ForensicHockey

Forensic report

67 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: WSH

TOR

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
42.3%
Finishing luck
+1.82

WSH

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.24
xG (raw)
0.24
Deserve %
57.7%
Finishing luck
+0.76

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
12L. Stempniak10100115:28
14M. Stajan01102218:04
23A. Ponikarovsky01100317:38
39J. Mitchell01113021:09
51J. Hamilton01110014:06
10B. May00000005:22
21J. Mayers00000011:27
22B. Devereaux00001312:36
25B. Ondrus00003008:32
41N. Kulemin00000211:57
55J. Blake00011120:57
84M. Grabovski00001016:11

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
77P. Kubina10122524:35
2L. Schenn00003221:53
4J. Finger000-13213:03
7I. White00001125:04
24J. Frogren00011009:08
26M. Van Ryn00000225:01

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Gerber38197.4%59:49W
C. JosephNaN%

Shot map

67 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:28WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P3 19:21WSHGoalAlexander Semin, Nicklas Backstrom
  • P3 19:08WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P3 16:38TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P3 16:02TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P3 15:59TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P3 14:31TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P3 13:17TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P3 12:35TORShot on goalIan White
  • P3 11:10TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P3 09:47TORGoalPavel Kubina, John Mitchell, Jeff Hamilton
  • P3 08:04WSHShot on goalShaone Morrisonn
  • P3 06:37WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P3 06:05TORGoalLee Stempniak, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Matt Stajan
  • P3 06:01TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P3 05:18WSHShot on goalJohn Erskine
  • P3 04:35WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P3 04:17TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P3 03:47WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P3 01:38TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P3 01:21WSHShot on goalMilan Jurcina
  • P3 01:09Penalty
  • P3 01:06Penalty
  • P3 01:04WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P3 00:34WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P3 00:22WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P3 00:14WSHShot on goalDavid Steckel
  • P3 00:07WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P2 19:59WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 18:17TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P2 17:57WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P2 16:56WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P2 15:56Penalty
  • P2 15:49TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 15:44TORShot on goalJohn Mitchell
  • P2 14:39WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P2 13:41TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P2 12:20Penalty
  • P2 12:19TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 10:47WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P2 09:56WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P2 08:49TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P2 08:38WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P2 08:03Penalty
  • P2 07:17WSHShot on goalBoyd Gordon
  • P2 05:36TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P2 05:15WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P2 02:04WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P2 00:45TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P2 00:26WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P1 19:41WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P1 18:45WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 18:22Penalty
  • P1 17:30TORShot on goalJeff Hamilton
  • P1 16:50WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P1 16:43WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P1 16:12WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P1 14:17TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P1 14:00WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P1 12:47TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P1 11:02TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 10:51WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P1 10:11TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 10:03WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P1 09:33TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P1 09:21WSHShot on goalSergei Fedorov
  • P1 08:32WSHShot on goalMilan Jurcina
  • P1 08:27Penalty
  • P1 08:27Penalty
  • P1 08:21TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P1 07:42TORShot on goalMike Van Ryn
  • P1 05:31TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P1 04:37Penalty
  • P1 04:01Penalty
  • P1 02:50WSHShot on goalBoyd Gordon
  • P1 02:49WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P1 00:44WSHShot on goalMatt Bradley

TOR vs WSH · 77 events