ForensicHockey

Forensic report

69 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: TOR

BOS

Goals
7
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
42.7%
Finishing luck
+6.80

TOR

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.27
xG (raw)
0.27
Deserve %
57.3%
Finishing luck
+4.73

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
28M. Recchi202-12015:47
46D. Krejci11210013:44
73M. Ryder11214013:34
17M. Lucic02224013:49
91M. Savard022-11018:02
12C. Kobasew10103016:53
22S. Thornton10111012:06
26B. Wheeler101-11114:56
11P. Axelsson011-10015:42
18S. Yelle00012012:52
37P. Bergeron00003018:29

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
6D. Wideman03311421:31
48M. Hunwick03321116:54
45M. Stuart01111316:34
21A. Ference00011319:58
23S. Montador00012010:14
33Z. Chara000-11123:09
44A. Ward000-20022:06

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
T. ThomasNaN%
M. Fernandez38586.8%60:00W

Shot map

69 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:58TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P3 16:45TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P3 16:00TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P3 15:39TORShot on goalIan White
  • P3 14:44TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P3 14:39TORGoalNiklas Hagman, Jason Blake, John Mitchell
  • P3 14:17TORShot on goalJay Harrison
  • P3 12:15BOSShot on goalMichael Ryder
  • P3 12:10BOSShot on goalAaron Ward
  • P3 11:29TORShot on goalBrad May
  • P3 11:19TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
  • P3 10:35Penalty
  • P3 10:35Penalty
  • P3 10:35BOSShot on goalShawn Thornton
  • P3 07:06TORShot on goalNiklas Hagman
  • P3 05:00TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P3 04:45TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P3 03:08BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P3 00:58BOSShot on goalP.J. Axelsson
  • P2 19:59TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 19:38BOSShot on goalDavid Krejci
  • P2 17:24TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P2 17:04BOSGoalBlake Wheeler, P.J. Axelsson, Marc Savard
  • P2 16:55BOSShot on goalAndrew Ference
  • P2 16:48BOSShot on goalP.J. Axelsson
  • P2 16:28TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 15:31Penalty
  • P2 15:31Penalty
  • P2 15:18TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 15:02TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 13:38BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P2 13:05BOSShot on goalBlake Wheeler
  • P2 12:44BOSGoalDavid Krejci, Milan Lucic, Dennis Wideman
  • P2 12:06TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 11:30BOSGoalShawn Thornton, Matt Hunwick, Mark Stuart
  • P2 11:22BOSShot on goalMark Stuart
  • P2 10:29TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 10:17BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P2 09:20BOSShot on goalMilan Lucic
  • P2 09:01BOSGoalMark Recchi, Marc Savard, Dennis Wideman
  • P2 08:52Penalty
  • P2 08:19BOSShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P2 06:41TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P2 06:06TORGoalAlexei Ponikarovsky, Mikhail Grabovski
  • P2 04:50TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P2 02:32TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P2 02:27TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 01:58Penalty
  • P2 01:06BOSShot on goalAndrew Ference
  • P1 19:57TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 19:33BOSGoalMark Recchi, Matt Hunwick, Michael Ryder
  • P1 19:19Penalty
  • P1 18:57BOSShot on goalAndrew Ference
  • P1 18:28TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P1 17:00TORGoalAlexei Ponikarovsky, Mikhail Grabovski, Phil Oreskovic
  • P1 16:20TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P1 15:26BOSShot on goalStephane Yelle
  • P1 15:11BOSShot on goalStephane Yelle
  • P1 14:47BOSShot on goalStephane Yelle
  • P1 13:12TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P1 13:10TORShot on goalIan White
  • P1 13:07TORShot on goalIan White
  • P1 12:04TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 12:04TORGoalJohn Mitchell, Jason Blake, Ian White
  • P1 10:24Penalty
  • P1 10:20TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 10:00BOSShot on goalStephane Yelle
  • P1 09:45TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P1 08:50BOSGoalMichael Ryder, Dennis Wideman, David Krejci
  • P1 06:36BOSShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P1 05:40BOSGoalChuck Kobasew, Matt Hunwick, Milan Lucic
  • P1 04:25BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P1 04:01TORGoalNikolay Kulemin, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Jeff Finger
  • P1 02:51BOSShot on goalMatt Hunwick
  • P1 01:17TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P1 00:49TORShot on goalNiklas Hagman
  • P1 00:14BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara

BOS vs TOR · 77 events