ForensicHockey
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CBJ

34

SOG 2127

xG 0.510.87

OTT

Snapshot at 6:43:27 AM

Static box score →

Live insights

Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync

Forensic engine

Game xG

0.51–0.87

Δ -0.36 OTT

OTT

Deserve to win

37–63%

If both goalies were league average

Finishing vs xG

OTT +3.1

Outscoring shot quality

OTT

Shot threat

Erik Karlsson

7 attempts · 0.15 xG

OTT

Scoring chances

0–1

Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0

Last goal

M. Michalek

P3 19:55 · 3–4

OTT

Top game score

J. Spezza · 1.80

1G 2A undefined SOG · TOI 19:35

OTT

Win probability

OTT 100%

P1 · P2 · P3

P1P2P3
CBJOTT

Shot zone

Live attempt map with expected goals

CBJ 0.51 xGOTT 0.87 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Highlights

Goals and big plays with NHL video

  • GOAL · M. Michalek

    P3 19:55 · OTT · 34 · tip-in

  • GOAL · J. Spezza

    P3 19:24 · OTT · 33 · wrist

  • GOAL · R. Nash

    P3 09:20 · CBJ · 32 · wrist

  • GOAL · Z. Smith

    P2 11:30 · OTT · 22 · snap

  • GOAL · K. Russell

    P2 00:16 · CBJ · 21 · snap

  • GOAL · A. Johnson

    P1 13:56 · CBJ · 11 · backhand

  • GOAL · F. Kuba

    P1 06:47 · OTT · 01 · wrist

Play-by-play

Live feed · new plays animate in

  • P3 19:55OTTFaceoffZack Smith
  • P3 19:55OTTGoalMilan Michalek, Sergei Gonchar, Jason Spezza
  • P3 19:53Takeaway
  • P3 19:41CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P3 19:41Stoppage
  • P3 19:24CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P3 19:24OTTGoalJason Spezza, Milan Michalek, Erik Karlsson
  • P3 19:23OTTShot on goalErik Karlsson6.3% xG
  • P3 19:15OTTBlocked shotSergei Gonchar1.4% xG
  • P3 19:01OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P3 19:01Penalty
  • P3 19:01Stoppage
  • P3 19:00OTTShot on goalErik Karlsson0.6% xG
  • P3 18:36OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P3 18:36Penalty
  • P3 18:32OTTShot on goalDaniel Alfredsson2.7% xG
  • P3 18:29Takeaway
  • P3 18:12Takeaway
  • P3 17:41CBJHitFedor Tyutin
  • P3 17:29OTTFaceoffZenon Konopka
  • P3 17:29Penalty
  • P3 17:25CBJShot on goalRick Nash2.9% xG
  • P3 17:22Giveaway
  • P3 17:13OTTBlocked shotDavid Rundblad0.6% xG
  • P3 16:36Giveaway
  • P3 16:27OTTShot on goalSergei Gonchar1.0% xG
  • P3 15:40CBJHitSamuel Pahlsson
  • P3 15:07OTTMissed shotDaniel Alfredsson0.7% xG
  • P3 14:44CBJHitR.J. Umberger
  • P3 14:26CBJShot on goalRyan Johansen0.5% xG
  • P3 14:15OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P3 14:15Stoppage
  • P3 14:14Takeaway
  • P3 13:00CBJHitAntoine Vermette
  • P3 12:07OTTBlocked shotColin Greening1.2% xG
  • P3 11:41CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P3 11:41Stoppage
  • P3 11:40OTTShot on goalJason Spezza1.9% xG
