32BUFShot on goalZach Benson
- P3 00:28BUFMissed shotRasmus Dahlin
- P3 00:25BUFMissed shotZach Benson
- P3 00:07—Takeaway—
- P3 00:00BUFFaceoffJosh Norris
- P2 19:04MTLShot on goalKaiden Guhle
- P2 19:00BUFBlocked shotJosh Norris
- P2 17:41MTLShot on goalAlexandre Carrier
- P2 17:33MTLFaceoffPhillip Danault
- P2 17:33MTLGoalNick Suzuki, Juraj Slafkovský, Lane Hutson
- P2 17:23BUFFaceoffRyan McLeod
MTL vs BUF · 326 events