Deserve to win
49–51%
If both goalies were league average
TBL
3–1
SOG 16–27
xG 0.68 – 0.72
BUF
Snapshot at 4:57:33 PM
Static box score →Live insights
Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync
Game xG
0.68–0.72
Δ -0.04
Finishing vs xG
TBL +2.3
Outscoring shot quality
TBL
Shot threat
Conor Sheary
2 attempts · 0.15 xG
TBL
Scoring chances
1–1
Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0
Last goal
C. de Haan
P3 18:44 · 3–1
TBL
Top game score
N. Paul · 1.65
1G 1A undefined SOG · TOI 18:29
TBL
Win probability
TBL 100%
P1 · P2 · P3
P1P2P3
TBLBUF
Shot zone
Live attempt map with expected goals
TBL 0.68 xGBUF 0.72 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Highlights
Goals and big plays with NHL video
Play-by-play
Live feed · new plays animate in
- P3 19:57TBLFaceoffTyler Motte
- P3 19:57—Stoppage—
- P3 19:55BUFShot on goalOwen Power1.2% xG
- P3 19:34TBLMissed shotNikita Kucherov0.9% xG
- P3 19:33TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P3 19:33—Stoppage—
- P3 19:27TBLBlocked shotBrandon Hagel0.9% xG
- P3 18:59—Giveaway—
- P3 18:59BUFShot on goalRyan Johnson0.6% xG
- P3 18:55BUFShot on goalCasey Mittelstadt0.5% xG
- P3 18:44TBLFaceoffAnthony Cirelli
- P3 18:44TBLGoalCalvin de Haan, Brandon Hagel, Nick Paul
- P3 18:36TBLMissed shotNick Paul0.9% xG
- P3 18:33—Takeaway—
- P3 18:32TBLMissed shotBrandon Hagel0.4% xG
- P3 18:20BUFBlocked shotJordan Greenway1.3% xG
- P3 17:58TBLBlocked shotVictor Hedman0.5% xG
- P3 17:44—Takeaway—
- P3 17:30BUFHitMattias Samuelsson
- P3 16:38TBLBlocked shotCalvin de Haan1.1% xG
- P3 16:03TBLHitAustin Watson
- P3 15:52BUFShot on goalKyle Okposo8.5% xG
- P3 15:49BUFBlocked shotVictor Olofsson1.0% xG
- P3 15:37BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin0.7% xG
- P3 14:52TBLMissed shotVictor Hedman0.5% xG
- P3 14:26TBLMissed shotVictor Hedman1.0% xG
- P3 14:18—Takeaway—
- P3 14:13BUFMissed shotConnor Clifton0.6% xG
- P3 13:53—Giveaway—
- P3 13:43BUFFaceoffTage Thompson
- P3 13:43—Stoppage—
- P3 13:42BUFShot on goalJJ Peterka0.9% xG
- P3 13:38BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin1.2% xG
- P3 13:13BUFMissed shotDylan Cozens0.6% xG
- P3 12:40BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P3 12:40—Penalty—
- P3 12:40—Stoppage—
- P3 12:37BUFShot on goalCasey Mittelstadt4.0% xG
- P3 11:56TBLFaceoffLuke Glendening
- P3 11:56—Penalty—
- P3 11:40BUFMissed shotOwen Power0.6% xG
- P3 11:37BUFHitJack Quinn
- P3 11:32BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P3 11:32—Stoppage—
- P3 11:29BUFShot on goalDylan Cozens0.6% xG
- P3 10:51—Giveaway—
- P3 10:51BUFMissed shotTage Thompson0.6% xG
- P3 10:31TBLFaceoffLuke Glendening
