Forensic report
65 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
CGY
- Goals
- 6
- xG (flurry)
- 0.22
- xG (raw)
- 0.22
- Deserve %
- 51.7%
- Finishing luck
- +5.78
TOR
- Goals
- 8
- xG (flurry)
- 0.21
- xG (raw)
- 0.21
- Deserve %
- 48.3%
- Finishing luck
- +7.79
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | O. Jokinen | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23:57 | |
| 12 | J. Iginla | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:11 | |
| 20 | C. Glencross | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24:07 | |
| 13 | M. Cammalleri | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | |
| 16 | D. Boyd | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 | |
| 22 | D. Langkow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | |
| 23 | E. Nystrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 05:37 | |
| 24 | C. Conroy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 | |
| 25 | D. Moss | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 16:13 | |
| 27 | A. Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 04:17 | |
| 45 | J. Lundmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 11:54 | |
| 63 | W. Peters | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 05:20 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | D. Phaneuf | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 4 | 2 | 28:06 | |
| 33 | A. Aucoin | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21:20 | |
| 4 | J. Vandermeer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20:54 | |
| 6 | C. Sarich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 18:32 | |
| 28 | R. Regehr | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 16:13 | |
| 40 | J. Leopold | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McElhinney | 7 | 1 | 85.7% | 16:03 | L |
| M. Kiprusoff | 22 | 6 | 72.7% | 41:19 | — |
Shot map
65 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:55—Penalty—
- P3 19:30CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
- P3 19:20CGYShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P3 19:01TORGoalMikhail Grabovski, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Jeff Finger
- P3 17:41CGYGoalOlli Jokinen, Adrian Aucoin, Michael Cammalleri
- P3 16:58CGYShot on goalAdrian Aucoin
- P3 16:10TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P3 15:29CGYShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P3 15:05CGYShot on goalEric Nystrom
- P3 14:23CGYShot on goalCory Sarich
- P3 13:07—Penalty—
- P3 12:24CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
- P3 12:07TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
- P3 11:04TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P3 10:44CGYGoalJarome Iginla, Olli Jokinen, Curtis Glencross
- P3 09:04CGYShot on goalDustin Boyd
- P3 08:08—Penalty—
- P3 08:08—Penalty—
- P3 08:08—Penalty—
- P3 07:05CGYShot on goalCory Sarich
- P3 06:31TORGoalJamal Mayers, Luke Schenn, Matt Stajan
- P3 05:20TORShot on goalIan White
- P3 04:17TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
- P3 03:37TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 02:04—Penalty—
- P3 02:04—Penalty—
- P3 02:03CGYShot on goalJamie Lundmark
- P3 01:19TORGoalNikolay Kulemin, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Mikhail Grabovski
- P3 00:47TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 19:07CGYShot on goalDavid Moss
- P2 18:15CGYGoalOlli Jokinen, Dion Phaneuf, Miikka Kiprusoff
- P2 17:49—Penalty—
- P2 17:49CGYShot on goalMichael Cammalleri
- P2 17:33TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 16:46CGYShot on goalDustin Boyd
- P2 16:17CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
- P2 15:28TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
- P2 15:12TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
- P2 14:59CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
- P2 14:16—Penalty—
- P2 14:16—Penalty—
- P2 12:20TORGoalJohn Mitchell, Lee Stempniak, Luke Schenn
- P2 12:10CGYShot on goalCurtis Glencross
- P2 10:46CGYShot on goalJim Vandermeer
- P2 10:31CGYShot on goalDavid Moss
- P2 08:19CGYShot on goalCory Sarich
- P2 07:05TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
- P2 07:05TORGoalJeff Hamilton, Boyd Devereaux, Matt Stajan
- P2 06:48TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P2 05:38TORShot on goalJeff Finger
- P2 05:17CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
- P2 04:47CGYShot on goalMichael Cammalleri
- P2 00:26CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
- P1 19:55TORShot on goalBen Ondrus
- P1 19:46CGYShot on goalDustin Boyd
- P1 19:32CGYGoalCurtis Glencross, Jarome Iginla, Dion Phaneuf
- P1 17:28CGYGoalDion Phaneuf, Olli Jokinen, Adrian Aucoin
- P1 17:09CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
- P1 16:06CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
- P1 15:45—Penalty—
- P1 14:57CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
- P1 14:47—Penalty—
- P1 14:42CGYShot on goalMichael Cammalleri
- P1 11:50TORShot on goalIan White
- P1 11:37CGYGoalOlli Jokinen, Jarome Iginla, Adrian Aucoin
- P1 10:45—Penalty—
- P1 10:34TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P1 10:34TORGoalMikhail Grabovski, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Jeff Finger
- P1 10:32TORShot on goalJeff Finger
- P1 10:08TORGoalJason Blake, Anton Stralman, John Mitchell
- P1 09:03TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 08:55—Penalty—
- P1 08:29—Penalty—
- P1 08:29—Penalty—
- P1 08:09TORGoalJeff Finger, Alexei Ponikarovsky
- P1 07:57TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
- P1 07:35TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P1 06:06TORShot on goalBrad May
- P1 04:45CGYShot on goalMichael Cammalleri
- P1 04:01TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P1 03:44CGYShot on goalCurtis Glencross
CGY vs TOR · 81 events