Forensic report
73 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TOR
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.29
- xG (raw)
- 0.29
- Deserve %
- 58.7%
- Finishing luck
- +3.71
TBL
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.20
- xG (raw)
- 0.20
- Deserve %
- 41.3%
- Finishing luck
- +2.80
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | J. Blake | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:59 | |
| 39 | J. Mitchell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:03 | |
| 51 | J. Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:21 | |
| 12 | L. Stempniak | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17:40 | |
| 14 | M. Stajan | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:34 | |
| 22 | B. Devereaux | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:19 | |
| 10 | B. May | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 09:51 | |
| 21 | J. Mayers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | |
| 23 | A. Ponikarovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:55 | |
| 25 | B. Ondrus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | |
| 41 | N. Kulemin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | |
| 84 | M. Grabovski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | A. Stralman | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17:13 | |
| 2 | L. Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 22:24 | |
| 4 | J. Finger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:34 | |
| 7 | I. White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27:48 | |
| 40 | P. Oreskovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:07 | |
| 77 | P. Kubina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:02 |
Shot map
73 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P5 00:00TORGoalJohn Mitchell, Karri Ramo
- P5 00:00TBLShot on goalEvgeny Artyukhin
- P5 00:00TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
- P5 00:00TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P5 00:00TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
- P5 00:00TBLShot on goalRyan Malone
- P5 00:00TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P5 00:00TBLGoalVincent Lecavalier, Curtis Joseph
- P5 00:00TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P5 00:00TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P5 00:00TORGoalJeff Hamilton, Karri Ramo
- P5 00:00TBLShot on goalSteven Stamkos
- P4 04:57TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P4 04:44TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
- P4 04:19TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
- P4 03:42TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P4 03:18TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P4 01:40TORShot on goalIan White
- P3 19:04TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P3 17:14—Penalty—
- P3 16:15TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P3 14:35—Penalty—
- P3 14:29TORGoalJeff Hamilton, Boyd Devereaux, Matt Stajan
- P3 12:03TORShot on goalBrad May
- P3 11:48TBLShot on goalMatt Smaby
- P3 09:21TORShot on goalAnton Stralman
- P3 09:12TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 07:44—Penalty—
- P3 07:43TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P3 05:59TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
- P3 05:49TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P3 05:07TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P3 04:24TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P3 04:15TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 03:59TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P3 03:24TORGoalJason Blake, Lee Stempniak
- P3 03:14TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 02:53TBLShot on goalRyan Craig
- P3 02:03TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P3 01:57TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P3 01:31TORShot on goalIan White
- P2 19:36TORGoalJohn Mitchell, Jason Blake, Anton Stralman
- P2 19:15TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
- P2 19:09TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
- P2 18:40TORShot on goalJeff Finger
- P2 18:31TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P2 18:30TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 18:14TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P2 17:19—Penalty—
- P2 15:08TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P2 14:52TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P2 12:28TBLShot on goalMartins Karsums
- P2 10:53TBLShot on goalSteven Stamkos
- P2 09:58—Penalty—
- P2 09:57TBLShot on goalMatt Lashoff
- P2 07:39TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 07:23—Penalty—
- P2 07:23—Penalty—
- P2 06:59—Penalty—
- P2 06:59—Penalty—
- P2 06:37TBLShot on goalEvgeny Artyukhin
- P2 04:33TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P2 03:20TORShot on goalBrad May
- P2 02:53TORShot on goalBrad May
- P2 02:36TBLGoalMatt Pettinger, Martins Karsums, Lukas Krajicek
- P2 02:26TBLGoalSteven Stamkos, Martin St. Louis, Karri Ramo
- P2 01:20—Penalty—
- P1 19:17TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
- P1 19:06TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P1 17:50TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P1 17:09TBLShot on goalPaul Szczechura
- P1 13:39TBLGoalVincent Lecavalier, Cory Murphy, Martin St. Louis
- P1 13:37TBLShot on goalCory Murphy
- P1 12:38—Penalty—
- P1 12:36TORShot on goalJeff Finger
- P1 11:01—Penalty—
- P1 11:00TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
- P1 10:22TBLShot on goalMartins Karsums
- P1 09:43TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P1 08:01TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P1 07:07TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P1 06:50—Penalty—
- P1 06:12TORShot on goalBrad May
- P1 05:33TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
- P1 04:48TORShot on goalIan White
- P1 03:38—Penalty—
- P1 00:22TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
TOR vs TBL · 87 events