- P3 10:31—Stoppage—
- P3 10:06TBLHitCalvin de Haan
- P3 10:05BUFMissed shotAlex Tuch1.0% xG
- P3 10:04—Takeaway—
- P3 09:33BUFHitJordan Greenway
- P3 09:29BUFHitJordan Greenway
- P3 09:03—Giveaway—
- P3 08:31BUFHitHenri Jokiharju
- P3 07:52—Takeaway—
- P3 07:45TBLFaceoffTyler Motte
- P3 07:45—Stoppage—
- P3 07:36TBLShot on goalSteven Stamkos0.9% xG
- P3 07:19TBLHitNick Paul
- P3 06:45BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin0.5% xG
- P3 06:37BUFFaceoffTage Thompson
- P3 06:37—Stoppage—
- P3 06:35BUFBlocked shotCasey Mittelstadt1.5% xG
- P3 06:33BUFFaceoffTage Thompson
- P3 06:33—Stoppage—
- P3 06:17TBLHitEmil Lilleberg
- P3 06:07—Takeaway—
- P3 05:46TBLMissed shotVictor Hedman0.8% xG
- P3 05:38TBLMissed shotBrandon Hagel1.1% xG
- P3 05:37BUFHitConnor Clifton
- P3 05:03BUFBlocked shotRasmus Dahlin1.5% xG
- P3 05:02BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P3 05:02—Stoppage—
- P3 05:00BUFShot on goalCasey Mittelstadt4.4% xG
- P3 04:58BUFShot on goalAlex Tuch0.6% xG
- P3 04:15BUFBlocked shotRasmus Dahlin0.5% xG
- P3 04:10BUFBlocked shotOwen Power2.0% xG
- P3 03:49TBLFaceoffLuke Glendening
- P3 03:49—Stoppage—
- P3 03:46BUFShot on goalKyle Okposo1.0% xG
- P3 01:11TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P3 01:11—Stoppage—
- P3 01:09BUFShot on goalOwen Power1.0% xG
- P3 01:05BUFFaceoffTage Thompson
- P3 01:05—Stoppage—
- P3 00:58BUFShot on goalAlex Tuch1.2% xG
- P3 00:00BUFFaceoffJordan Greenway
- P2 18:28BUFHitConnor Clifton
- P2 18:25TBLShot on goalBrandon Hagel3.1% xG
- P2 18:23TBLBlocked shotConor Sheary5.4% xG
- P2 18:20TBLBlocked shotAnthony Cirelli1.0% xG
- P2 18:11TBLShot on goalMichael Eyssimont6.3% xG
- P2 17:49BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P2 17:49—Stoppage—
- P2 17:34—Giveaway—
- P2 17:24TBLMissed shotSteven Stamkos2.1% xG
- P2 16:44TBLShot on goalBrayden Point2.8% xG
- P2 16:18BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P2 16:18—Penalty—
- P2 15:49BUFMissed shotTage Thompson1.1% xG
- P2 15:18—Takeaway—
- P2 14:36TBLBlocked shotCalvin de Haan0.5% xG
- P2 14:23BUFBlocked shotJJ Peterka1.2% xG
- P2 14:13TBLFaceoffNick Paul
- P2 14:13—Stoppage—
- P2 13:58BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P2 13:52TBLFaceoffAnthony Cirelli
- P2 13:52BUFGoalDylan Cozens, JJ Peterka, Rasmus Dahlin
- P2 13:47BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin0.5% xG
- P2 13:42TBLHitEmil Lilleberg
- P2 13:35BUFMissed shotMattias Samuelsson0.9% xG
- P2 13:16—Giveaway—
- P2 12:30BUFShot on goalVictor Olofsson3.5% xG
- P2 12:17BUFFaceoffKyle Okposo
- P2 12:17—Stoppage—
- P2 12:16BUFBlocked shotConnor Clifton0.9% xG
