ForensicHockey

Forensic report

62 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: DAL

CAR

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
48.4%
Finishing luck
+1.81

DAL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
51.6%
Finishing luck
+2.79

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
17R. Brind'Amour11212019:43
13R. Whitney101-11017:31
8M. Cullen011-13221:09
12E. Staal01111121:19
14S. Samsonov00001119:14
15T. Ruutu000-18118:33
20M. Ryan000-20004:16
26E. Cole000-14018:16
36J. Jokinen000-21008:54
44P. Eaves00002012:44
59C. LaRose00000015:59

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4D. Seidenberg00012018:40
5F. Kaberle00001014:32
6T. Gleason000-33120:33
7N. Wallin00004112:00
33A. Babchuk00010019:05
38T. Conboy000-10003:40
77J. Corvo000-30128:59

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
C. Ward31390.3%58:53L
M. LeightonNaN%

Shot map

62 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:22CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P3 18:53CARShot on goalErik Cole
  • P3 14:22CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P3 13:45CARGoalRay Whitney, Rod Brind'Amour, Matt Cullen
  • P3 13:32CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
  • P3 12:12CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
  • P3 12:07Penalty
  • P3 11:57CARShot on goalAnton Babchuk
  • P3 11:11CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
  • P3 10:52CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
  • P3 10:09Penalty
  • P3 10:03CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
  • P3 09:56CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
  • P3 09:42CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
  • P3 09:39CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
  • P3 09:25DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P3 09:13CARShot on goalAnton Babchuk
  • P3 09:04CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P3 06:15DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P3 05:59DALShot on goalLoui Eriksson
  • P3 05:22DALShot on goalDarryl Sydor
  • P3 04:07DALShot on goalJoel Lundqvist
  • P3 03:40DALShot on goalSteve Ott
  • P2 19:49CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
  • P2 19:26CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
  • P2 19:06Penalty
  • P2 18:59CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
  • P2 17:28DALShot on goalJames Neal
  • P2 16:35DALShot on goalLandon Wilson
  • P2 15:55DALShot on goalBrendan Morrison
  • P2 15:52Penalty
  • P2 14:30DALShot on goalNicklas Grossmann
  • P2 12:48CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
  • P2 10:34DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P2 09:51DALGoalBrendan Morrison, Mike Modano, Nicklas Grossmann
  • P2 06:45Penalty
  • P2 06:25DALGoalSteve Begin, Chris Conner
  • P2 06:21DALShot on goalChris Conner
  • P2 05:28CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
  • P2 05:01DALShot on goalBrendan Morrison
  • P2 04:01CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P2 02:57CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
  • P2 01:01DALGoalMike Ribeiro, Matt Niskanen, Loui Eriksson
  • P1 18:29DALShot on goalChris Conner
  • P1 16:50DALShot on goalLandon Wilson
  • P1 16:49DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P1 16:13DALShot on goalLandon Wilson
  • P1 15:40CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
  • P1 14:45Penalty
  • P1 11:57CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P1 11:11DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P1 10:44CARShot on goalTim Conboy
  • P1 09:08DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P1 07:55DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P1 07:23CARGoalRod Brind'Amour, Eric Staal, Cam Ward
  • P1 07:16DALShot on goalJames Neal
  • P1 06:54DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P1 06:20DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P1 06:03Penalty
  • P1 06:03DALShot on goalLoui Eriksson
  • P1 05:21CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
  • P1 04:51DALShot on goalJames Neal
  • P1 04:25DALShot on goalSteve Ott
  • P1 04:24DALShot on goalSteve Ott
  • P1 03:39CARShot on goalAnton Babchuk
  • P1 03:00CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
  • P1 02:38CARShot on goalJussi Jokinen
  • P1 01:37DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P1 00:16CARShot on goalTim Gleason

CAR vs DAL · 69 events