Forensic report
70 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TOR
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.25
- xG (raw)
- 0.25
- Deserve %
- 55.1%
- Finishing luck
- +3.75
OTT
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.21
- xG (raw)
- 0.21
- Deserve %
- 44.9%
- Finishing luck
- +2.79
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | J. Mayers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 08:29 | |
| 42 | T. Stapleton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:48 | |
| 14 | M. Stajan | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 | |
| 19 | D. Moore | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19:35 | |
| 39 | J. Mitchell | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13:21 | |
| 55 | J. Blake | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 | |
| 80 | N. Antropov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:35 | |
| 84 | M. Grabovski | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:44 | |
| 10 | B. May | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:36 | |
| 12 | L. Stempniak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:42 | |
| 23 | A. Ponikarovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 15:27 | |
| 41 | N. Kulemin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | P. Kubina | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 21:53 | |
| 7 | I. White | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23:17 | |
| 15 | T. Kaberle | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 20:25 | |
| 2 | L. Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23:02 | |
| 24 | J. Frogren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 09:33 | |
| 26 | M. Van Ryn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 22:04 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Joseph | 32 | 3 | 90.6% | 60:33 | W |
| V. Toskala | NaN% | — |
Shot map
70 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P4 00:33TORGoalPavel Kubina, Ian White, Matt Stajan
- P3 18:08TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P3 16:21TORShot on goalIan White
- P3 16:01TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P3 14:48TORGoalPavel Kubina, Nik Antropov, Mikhail Grabovski
- P3 14:33TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
- P3 13:30—Penalty—
- P3 13:10OTTShot on goalShean Donovan
- P3 12:10OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester
- P3 09:58OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester
- P3 08:10OTTShot on goalJason Spezza
- P3 07:30OTTShot on goalMike Comrie
- P3 06:31OTTShot on goalNick Foligno
- P3 06:21TORShot on goalMike Van Ryn
- P3 05:52TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P3 05:26OTTShot on goalJason Spezza
- P3 04:26OTTGoalDaniel Alfredsson, Mike Fisher
- P3 04:16TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 01:06TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
- P3 00:51OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P2 19:54TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P2 18:21—Penalty—
- P2 18:19TORShot on goalMike Van Ryn
- P2 18:10TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P2 17:42OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P2 17:10TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 16:34TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
- P2 15:27—Penalty—
- P2 15:27—Penalty—
- P2 14:55OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P2 14:46TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P2 13:54OTTShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P2 12:08OTTShot on goalJason Smith
- P2 11:26TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
- P2 10:15—Penalty—
- P2 09:27TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P2 08:39TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P2 07:51OTTShot on goalChris Kelly
- P2 07:42OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester
- P2 07:23OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester
- P2 06:39OTTShot on goalMike Fisher
- P2 05:12OTTShot on goalChris Campoli
- P2 04:49TORShot on goalTim Stapleton
- P2 04:33OTTGoalJarkko Ruutu, Mike Comrie, Shean Donovan
- P2 04:31OTTShot on goalMike Comrie
- P2 03:59OTTShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P2 02:50OTTShot on goalDaniel Alfredsson
- P2 01:54—Penalty—
- P2 01:24OTTShot on goalChris Kelly
- P2 00:28OTTGoalRyan Shannon, Jason Spezza, Dany Heatley
- P1 19:39OTTShot on goalDaniel Alfredsson
- P1 19:33TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P1 18:53TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 18:19OTTShot on goalJason Spezza
- P1 16:00OTTShot on goalDaniel Alfredsson
- P1 15:59OTTShot on goalChris Phillips
- P1 15:28TORGoalTim Stapleton, Jason Blake, Dominic Moore
- P1 15:27TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 14:54TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 13:53OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester
- P1 13:42TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P1 12:46TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P1 12:45TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P1 12:39TORShot on goalNik Antropov
- P1 12:10TORShot on goalTim Stapleton
- P1 11:39TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P1 10:03TORShot on goalNik Antropov
- P1 09:03OTTShot on goalDaniel Alfredsson
- P1 08:40TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 06:39TORGoalJamal Mayers, John Mitchell, Tomas Kaberle
- P1 06:17TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
- P1 06:12TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
- P1 05:00TORShot on goalNik Antropov
- P1 04:58TORShot on goalNik Antropov
- P1 03:41OTTShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P1 03:03OTTShot on goalJesse Winchester
TOR vs OTT · 76 events