ForensicHockey

Forensic report

71 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: WSH

CAR

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
41.3%
Finishing luck
+4.81

WSH

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.26
xG (raw)
0.26
Deserve %
58.7%
Finishing luck
+1.74

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
8M. Cullen12320018:25
44P. Eaves20213116:11
59C. LaRose11212318:19
13R. Whitney02200017:36
12E. Staal10110023:03
14S. Samsonov00000119:11
15T. Ruutu00007221:10
17R. Brind'Amour00001017:25
20M. Ryan00000212:32
24S. Walker00001002:53
63D. Helminen00001004:05

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4D. Seidenberg01111421:17
6T. Gleason01111118:20
7N. Wallin00015216:08
25J. Pitkanen00002217:44
33A. Babchuk00003023:58
38T. Conboy00001003:17
77J. Corvo00010122:12

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
C. Ward41295.1%60:00W
M. LeightonNaN%

Shot map

71 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:55Penalty
  • P3 18:40Penalty
  • P3 18:14WSHGoalSergei Fedorov, Alexander Semin, Shaone Morrisonn
  • P3 16:33WSHShot on goalDavid Steckel
  • P3 16:28WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P3 16:09WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P3 15:57WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P3 15:12WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P3 13:37CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P3 12:48CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P3 12:12CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
  • P3 09:40WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P3 08:44WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P3 08:37CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
  • P3 08:30CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
  • P3 08:25CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
  • P3 07:19WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P3 06:48CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
  • P3 06:18WSHShot on goalDavid Steckel
  • P3 05:24WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P3 04:25Penalty
  • P3 03:59CARShot on goalChad LaRose
  • P3 03:47WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P3 03:23CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P3 02:49CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P3 02:18WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P3 01:37WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P2 19:57WSHGoalAlexander Semin, Alex Ovechkin, Sergei Fedorov
  • P2 19:48Penalty
  • P2 19:47WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 18:05CARGoalPatrick Eaves, Ray Whitney, Dennis Seidenberg
  • P2 17:56CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
  • P2 16:45WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 16:40Penalty
  • P2 16:24CARGoalChad LaRose, Ray Whitney, Matt Cullen
  • P2 15:41WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 14:36WSHShot on goalStaffan Kronwall
  • P2 14:13WSHShot on goalBoyd Gordon
  • P2 13:27WSHShot on goalDonald Brashear
  • P2 12:46WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P2 12:28CARShot on goalChad LaRose
  • P2 11:14WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P2 10:23WSHShot on goalDavid Steckel
  • P2 10:20WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P2 10:19WSHShot on goalDavid Steckel
  • P2 09:30CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P2 07:57Penalty
  • P2 07:42CARGoalPatrick Eaves, Matt Cullen, Chad LaRose
  • P2 07:10Penalty
  • P2 07:00CARShot on goalTim Conboy
  • P2 06:23WSHShot on goalMatt Bradley
  • P2 05:19WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P2 03:52CARGoalMatt Cullen, Tim Gleason
  • P2 03:37Penalty
  • P2 02:45CARShot on goalScott Walker
  • P2 02:03WSHShot on goalDavid Steckel
  • P2 00:46WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P2 00:12CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P1 19:54WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P1 19:49WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P1 19:25CARGoalEric Staal
  • P1 18:58WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 16:11CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P1 16:01WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P1 15:45CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
  • P1 15:07WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P1 14:29WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P1 13:51WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P1 13:36CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P1 13:30CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P1 12:49WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P1 12:16CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
  • P1 10:18CARShot on goalTim Gleason
  • P1 10:05WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P1 09:40Penalty
  • P1 09:01CARShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 08:58CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P1 08:27CARShot on goalScott Walker
  • P1 04:12WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 02:44Penalty
  • P1 00:53WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin

CAR vs WSH · 81 events