  • P3 11:27CBJHitAlexandre Giroux
  • P3 10:53CBJFaceoffDerek MacKenzie
  • P3 10:58Stoppage
  • P3 10:41CBJHitDerek MacKenzie
  • P3 10:33OTTHitNick Foligno
  • P3 10:30Giveaway
  • P3 10:14OTTHitZack Smith
  • P3 09:40OTTBlocked shotColin Greening0.9% xG
  • P3 09:20OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P3 09:20CBJGoalRick Nash, Fedor Tyutin, Vinny Prospal
  • P3 08:57Takeaway
  • P3 08:49Giveaway
  • P3 08:31CBJShot on goalRick Nash0.9% xG
  • P3 08:19CBJFaceoffDerick Brassard
  • P3 08:19Stoppage
  • P3 08:19Penalty
  • P3 08:17CBJShot on goalRick Nash0.7% xG
  • P3 06:54Takeaway
  • P3 06:29CBJShot on goalCody Bass0.7% xG
  • P3 06:09OTTBlocked shotChris Neil4.1% xG
  • P3 06:11OTTShot on goalChris Neil2.5% xG
  • P3 06:04OTTShot on goalChris Neil1.3% xG
  • P3 05:37OTTShot on goalJared Cowen0.4% xG
  • P3 05:31OTTFaceoffMika Zibanejad
  • P3 05:31Stoppage
  • P3 05:25OTTBlocked shotDaniel Alfredsson1.9% xG
  • P3 05:10Giveaway
  • P3 05:07OTTShot on goalZack Smith3.4% xG
  • P3 04:50OTTShot on goalJason Spezza1.1% xG
  • P3 04:30CBJMissed shotRyan Johansen1.0% xG
  • P3 04:17OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P3 04:16OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester0.8% xG
  • P3 04:17Stoppage
  • P3 04:13OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester0.6% xG
  • P3 04:04CBJBlocked shotAaron Johnson1.4% xG
  • P3 03:55OTTMissed shotStephane Da Costa0.4% xG
  • P3 03:46CBJHitDerek MacKenzie
  • P3 03:31OTTFaceoffJesse Winchester
  • P3 03:31Stoppage
  • P3 03:06Giveaway
  • P3 02:57Takeaway
  • P3 02:48OTTHitDavid Rundblad
  • P3 02:44OTTMissed shotZack Smith0.6% xG
  • P3 02:27OTTBlocked shotErik Karlsson1.5% xG
  • P3 02:21OTTMissed shotFilip Kuba0.5% xG
  • P3 02:19OTTHitMika Zibanejad
  • P3 02:06CBJHitFedor Tyutin
  • P3 01:50OTTShot on goalMika Zibanejad1.1% xG
  • P3 00:35OTTMissed shotChris Phillips0.9% xG
  • P3 01:16CBJHitAaron Johnson
  • P3 00:58OTTMissed shotJason Spezza1.7% xG
  • P3 00:46CBJHitR.J. Umberger
  • P3 00:33Giveaway
  • P3 00:00OTTFaceoffZack Smith
  • P2 19:56OTTMissed shotNick Foligno0.5% xG
  • P2 19:43CBJShot on goalDerek Dorsett0.8% xG
  • P2 19:25OTTHitSergei Gonchar
  • P2 18:26Giveaway
  • P2 17:47OTTShot on goalErik Condra0.5% xG
  • P2 17:39OTTFaceoffZenon Konopka
  • P2 17:39Penalty
  • P2 17:31CBJMissed shotRyan Johansen0.5% xG
  • P2 17:23CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P2 17:23Stoppage
  • P2 17:22OTTShot on goalNick Foligno0.7% xG
  • P2 17:07CBJMissed shotKris Russell0.5% xG
  • P2 15:19CBJHitDerek Dorsett
  • P2 14:54OTTHitJared Cowen
  • P2 14:46CBJHitCody Bass
  • P2 14:40Takeaway
  • P2 14:23OTTHitChris Neil
  • P2 14:02CBJMissed shotAntoine Vermette0.7% xG
  • P2 14:00Takeaway
  • P2 13:48CBJHitGrant Clitsome
  • P2 13:11CBJShot on goalDerick Brassard0.6% xG