- P2 11:39TBLHitDarren Raddysh
- P2 10:59TBLFaceoffNick Paul
- P2 10:59—Stoppage—
- P2 10:56BUFBlocked shotJJ Peterka0.9% xG
- P2 10:36TBLHitMichael Eyssimont
- P2 10:27TBLBlocked shotCalvin de Haan0.9% xG
- P2 10:07TBLShot on goalNick Perbix0.7% xG
- P2 10:06TBLFaceoffTyler Motte
- P2 10:06—Stoppage—
- P2 10:02TBLHitTyler Motte
- P2 09:01TBLShot on goalConor Sheary9.4% xG
- P2 09:00TBLMissed shotAnthony Cirelli2.3% xG
- P2 07:28TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P2 07:28—Penalty—
- P2 07:24—delayed penalty—
- P2 07:11TBLBlocked shotNick Paul4.0% xG
- P2 07:10TBLShot on goalAnthony Cirelli1.0% xG
- P2 07:02BUFHitAlex Tuch
- P2 06:44TBLShot on goalAnthony Cirelli0.7% xG
- P2 06:23TBLFaceoffNick Paul
- P2 06:23—Stoppage—
- P2 06:21BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin2.3% xG
- P2 06:18BUFBlocked shotZach Benson0.8% xG
- P2 06:08TBLFaceoffLuke Glendening
- P2 06:08—Stoppage—
- P2 05:38BUFBlocked shotMattias Samuelsson1.4% xG
- P2 05:13TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P2 05:13—Stoppage—
- P2 04:45BUFHitAlex Tuch
- P2 04:26BUFMissed shotRasmus Dahlin0.8% xG
- P2 04:20BUFFaceoffTage Thompson
- P2 04:20—Stoppage—
- P2 03:55BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P2 03:55—Stoppage—
- P2 03:50BUFShot on goalHenri Jokiharju0.9% xG
- P2 03:31BUFShot on goalVictor Olofsson0.6% xG
- P2 03:26TBLBlocked shotNick Perbix0.8% xG
- P2 03:24TBLFaceoffLuke Glendening
- P2 03:24—Stoppage—
- P2 03:03BUFBlocked shotHenri Jokiharju0.7% xG
- P2 02:56TBLHitEmil Lilleberg
- P2 02:30TBLMissed shotBrayden Point1.6% xG
- P2 02:03TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P2 02:03—Stoppage—
- P2 01:37TBLShot on goalVictor Hedman0.6% xG
- P2 01:34TBLHitNick Paul
- P2 01:30TBLMissed shotNick Paul3.8% xG
- P2 01:23TBLShot on goalBrandon Hagel1.7% xG
- P2 01:03BUFHitRasmus Dahlin
- P2 00:39—Takeaway—
- P2 00:18TBLMissed shotCalvin de Haan0.6% xG
- P2 00:00TBLFaceoffAnthony Cirelli
- P1 19:59TBLMissed shotNikita Kucherov1.1% xG
- P1 19:57—Giveaway—
- P1 19:39BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P1 19:27BUFMissed shotRasmus Dahlin0.5% xG
- P1 19:21BUFMissed shotZemgus Girgensons1.2% xG
- P1 19:20BUFShot on goalJack Quinn1.2% xG
- P1 19:04TBLHitDarren Raddysh
- P1 18:44TBLHitVictor Hedman
- P1 17:41TBLHitMaxwell Crozier
- P1 17:24—Takeaway—
- P1 16:22TBLMissed shotVictor Hedman0.4% xG
- P1 15:28—Giveaway—
- P1 15:22BUFMissed shotZemgus Girgensons0.7% xG
- P1 15:18BUFMissed shotRyan Johnson0.7% xG
- P1 15:04TBLFaceoffNick Paul
- P1 15:04—Stoppage—
- P1 15:03BUFShot on goalJJ Peterka2.0% xG
- P1 14:19TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P1 14:19—Stoppage—
