ForensicHockey

Forensic report

49 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: STL

DAL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.14
xG (raw)
0.14
Deserve %
41.3%
Finishing luck
+1.86

STL

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
58.7%
Finishing luck
+4.80

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
18J. Neal101-13020:33
63M. Ribeiro10101022:08
9M. Modano011-10018:52
11B. Morrison00010020:42
13K. Barch000-10003:32
20B. Sutherby000-10010:41
21L. Eriksson00000120:22
22L. Wilson00002009:02
25C. Conner000-30012:10
29S. Ott00012020:45
37M. Parrish00000001:46
44S. Begin000-12112:37

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
6T. Daley011-11223:20
2N. Grossmann000-11013:24
3S. Robidas000-16026:29
5M. Niskanen000-10219:11
28M. Fistric00004012:46
55D. Sydor00000118:32

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
T. Stephan19289.5%48:00
M. Turco8362.5%11:56L

Shot map

49 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 17:27Penalty
  • P3 17:27Penalty
  • P3 17:01DALShot on goalMike Ribeiro
  • P3 15:56STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P3 15:02Penalty
  • P3 14:08DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P3 13:58DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P3 13:37DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P3 13:26Penalty
  • P3 11:27DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P3 11:00Penalty
  • P3 10:09DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P3 09:54STLShot on goalJay McClement
  • P3 09:15DALShot on goalDarryl Sydor
  • P3 08:32STLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen
  • P3 07:12STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P3 06:11STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P3 03:51DALShot on goalChris Conner
  • P3 01:09STLShot on goalPatrik Berglund
  • P3 00:49Penalty
  • P2 19:59STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P2 18:59STLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen
  • P2 16:38Penalty
  • P2 16:38Penalty
  • P2 16:37DALShot on goalMike Ribeiro
  • P2 16:05DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P2 15:40STLGoalKeith Tkachuk, Brad Boyes, Carlo Colaiacovo
  • P2 15:13STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P2 14:47Penalty
  • P2 11:50Penalty
  • P2 11:48DALShot on goalMike Ribeiro
  • P2 11:37DALGoalMike Ribeiro
  • P2 10:13DALShot on goalJames Neal
  • P2 09:59STLGoalDavid Perron, T.J. Oshie
  • P2 07:36STLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen
  • P2 06:35STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P2 06:09STLShot on goalT.J. Oshie
  • P2 05:20DALGoalJames Neal, Mike Modano, Trevor Daley
  • P2 03:53DALShot on goalLoui Eriksson
  • P2 03:24Penalty
  • P2 02:35STLShot on goalAndy McDonald
  • P2 02:15STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P1 19:35STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P1 18:22STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P1 15:22Penalty
  • P1 14:55STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P1 14:43DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P1 12:53DALShot on goalBrendan Morrison
  • P1 11:56Penalty
  • P1 11:56Penalty
  • P1 11:56STLGoalBrad Winchester, David Backes, Roman Polak
  • P1 11:54STLShot on goalBrad Winchester
  • P1 11:53STLShot on goalBrad Winchester
  • P1 11:45STLShot on goalAndy McDonald
  • P1 11:37Penalty
  • P1 10:42DALShot on goalLoui Eriksson
  • P1 08:46Penalty
  • P1 08:44DALShot on goalSteve Begin
  • P1 07:55STLShot on goalPatrik Berglund
  • P1 07:02Penalty
  • P1 07:02Penalty
  • P1 07:02Penalty
  • P1 07:02Penalty
  • P1 06:32STLGoalDavid Perron, Carlo Colaiacovo, Mike Weaver
  • P1 03:44DALShot on goalSteve Ott
  • P1 03:33DALShot on goalBrendan Morrison
  • P1 03:28Penalty
  • P1 02:15DALShot on goalDarryl Sydor
  • P1 00:59STLGoalDavid Backes, Alexander Steen, Jay McKee
  • P1 00:27STLShot on goalJay McClement

DAL vs STL · 70 events