ForensicHockey

Forensic report

58 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: TOR

EDM

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.11
xG (raw)
0.11
Deserve %
30.4%
Finishing luck
+3.89

TOR

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.26
xG (raw)
0.26
Deserve %
69.6%
Finishing luck
+0.74

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
51K. Brodziak20221212:26
83A. Hemsky11221018:08
10S. Horcoff02220020:05
34F. Pisani10113016:36
13A. Cogliano01112012:37
85L. Reddox01111013:20
19P. O'Sullivan00002116:38
21A. Kotalik00013017:15
27D. Penner00010008:16
46Z. Stortini00013209:13
78M. Pouliot00002014:37
89S. Gagner00000015:35

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
37D. Grebeshkov01142124:54
77T. Gilbert01132024:18
5L. Smid00000000:30
24S. Staios00003528:19
43J. Strudwick00012114:52
44S. Souray00000127:13

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
D. Roloson40197.5%60:00W
J. DeslauriersNaN%

Shot map

58 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:45Penalty
  • P3 19:45Penalty
  • P3 19:32EDMGoalKyle Brodziak, Ales Hemsky, Shawn Horcoff
  • P3 18:57TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P3 17:09TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P3 16:50Penalty
  • P3 16:50Penalty
  • P3 16:50Penalty
  • P3 16:50Penalty
  • P3 16:50TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P3 16:31TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P3 16:12EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P3 12:42Penalty
  • P3 11:59TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P3 10:37EDMShot on goalLiam Reddox
  • P3 08:34Penalty
  • P3 08:12TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P3 06:16EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P3 05:40TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P3 05:24TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P3 04:41EDMShot on goalMarc-Antoine Pouliot
  • P3 03:58TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P3 03:27TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P3 03:21TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P3 02:23EDMShot on goalDenis Grebeshkov
  • P3 00:50Penalty
  • P3 00:33TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P3 00:27TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 19:26TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P2 19:20TORShot on goalIan White
  • P2 15:50TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P2 15:30TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 14:39TORShot on goalBrad May
  • P2 13:23TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 11:22TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 10:45EDMGoalFernando Pisani, Denis Grebeshkov, Andrew Cogliano
  • P2 09:29EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P2 08:34EDMGoalKyle Brodziak, Liam Reddox
  • P2 08:14EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P2 07:56TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P2 06:05Penalty
  • P2 06:05Penalty
  • P2 06:03TORShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P2 04:52TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 04:49TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 04:24TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P2 03:02TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 02:35TORShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P2 01:38TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 01:29EDMGoalAles Hemsky, Shawn Horcoff, Tom Gilbert
  • P2 01:08TORGoalAlexei Ponikarovsky, Matt Stajan, Lee Stempniak
  • P2 01:05TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 16:22EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P1 15:27EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P1 14:52TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P1 14:40TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P1 14:32EDMShot on goalJason Strudwick
  • P1 12:31TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 12:25TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P1 11:21Penalty
  • P1 11:21Penalty
  • P1 11:20EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P1 10:39EDMShot on goalShawn Horcoff
  • P1 10:31EDMShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P1 09:44TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P1 08:38EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P1 05:30TORShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P1 04:48TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 04:45TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 04:33TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 02:02TORShot on goalIan White

EDM vs TOR · 72 events