Forensic report
80 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TOR
- Goals
- 1
- xG (flurry)
- 0.25
- xG (raw)
- 0.25
- Deserve %
- 41.7%
- Finishing luck
- +0.75
FLA
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.36
- xG (raw)
- 0.36
- Deserve %
- 58.3%
- Finishing luck
- +2.64
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | M. Grabovski | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 | |
| 21 | J. Mayers | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:05 | |
| 23 | A. Ponikarovsky | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 15:05 | |
| 10 | B. May | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 06:32 | |
| 12 | L. Stempniak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 20:04 | |
| 14 | M. Stajan | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 15:40 | |
| 22 | B. Devereaux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 15:19 | |
| 25 | B. Ondrus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:17 | |
| 39 | J. Mitchell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 21:52 | |
| 51 | J. Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18:44 | |
| 55 | J. Blake | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | |
| 56 | A. Deveaux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 09:27 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | L. Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 14:48 | |
| 4 | J. Finger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 17:37 | |
| 7 | I. White | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 23:23 | |
| 36 | A. Stralman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 13:37 | |
| 40 | P. Oreskovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 2 | 18:26 | |
| 77 | P. Kubina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26:26 |
Shot map
80 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:51TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P3 19:34TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
- P3 19:28TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 18:21TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 18:11TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 17:57—Penalty—
- P3 16:56FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P3 16:10TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 16:04TORShot on goalJamal Mayers
- P3 15:21FLAShot on goalMichael Frolik
- P3 15:10FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
- P3 14:47FLAShot on goalCory Stillman
- P3 14:39FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
- P3 11:10—Penalty—
- P3 11:10FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
- P3 11:09FLAShot on goalKarlis Skrastins
- P3 08:36TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P3 08:35TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P3 08:25TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P3 07:55TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P3 07:51TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P3 05:30TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P3 05:17FLAShot on goalMichael Frolik
- P3 04:39TORShot on goalJamal Mayers
- P3 04:21TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P3 01:56FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
- P3 01:01FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
- P3 00:58FLAShot on goalCory Stillman
- P2 18:37TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 17:58TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P2 17:46TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P2 17:01—Penalty—
- P2 16:39TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P2 14:46FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
- P2 14:07FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
- P2 14:06—Penalty—
- P2 13:04FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
- P2 12:52FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
- P2 12:02TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
- P2 08:35FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P2 08:34FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
- P2 08:33FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
- P2 08:09FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
- P2 08:08FLAShot on goalMichael Frolik
- P2 07:48FLAGoalVille Peltonen, Radek Dvorak, Kamil Kreps
- P2 07:23FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P2 07:13FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P2 06:21FLAGoalRichard Zednik, David Booth, Stephen Weiss
- P2 05:34FLAShot on goalMichael Frolik
- P2 04:37FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
- P2 04:00TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 03:18FLAShot on goalBryan McCabe
- P2 03:07FLAShot on goalNick Tarnasky
- P2 03:06FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P2 02:36TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
- P2 02:23FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
- P1 19:15FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
- P1 18:08TORGoalMikhail Grabovski, Jamal Mayers, Alexei Ponikarovsky
- P1 17:30—Penalty—
- P1 15:32TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P1 14:48FLAShot on goalBryan McCabe
- P1 14:24FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P1 14:10TORShot on goalJeff Finger
- P1 13:23TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 11:10FLAShot on goalKarlis Skrastins
- P1 10:09FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P1 09:42TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
- P1 09:20TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
- P1 09:09FLAShot on goalSteve Eminger
- P1 08:44FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
- P1 07:28FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P1 07:15FLAGoalStephen Weiss, David Booth, Keith Ballard
- P1 06:49TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
- P1 05:53—Penalty—
- P1 05:31TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
- P1 05:28TORShot on goalPhil Oreskovic
- P1 05:23TORShot on goalIan White
- P1 05:19TORShot on goalJamal Mayers
- P1 05:05TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P1 04:42TORShot on goalAnton Stralman
- P1 03:52TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 03:39TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
- P1 02:36FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
- P1 02:25TORShot on goalBrad May
- P1 00:48FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
- P1 00:44FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
TOR vs FLA · 86 events