Forensic report
62 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
CAR
- Goals
- 9
- xG (flurry)
- 0.26
- xG (raw)
- 0.26
- Deserve %
- 62.3%
- Finishing luck
- +8.74
TBL
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.16
- xG (raw)
- 0.16
- Deserve %
- 37.7%
- Finishing luck
- +2.84
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | E. Staal | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | |
| 15 | T. Ruutu | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:05 | |
| 26 | E. Cole | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14:50 | |
| 17 | R. Brind'Amour | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | |
| 14 | S. Samsonov | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | |
| 8 | M. Cullen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:21 | |
| 59 | C. LaRose | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | |
| 13 | R. Whitney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | |
| 20 | M. Ryan | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 09:46 | |
| 44 | P. Eaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17:17 | |
| 63 | D. Helminen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | J. Corvo | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:34 | |
| 33 | A. Babchuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:42 | |
| 25 | J. Pitkanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22:39 | |
| 4 | D. Seidenberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 22:04 | |
| 6 | T. Gleason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:08 | |
| 7 | N. Wallin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | |
| 38 | T. Conboy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 25 | 3 | 88.0% | 59:57 | W |
| M. Leighton | NaN% | — |
Shot map
62 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:51—Penalty—
- P3 19:51—Penalty—
- P3 19:51—Penalty—
- P3 19:49CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
- P3 16:47CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
- P3 16:03CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P3 14:53TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P3 14:34—Penalty—
- P3 13:38CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P3 13:16TBLShot on goalPaul Szczechura
- P3 11:06—Penalty—
- P3 10:34TBLShot on goalJosef Melichar
- P3 10:19CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
- P3 09:12TBLGoalRyan Malone, Vinny Prospal, Vincent Lecavalier
- P3 08:19TBLShot on goalAdam Hall
- P3 07:55CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
- P3 07:43TBLShot on goalPaul Szczechura
- P3 05:06CARShot on goalDwight Helminen
- P3 04:14TBLShot on goalMartins Karsums
- P3 03:30TBLGoalVincent Lecavalier, Ryan Malone, Vinny Prospal
- P3 03:28TBLShot on goalRyan Malone
- P3 02:02CARShot on goalDwight Helminen
- P2 19:33CARGoalTuomo Ruutu, Eric Staal, Erik Cole
- P2 17:43CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P2 16:45CARGoalEric Staal, Tuomo Ruutu, Erik Cole
- P2 16:27TBLShot on goalMatt Smaby
- P2 16:23TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 16:19TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 14:18TBLShot on goalNoah Welch
- P2 13:24TBLShot on goalMatt Smaby
- P2 12:48CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 12:48CARGoalEric Staal, Chad LaRose, Tuomo Ruutu
- P2 12:46CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 11:15CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P2 10:36CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P2 09:38TBLShot on goalLukas Krajicek
- P2 09:31TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 09:19TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 09:00CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P2 08:56CARShot on goalAnton Babchuk
- P2 08:30CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
- P2 07:16CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 06:03CARGoalTuomo Ruutu, Sergei Samsonov, Joe Corvo
- P2 06:02CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P2 06:01CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P2 06:00CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P2 05:51—Penalty—
- P2 05:42—Penalty—
- P2 03:48CARGoalRod Brind'Amour, Sergei Samsonov, Matt Cullen
- P2 03:11—Penalty—
- P2 02:41CARGoalJoe Corvo, Erik Cole, Eric Staal
- P2 02:20CARShot on goalTim Conboy
- P2 02:15CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
- P2 01:10CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P1 19:16TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P1 17:53—Penalty—
- P1 16:37CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 14:10—Penalty—
- P1 13:48TBLShot on goalRyan Malone
- P1 12:43TBLGoalMartin St. Louis, Steven Stamkos, Paul Szczechura
- P1 10:59TBLShot on goalJosef Melichar
- P1 10:09CARGoalAnton Babchuk, Joni Pitkanen
- P1 09:40CARGoalEric Staal, Erik Cole, Tuomo Ruutu
- P1 08:58TBLShot on goalEvgeny Artyukhin
- P1 08:52TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P1 07:12CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P1 07:01CARGoalEric Staal, Rod Brind'Amour
- P1 06:47—Penalty—
- P1 05:24CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P1 05:05TBLShot on goalPaul Szczechura
- P1 04:12CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
- P1 03:05CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P1 00:57TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
CAR vs TBL · 73 events