ForensicHockey

Forensic report

80 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: WSH

WSH

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.32
xG (raw)
0.32
Deserve %
61.5%
Finishing luck
+1.68

TOR

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
38.5%
Finishing luck
+2.80

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
8A. Ovechkin11214123:27
21B. Laich10111017:55
19N. Backstrom01112222:29
28A. Semin01100023:03
10M. Bradley00001009:05
14T. Fleischmann000-10113:16
16E. Fehr00001013:41
25V. Kozlov00001117:45
39D. Steckel00001209:28
56C. Bourque00001105:35
91S. Fedorov00000019:19
92M. Nylander00000214:04

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
52M. Green01113429:07
3T. Poti000-10319:58
4J. Erskine000-17220:38
23M. Jurcina00003417:18
26S. Morrisonn00001119:01
55J. Schultz00001020:33

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
D. MachesneyNaN%
J. Theodore29293.1%64:50O

Shot map

80 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P5 00:00WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P5 00:00TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P5 00:00WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P5 00:00TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P5 00:00WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P5 00:00TORGoalJeff Hamilton, Jose Theodore
  • P4 04:51WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P4 04:38WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P4 04:31WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P4 04:07Penalty
  • P4 03:38WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P4 03:21WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P4 02:56WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P4 01:54WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P4 00:36WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P3 19:48WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P3 19:03Penalty
  • P3 19:03WSHGoalBrooks Laich, Alexander Semin, Alex Ovechkin
  • P3 19:00WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P3 17:52TORGoalPavel Kubina, Jason Blake, Mikhail Grabovski
  • P3 17:24Penalty
  • P3 17:07WSHShot on goalJohn Erskine
  • P3 16:40TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
  • P3 16:23WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P3 15:40WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P3 14:24TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P3 12:51WSHShot on goalShaone Morrisonn
  • P3 11:48WSHShot on goalMilan Jurcina
  • P3 11:34WSHShot on goalMilan Jurcina
  • P3 08:41WSHShot on goalShaone Morrisonn
  • P3 08:32WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P3 07:50TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P3 04:48TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P3 04:12TORShot on goalIan White
  • P3 03:40TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P3 02:01WSHShot on goalShaone Morrisonn
  • P3 00:40TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P2 19:39WSHGoalAlex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, Mike Green
  • P2 19:00Penalty
  • P2 18:02WSHShot on goalJohn Erskine
  • P2 17:29WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 16:25WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P2 16:21WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P2 15:11WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P2 13:56WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 13:51WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P2 13:29WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P2 12:36TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P2 12:32TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P2 12:31TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P2 12:27TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P2 12:20TORShot on goalIan White
  • P2 12:00TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P2 10:41Penalty
  • P2 10:40TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P2 09:51TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P2 09:04TORGoalPhil Oreskovic, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Mikhail Grabovski
  • P2 07:41TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
  • P2 06:57TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P2 06:40WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 03:55TORShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P2 03:45TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 03:13TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 03:08TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 02:59Penalty
  • P2 02:36WSHShot on goalMichael Nylander
  • P2 02:27WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P2 01:53WSHShot on goalMichael Nylander
  • P2 01:40WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P2 01:34WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 18:05TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
  • P1 17:41TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P1 14:54WSHShot on goalJohn Erskine
  • P1 13:12WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P1 12:35WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P1 10:14WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P1 08:56WSHShot on goalChris Bourque
  • P1 08:50WSHShot on goalDavid Steckel
  • P1 07:49WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P1 07:43WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P1 06:03WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 03:45TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P1 02:56WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 01:19TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 01:15TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 00:18TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski

WSH vs TOR · 86 events