  • P2 12:38CBJShot on goalRick Nash1.0% xG
  • P2 12:04OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P2 12:04CBJShot on goalRick Nash1.9% xG
  • P2 12:04Stoppage
  • P2 11:59Giveaway
  • P2 11:50CBJMissed shotAaron Johnson0.5% xG
  • P2 11:49CBJHitDerick Brassard
  • P2 11:30OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P2 11:30OTTGoalZack Smith, Erik Condra, Chris Neil
  • P2 11:13OTTBlocked shotFilip Kuba1.8% xG
  • P2 11:09OTTHitMika Zibanejad
  • P2 10:58OTTShot on goalErik Karlsson0.7% xG
  • P2 10:45CBJHitGrant Clitsome
  • P2 10:27OTTBlocked shotErik Karlsson1.7% xG
  • P2 10:12OTTShot on goalFilip Kuba2.7% xG
  • P2 10:09Takeaway
  • P2 09:25CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P2 09:23CBJShot on goalGrant Clitsome0.6% xG
  • P2 09:25Stoppage
  • P2 08:57OTTHitChris Neil
  • P2 08:48OTTHitChris Neil
  • P2 08:08OTTHitChris Neil
  • P2 07:40CBJBlocked shotRick Nash1.9% xG
  • P2 06:40CBJHitAntoine Vermette
  • P2 06:18CBJMissed shotGrant Clitsome0.6% xG
  • P2 06:15CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P2 06:15Stoppage
  • P2 06:15CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger3.9% xG
  • P2 06:06OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P2 06:06Stoppage
  • P2 05:10OTTHitZack Smith
  • P2 05:02CBJFaceoffSamuel Pahlsson
  • P2 05:02Stoppage
  • P2 05:01OTTShot on goalColin Greening0.6% xG
  • P2 04:47OTTHitColin Greening
  • P2 04:41CBJHitRick Nash
  • P2 04:21CBJBlocked shotDerick Brassard1.1% xG
  • P2 04:02OTTHitJared Cowen
  • P2 03:39CBJHitSamuel Pahlsson
  • P2 03:19Giveaway
  • P2 02:51CBJHitAntoine Vermette
  • P2 02:32OTTHitZack Smith
  • P2 02:14Takeaway
  • P2 02:11Takeaway
  • P2 01:42OTTMissed shotColin Greening3.2% xG
  • P2 00:49CBJBlocked shotDerek Dorsett1.5% xG
  • P2 00:16CBJFaceoffSamuel Pahlsson
  • P2 00:16CBJGoalKris Russell, Ryan Johansen, Antoine Vermette
  • P2 00:00OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P1 19:55OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P1 19:54CBJShot on goalFedor Tyutin0.4% xG
  • P1 19:55Stoppage
  • P1 19:51CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P1 19:51Stoppage
  • P1 19:42CBJHitAlexandre Giroux
  • P1 19:25OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P1 19:25Stoppage
  • P1 19:13Takeaway
  • P1 19:01OTTShot on goalZack Smith1.4% xG
  • P1 18:41OTTHitMika Zibanejad
  • P1 18:34CBJShot on goalRyan Johansen0.9% xG
  • P1 18:28Takeaway
  • P1 18:25CBJHitR.J. Umberger
  • P1 18:20Takeaway
  • P1 18:06Giveaway
  • P1 17:32OTTHitSergei Gonchar
  • P1 17:22OTTFaceoffJason Spezza
  • P1 17:22Stoppage
  • P1 17:13CBJFaceoffSamuel Pahlsson
  • P1 17:13Stoppage
  • P1 17:12OTTShot on goalZack Smith3.0% xG
  • P1 17:08CBJBlocked shotDerick Brassard1.9% xG
  • P1 17:00CBJBlocked shotFedor Tyutin0.7% xG