- P1 14:07TBLBlocked shotEmil Lilleberg0.7% xG
- P1 13:56TBLShot on goalMaxwell Crozier0.5% xG
- P1 13:37BUFMissed shotRasmus Dahlin0.5% xG
- P1 13:19TBLShot on goalBrayden Point1.2% xG
- P1 13:16—Takeaway—
- P1 12:29BUFMissed shotJordan Greenway2.3% xG
- P1 12:19BUFFaceoffJordan Greenway
- P1 12:19—Stoppage—
- P1 12:18TBLShot on goalNick Paul1.2% xG
- P1 12:12—Takeaway—
- P1 12:02BUFFaceoffTage Thompson
- P1 12:02—Stoppage—
- P1 11:37BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P1 11:37—Stoppage—
- P1 10:45—Takeaway—
- P1 10:22TBLFaceoffLuke Glendening
- P1 10:22—Stoppage—
- P1 09:04BUFHitRasmus Dahlin
- P1 08:58BUFBlocked shotKyle Okposo0.9% xG
- P1 08:48BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P1 08:37BUFHitMattias Samuelsson
- P1 07:57BUFShot on goalJack Quinn1.9% xG
- P1 07:06BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P1 07:06TBLGoalTyler Motte
- P1 07:01—Giveaway—
- P1 06:50BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P1 06:50—Stoppage—
- P1 06:49BUFShot on goalZach Benson1.0% xG
- P1 06:31BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P1 06:31—Stoppage—
- P1 06:31—Penalty—
- P1 06:28BUFShot on goalTage Thompson0.9% xG
- P1 06:22BUFHitAlex Tuch
- P1 06:14BUFFaceoffTage Thompson
- P1 06:14TBLGoalNick Paul, Brandon Hagel, Anthony Cirelli
- P1 05:52TBLFaceoffAnthony Cirelli
- P1 05:52—Stoppage—
- P1 05:44BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P1 05:44—Stoppage—
- P1 05:43TBLBlocked shotTyler Motte0.7% xG
- P1 05:38BUFHitJack Quinn
- P1 05:13TBLFaceoffAnthony Cirelli
- P1 05:13—Stoppage—
- P1 05:07—Takeaway—
- P1 04:23BUFMissed shotJJ Peterka1.0% xG
- P1 04:20TBLHitMaxwell Crozier
- P1 03:33TBLMissed shotVictor Hedman0.6% xG
- P1 03:00BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P1 01:54TBLHitCalvin de Haan
- P1 01:35BUFFaceoffAlex Tuch
- P1 01:35—Stoppage—
- P1 01:32TBLHitDarren Raddysh
- P1 01:09TBLMissed shotSteven Stamkos1.0% xG
- P1 00:42TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P1 00:42—Stoppage—
- P1 00:24BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P1 00:24—Stoppage—
- P1 00:22BUFShot on goalZach Benson1.1% xG
- P1 00:00TBLFaceoffAnthony Cirelli
TBL vs BUF
Shot tracker
Every attempt with live expected goals
- P1 00:22BUFZach Benson1.1%
- P1 01:09TBLSteven Stamkos1.0%
- P1 03:33TBLVictor Hedman0.6%
- P1 04:23BUFJJ Peterka1.0%
- P1 05:43TBLTyler Motte0.7%
- P1 06:14TBLNick PaulGOAL
- P1 06:28BUFTage Thompson0.9%
- P1 06:49BUFZach Benson1.0%
- P1 07:06TBLTyler MotteGOAL
- P1 07:57BUFJack Quinn1.9%
- P1 08:58BUFKyle Okposo0.9%
- P1 12:18TBLNick Paul1.2%
- P1 12:29BUFJordan Greenway2.3%
