Forensic report
110 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TOR
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 1.07
- xG (raw)
- 1.08
- Deserve %
- 63.1%
- Finishing luck
- +1.93
VAN
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.62
- xG (raw)
- 0.63
- Deserve %
- 36.9%
- Finishing luck
- +1.38
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | M. Domi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:08 | |
| 55 | N. Roy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:00 | |
| 34 | A. Matthews | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:30 | |
| 74 | B. McMann | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17:35 | |
| 89 | N. Robertson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:02 | |
| 18 | S. Lorentz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 08:31 | |
| 19 | C. Jarnkrok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:16 | |
| 23 | M. Knies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:33 | |
| 24 | S. Laughton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:30 | |
| 63 | M. Maccelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 17:06 | |
| 88 | W. Nylander | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 | |
| 91 | J. Tavares | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 19:03 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | O. Ekman-Larsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28:10 | |
| 22 | J. McCabe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27:40 | |
| 25 | B. Carlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:44 | |
| 28 | T. Stecher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:29 | |
| 44 | M. Rielly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | |
| 83 | M. Rifai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 09:40 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stolarz | 0 | 0 | NaN% | 00:00 | — |
| J. Woll | 30 | 2 | 93.3% | 65:00 | W |
Shot map
110 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P5 00:00—shootout complete—
- P5 00:00TORGoalAuston Matthews
- P5 00:00VANShot on goalElias Pettersson
- P5 00:00TORGoalWilliam Nylander
- P5 00:00VANMissed shotJake DeBrusk
- P4 04:54TORMissed shotAuston Matthews
- P4 04:41VANMissed shotElias Pettersson
- P4 04:06—Takeaway—
- P4 03:46VANFaceoffDavid Kampf
- P4 03:46TORShot on goalAuston Matthews
- P4 03:46—Stoppage—
- P4 03:46—Penalty—
- P4 03:44TORShot on goalAuston Matthews
- P4 03:36VANMissed shotElias Pettersson
- P4 03:18VANMissed shotConor Garland
- P4 03:12VANShot on goalConor Garland
- P4 03:08—Takeaway—
- P4 02:36TORMissed shotWilliam Nylander
- P4 02:28VANShot on goalConor Garland
- P4 02:28—Giveaway—
- P4 02:12VANBlocked shotDrew O'Connor
- P4 02:02TORShot on goalWilliam Nylander
- P4 01:39TORMissed shotJohn Tavares
- P4 01:23VANFaceoffDavid Kampf
- P4 01:23—Stoppage—
- P4 01:19TORBlocked shotJohn Tavares
- P4 01:02VANHitFilip Hronek
- P4 00:58TORShot on goalWilliam Nylander
- P4 00:25VANShot on goalJake DeBrusk
- P4 00:24VANShot on goalJake DeBrusk
- P4 00:08VANFaceoffDavid Kampf
- P4 00:08—Stoppage—
- P4 00:06TORShot on goalJake McCabe
- P4 00:00VANFaceoffDavid Kampf
- P3 19:44TORFaceoffJohn Tavares
- P3 19:44—Stoppage—
- P3 19:31TORShot on goalOliver Ekman-Larsson
- P3 19:25TORFaceoffJohn Tavares
- P3 19:25—Stoppage—
- P3 19:23TORShot on goalMatthew Knies
- P3 19:10VANShot on goalEvander Kane
- P3 19:06TORBlocked shotMatthew Knies
- P3 18:59TORMissed shotWilliam Nylander
- P3 18:58TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 18:58—Stoppage—
- P3 18:13TORHitJohn Tavares
- P3 18:06TORMissed shotMax Domi
- P3 18:03VANHitTeddy Blueger
- P3 17:43—Giveaway—
- P3 17:23VANMissed shotConor Garland
- P3 17:14VANFaceoffTeddy Blueger
- P3 17:14—Stoppage—
- P3 17:12TORShot on goalTroy Stecher
- P3 17:00VANMissed shotTom Willander
- P3 16:55VANMissed shotElias Pettersson
- P3 16:28VANShot on goalTyler Myers
- P3 16:23VANMissed shotElias Pettersson
- P3 16:20VANShot on goalLinus Karlsson
- P3 15:59TORMissed shotMax Domi
- P3 15:31—Giveaway—
- P3 15:27TORBlocked shotCalle Jarnkrok
- P3 15:20TORShot on goalCalle Jarnkrok
- P3 15:19—Giveaway—
- P3 15:13TORMissed shotScott Laughton
- P3 15:09TORBlocked shotSteven Lorentz
- P3 14:24VANHitTyler Myers
- P3 14:03VANFaceoffDavid Kampf
- P3 14:03—Stoppage—
- P3 14:02TORBlocked shotNicholas Robertson
- P3 13:36—Takeaway—
- P3 12:50TORMissed shotBobby McMann
- P3 12:28TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 12:28—Stoppage—
- P3 12:25TORShot on goalTroy Stecher
- P3 12:03VANFaceoffDavid Kampf
- P3 12:03—Stoppage—
- P3 10:57TORShot on goalAuston Matthews
- P3 10:51TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 10:51—Stoppage—
- P3 10:47TORShot on goalMatthew Knies
- P3 09:42TORFaceoffScott Laughton
- P3 09:42—Stoppage—
- P3 09:33TORHitSteven Lorentz
- P3 09:17TORBlocked shotTroy Stecher
- P3 09:06TORHitJake McCabe
- P3 09:00VANHitAatu Räty
- P3 08:54TORShot on goalJohn Tavares
- P3 08:38VANMissed shotJake DeBrusk
- P3 08:37TORHitOliver Ekman-Larsson
- P3 08:16TORMissed shotMax Domi
- P3 08:13TORShot on goalAuston Matthews
- P3 07:06TORBlocked shotNicholas Robertson
- P3 06:15—Giveaway—
- P3 06:00VANShot on goalConor Garland
- P3 05:59TORMissed shotJake McCabe
- P3 05:55TORShot on goalJohn Tavares
- P3 05:53TORShot on goalJohn Tavares
- P3 05:47TORBlocked shotWilliam Nylander
- P3 05:42TORFaceoffJohn Tavares
- P3 05:42—Stoppage—
- P3 05:40TORMissed shotJohn Tavares
- P3 05:38TORBlocked shotBrandon Carlo
- P3 05:37—Giveaway—
- P3 05:33TORShot on goalBrandon Carlo
- P3 05:11—Giveaway—
- P3 05:04TORBlocked shotBobby McMann
- P3 04:43VANMissed shotFilip Chytil
- P3 04:34VANFaceoffDavid Kampf
- P3 04:34—Stoppage—
- P3 04:30TORMissed shotScott Laughton
- P3 04:24TORHitSteven Lorentz
- P3 04:18TORMissed shotScott Laughton
- P3 03:47VANShot on goalTeddy Blueger
- P3 03:36TORShot on goalNicholas Robertson
- P3 03:08TORBlocked shotJake McCabe
- P3 03:06TORFaceoffNicolas Roy
- P3 03:06—Stoppage—
- P3 03:04TORShot on goalTroy Stecher
- P3 02:53TORShot on goalMatias Maccelli
- P3 02:32TORFaceoffJohn Tavares
TOR vs VAN · 331 events