ForensicHockey

Forensic report

65 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: TOR

TOR

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.26
xG (raw)
0.26
Deserve %
58.6%
Finishing luck
+4.74

MTL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
41.4%
Finishing luck
+1.82

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
23A. Ponikarovsky22410116:32
84M. Grabovski13410016:58
41N. Kulemin12314016:46
55J. Blake10101019:35
10B. May00001004:18
12L. Stempniak00002120:19
14M. Stajan00000116:16
21J. Mayers00001011:42
22B. Devereaux00001017:19
25B. Ondrus00001106:50
39J. Mitchell00000218:20
51J. Hamilton00000010:27

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
2L. Schenn01124224:14
36A. Stralman01100009:02
77P. Kubina011-10222:00
4J. Finger00023220:50
7I. White000-11423:54
40P. Oreskovic00000118:38

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Gerber28292.9%60:00W
C. JosephNaN%

Shot map

65 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 15:47MTLShot on goalSaku Koivu
  • P3 15:42MTLShot on goalJosh Gorges
  • P3 14:55MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P3 14:38TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P3 12:13TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P3 11:05Penalty
  • P3 09:57MTLShot on goalMax Pacioretty
  • P3 09:15TORShot on goalIan White
  • P3 08:42MTLShot on goalGuillaume Latendresse
  • P3 08:41MTLShot on goalGuillaume Latendresse
  • P3 08:32MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P3 06:54TORShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 06:48TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P3 06:31MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P3 06:10MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre
  • P3 04:21TORGoalJason Blake, Mikhail Grabovski, Anton Stralman
  • P3 04:05TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P3 03:23Penalty
  • P3 03:01TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P3 02:42TORShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 02:28MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre
  • P3 02:16TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P3 02:14TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P3 01:52MTLShot on goalMike Komisarek
  • P2 19:56MTLShot on goalMathieu Schneider
  • P2 19:37MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P2 19:16MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P2 19:00MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P2 17:04Penalty
  • P2 16:13MTLShot on goalMike Komisarek
  • P2 15:22MTLGoalMaxim Lapierre, Alex Tanguay, Ryan O'Byrne
  • P2 13:41TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
  • P2 13:35TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P2 12:50MTLGoalMaxim Lapierre, Chris Higgins
  • P2 12:29TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 11:19TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
  • P2 10:46MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P2 09:51TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P2 09:09TORGoalAlexei Ponikarovsky, Nikolay Kulemin, Pavel Kubina
  • P2 09:08TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P2 08:47TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 08:44TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 08:33TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P2 07:54Penalty
  • P2 07:16TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 07:13TORShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P2 06:59TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P2 06:07TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P2 05:34Penalty
  • P2 04:52MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P2 04:19TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P2 03:53MTLShot on goalJosh Gorges
  • P2 03:09TORGoalAlexei Ponikarovsky, Mikhail Grabovski, Nikolay Kulemin
  • P2 02:17MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre
  • P2 01:07TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 16:09TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P1 13:43TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P1 13:06TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 12:08TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 11:58Penalty
  • P1 11:51MTLShot on goalGeorges Laraque
  • P1 10:59MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre
  • P1 08:36MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P1 08:35MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P1 08:14Penalty
  • P1 08:14TORGoalMikhail Grabovski, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Luke Schenn
  • P1 07:51TORGoalNikolay Kulemin, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Mikhail Grabovski
  • P1 05:27TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P1 04:25MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P1 03:41TORShot on goalAnton Stralman
  • P1 01:29TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P1 00:15MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre

TOR vs MTL · 77 events