  • P1 16:04Giveaway
  • P1 15:51Takeaway
  • P1 15:45Giveaway
  • P1 15:31CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P1 15:31Stoppage
  • P1 14:54OTTFaceoffZenon Konopka
  • P1 14:54Stoppage
  • P1 14:54Penalty
  • P1 14:35OTTHitSergei Gonchar
  • P1 14:16CBJBlocked shotAaron Johnson1.2% xG
  • P1 13:56CBJFaceoffSamuel Pahlsson
  • P1 13:56CBJGoalAaron Johnson, Derick Brassard, Vinny Prospal
  • P1 13:54CBJShot on goalDerick Brassard3.2% xG
  • P1 13:46Takeaway
  • P1 13:31CBJBlocked shotJohn Moore2.2% xG
  • P1 13:20CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger1.3% xG
  • P1 13:06OTTBlocked shotChris Phillips0.7% xG
  • P1 12:59CBJHitDavid Savard
  • P1 12:06CBJFaceoffSamuel Pahlsson
  • P1 12:06Stoppage
  • P1 12:03CBJHitAlexandre Giroux
  • P1 11:28OTTHitNick Foligno
  • P1 11:02OTTFaceoffMika Zibanejad
  • P1 11:02Stoppage
  • P1 10:56Takeaway
  • P1 10:44CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P1 10:44Stoppage
  • P1 10:43CBJBlocked shotAntoine Vermette0.7% xG
  • P1 10:34CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P1 10:34Stoppage
  • P1 10:26CBJHitRyan Johansen
  • P1 09:09OTTShot on goalDaniel Alfredsson0.6% xG
  • P1 08:51OTTHitJared Cowen
  • P1 08:09CBJBlocked shotKris Russell1.2% xG
  • P1 07:55OTTShot on goalErik Karlsson3.0% xG
  • P1 07:53OTTBlocked shotErik Karlsson1.2% xG
  • P1 07:43CBJHitDavid Savard
  • P1 07:43Giveaway
  • P1 07:05CBJHitGrant Clitsome
  • P1 06:47CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P1 06:47OTTGoalFilip Kuba, Jason Spezza, Sergei Gonchar
  • P1 06:37CBJHitAaron Johnson
  • P1 06:21Takeaway
  • P1 05:23CBJFaceoffSamuel Pahlsson
  • P1 05:23Penalty
  • P1 05:23Stoppage
  • P1 05:22OTTBlocked shotChris Neil1.5% xG
  • P1 05:19CBJHitR.J. Umberger
  • P1 05:03CBJShot on goalDavid Savard0.4% xG
  • P1 04:49OTTHitChris Neil
  • P1 04:39CBJShot on goalGrant Clitsome0.8% xG
  • P1 04:36Giveaway
  • P1 04:30CBJHitDerek Dorsett
  • P1 04:23CBJMissed shotDerek Dorsett1.2% xG
  • P1 04:17OTTHitColin Greening
  • P1 04:05CBJFaceoffSamuel Pahlsson
  • P1 04:05Stoppage
  • P1 04:03CBJHitCody Bass
  • P1 03:37Takeaway
  • P1 03:25Takeaway
  • P1 03:07CBJHitR.J. Umberger
  • P1 02:58Giveaway
  • P1 02:53CBJFaceoffAntoine Vermette
  • P1 02:52CBJBlocked shotRyan Johansen0.9% xG
  • P1 02:53Stoppage
  • P1 02:45Giveaway
  • P1 02:44OTTHitJesse Winchester
  • P1 02:15Takeaway
  • P1 02:10OTTShot on goalChris Neil0.7% xG
  • P1 01:56Takeaway
  • P1 01:32OTTMissed shotErik Condra3.0% xG
  • P1 01:27OTTFaceoffZack Smith
  • P1 01:27Stoppage
  • P1 01:25OTTHitChris Phillips
  • P1 00:52OTTHitColin Greening
  • P1 00:32Takeaway
  • P1 00:23OTTHitNick Foligno
  • P1 00:12CBJFaceoffDerek MacKenzie
  • P1 00:12Stoppage
  • P1 00:11CBJShot on goalDerek MacKenzie1.9% xG
  • P1 00:00CBJFaceoffDerek MacKenzie