- P1 13:19TBLBrayden Point1.2%
- P1 13:37BUFRasmus Dahlin0.5%
- P1 13:56TBLMaxwell Crozier0.5%
- P1 14:07TBLEmil Lilleberg0.7%
- P1 15:03BUFJJ Peterka2.0%
- P1 15:18BUFRyan Johnson0.7%
- P1 15:22BUFZemgus Girgensons0.7%
- P1 16:22TBLVictor Hedman0.4%
- P1 19:20BUFJack Quinn1.2%
- P1 19:21BUFZemgus Girgensons1.2%
- P1 19:27BUFRasmus Dahlin0.5%
- P1 19:59TBLNikita Kucherov1.1%
- P2 00:18TBLCalvin de Haan0.6%
- P2 01:23TBLBrandon Hagel1.7%
- P2 01:30TBLNick Paul3.8%
- P2 01:37TBLVictor Hedman0.6%
- P2 02:30TBLBrayden Point1.6%
- P2 03:03BUFHenri Jokiharju0.7%
- P2 03:26TBLNick Perbix0.8%
- P2 03:31BUFVictor Olofsson0.6%
- P2 03:50BUFHenri Jokiharju0.9%
- P2 04:26BUFRasmus Dahlin0.8%
- P2 05:38BUFMattias Samuelsson1.4%
- P2 06:18BUFZach Benson0.8%
- P2 06:21BUFRasmus Dahlin2.3%
- P2 06:44TBLAnthony Cirelli0.7%
- P2 07:10TBLAnthony Cirelli1.0%
- P2 07:11TBLNick Paul4.0%
- P2 09:00TBLAnthony Cirelli2.3%
- P2 09:01TBLConor Sheary9.4%
- P2 10:07TBLNick Perbix0.7%
- P2 10:27TBLCalvin de Haan0.9%
- P2 10:56BUFJJ Peterka0.9%
- P2 12:16BUFConnor Clifton0.9%
- P2 12:30BUFVictor Olofsson3.5%
- P2 13:35BUFMattias Samuelsson0.9%
- P2 13:47BUFRasmus Dahlin0.5%
- P2 13:52BUFDylan CozensGOAL
- P2 14:23BUFJJ Peterka1.2%
- P2 14:36TBLCalvin de Haan0.5%
- P2 15:49BUFTage Thompson1.1%
- P2 16:44TBLBrayden Point2.8%
- P2 17:24TBLSteven Stamkos2.1%
- P2 18:11TBLMichael Eyssimont6.3%
- P2 18:20TBLAnthony Cirelli1.0%
- P2 18:23TBLConor Sheary5.4%
- P2 18:25TBLBrandon Hagel3.1%
- P3 00:58BUFAlex Tuch1.2%
- P3 01:09BUFOwen Power1.0%
- P3 03:46BUFKyle Okposo1.0%
- P3 04:10BUFOwen Power2.0%
- P3 04:15BUFRasmus Dahlin0.5%
- P3 04:58BUFAlex Tuch0.6%
- P3 05:00BUFCasey Mittelstadt4.4%
- P3 05:03BUFRasmus Dahlin1.5%
- P3 05:38TBLBrandon Hagel1.1%
- P3 05:46TBLVictor Hedman0.8%
- P3 06:35BUFCasey Mittelstadt1.5%
- P3 06:45BUFRasmus Dahlin0.5%
- P3 07:36TBLSteven Stamkos0.9%
- P3 10:05BUFAlex Tuch1.0%
- P3 10:51BUFTage Thompson0.6%
- P3 11:29BUFDylan Cozens0.6%
- P3 11:40BUFOwen Power0.6%
- P3 12:37BUFCasey Mittelstadt4.0%
- P3 13:13BUFDylan Cozens0.6%
- P3 13:38BUFRasmus Dahlin1.2%
- P3 13:42BUFJJ Peterka0.9%
- P3 14:13BUFConnor Clifton0.6%
- P3 14:26TBLVictor Hedman1.0%
- P3 14:52TBLVictor Hedman0.5%
- P3 15:37BUFRasmus Dahlin0.7%
- P3 15:49BUFVictor Olofsson1.0%
- P3 15:52BUFKyle Okposo8.5%
- P3 16:38TBLCalvin de Haan1.1%
- P3 17:58TBLVictor Hedman0.5%
- P3 18:20BUFJordan Greenway1.3%
- P3 18:32TBLBrandon Hagel0.4%
- P3 18:36TBLNick Paul0.9%
- P3 18:44TBLCalvin de HaanGOAL
- P3 18:55BUFCasey Mittelstadt0.5%
- P3 18:59BUFRyan Johnson0.6%
- P3 19:27TBLBrandon Hagel0.9%
- P3 19:34TBLNikita Kucherov0.9%
- P3 19:55BUFOwen Power1.2%