CBJ vs OTT

Shot tracker

Every attempt with live expected goals

  • P1 00:11CBJDerek MacKenzie1.9%
  • P1 01:32OTTErik Condra3.0%
  • P1 02:10OTTChris Neil0.7%
  • P1 02:52CBJRyan Johansen0.9%
  • P1 04:23CBJDerek Dorsett1.2%
  • P1 04:39CBJGrant Clitsome0.8%
  • P1 05:03CBJDavid Savard0.4%
  • P1 05:22OTTChris Neil1.5%
  • P1 06:47OTTFilip KubaGOAL
  • P1 07:53OTTErik Karlsson1.2%
  • P1 07:55OTTErik Karlsson3.0%
  • P1 08:09CBJKris Russell1.2%
  • P1 09:09OTTDaniel Alfredsson0.6%
  • P1 10:43CBJAntoine Vermette0.7%
  • P1 13:06OTTChris Phillips0.7%
  • P1 13:20CBJR.J. Umberger1.3%
  • P1 13:31CBJJohn Moore2.2%
  • P1 13:54CBJDerick Brassard3.2%
  • P1 13:56CBJAaron JohnsonGOAL
  • P1 14:16CBJAaron Johnson1.2%
  • P1 17:00CBJFedor Tyutin0.7%
  • P1 17:08CBJDerick Brassard1.9%
  • P1 17:12OTTZack Smith3.0%
  • P1 18:34CBJRyan Johansen0.9%
  • P1 19:01OTTZack Smith1.4%
  • P1 19:54CBJFedor Tyutin0.4%
  • P2 00:16CBJKris RussellGOAL
  • P2 00:49CBJDerek Dorsett1.5%
  • P2 01:42OTTColin Greening3.2%
  • P2 04:21CBJDerick Brassard1.1%
  • P2 05:01OTTColin Greening0.6%
  • P2 06:15CBJR.J. Umberger3.9%
  • P2 06:18CBJGrant Clitsome0.6%
  • P2 07:40CBJRick Nash1.9%
  • P2 09:23CBJGrant Clitsome0.6%
  • P2 10:12OTTFilip Kuba2.7%
  • P2 10:27OTTErik Karlsson1.7%
  • P2 10:58OTTErik Karlsson0.7%
  • P2 11:13OTTFilip Kuba1.8%
  • P2 11:30OTTZack SmithGOAL
  • P2 11:50CBJAaron Johnson0.5%
  • P2 12:04CBJRick Nash1.9%
  • P2 12:38CBJRick Nash1.0%
  • P2 13:11CBJDerick Brassard0.6%
  • P2 14:02CBJAntoine Vermette0.7%
  • P2 17:07CBJKris Russell0.5%
  • P2 17:22OTTNick Foligno0.7%
  • P2 17:31CBJRyan Johansen0.5%
  • P2 17:47OTTErik Condra0.5%
  • P2 19:43CBJDerek Dorsett0.8%
  • P2 19:56OTTNick Foligno0.5%
  • P3 00:58OTTJason Spezza1.7%
  • P3 00:35OTTChris Phillips0.9%
  • P3 01:50OTTMika Zibanejad1.1%
  • P3 02:21OTTFilip Kuba0.5%
  • P3 02:27OTTErik Karlsson1.5%
  • P3 02:44OTTZack Smith0.6%
  • P3 03:55OTTStephane Da Costa0.4%
  • P3 04:04CBJAaron Johnson1.4%
  • P3 04:13OTTJesse Winchester0.6%
  • P3 04:16OTTJesse Winchester0.8%
  • P3 04:30CBJRyan Johansen1.0%
  • P3 04:50OTTJason Spezza1.1%
  • P3 05:07OTTZack Smith3.4%
  • P3 05:25OTTDaniel Alfredsson1.9%
  • P3 05:37OTTJared Cowen0.4%
  • P3 06:04OTTChris Neil1.3%
  • P3 06:11OTTChris Neil2.5%
  • P3 06:09OTTChris Neil4.1%
  • P3 06:29CBJCody Bass0.7%
  • P3 08:17CBJRick Nash0.7%
  • P3 08:31CBJRick Nash0.9%
  • P3 09:20CBJRick NashGOAL
  • P3 09:40OTTColin Greening0.9%
  • P3 11:40OTTJason Spezza1.9%
  • P3 12:07OTTColin Greening1.2%
  • P3 14:26CBJRyan Johansen0.5%
  • P3 15:07OTTDaniel Alfredsson0.7%
  • P3 16:27OTTSergei Gonchar1.0%
  • P3 17:13OTTDavid Rundblad0.6%
  • P3 17:25CBJRick Nash2.9%
  • P3 18:32OTTDaniel Alfredsson2.7%
  • P3 19:00OTTErik Karlsson0.6%
  • P3 19:15OTTSergei Gonchar1.4%
  • P3 19:23OTTErik Karlsson6.3%
  • P3 19:24OTTJason SpezzaGOAL
  • P3 19:55OTTMilan MichalekGOAL