ForensicHockey

Forensic report

67 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: NYR

TOR

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
36.4%
Finishing luck
+2.82

NYR

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.32
xG (raw)
0.32
Deserve %
63.6%
Finishing luck
+1.68

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
12L. Stempniak03322013:57
9N. Hagman10101018:01
39J. Mitchell10120013:46
14M. Stajan000-11017:22
19D. Moore000-21017:44
21J. Mayers00011009:58
22B. Devereaux00002112:58
23A. Ponikarovsky00003014:04
41N. Kulemin00001311:47
55J. Blake000-11118:50
80N. Antropov000-13119:09
84M. Grabovski00000013:39

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
77P. Kubina03321026:03
7I. White10113124:33
2L. Schenn000-24024:29
4J. Finger000-11322:55
24J. Frogren00001217:47
59J. Sifers00004006:58

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
C. JosephNaN%
V. Toskala41295.1%63:00W

Shot map

67 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P4 03:00TORGoalNiklas Hagman, Pavel Kubina, Lee Stempniak
  • P4 02:07Penalty
  • P4 02:07TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P4 01:47NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P4 00:58NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P4 00:38NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
  • P3 19:59NYRShot on goalBlair Betts
  • P3 19:20NYRGoalMichal Rozsival, Ryan Callahan, Brandon Dubinsky
  • P3 19:18NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P3 17:55NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P3 17:18Penalty
  • P3 17:12NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
  • P3 16:58TORShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P3 16:47TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P3 15:48Penalty
  • P3 15:28NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P3 14:54NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P3 07:59NYRShot on goalRyan Callahan
  • P3 06:42NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P3 06:18TORGoalIan White, Pavel Kubina, Lee Stempniak
  • P3 05:53NYRGoalScott Gomez, Brandon Dubinsky, Michal Rozsival
  • P3 05:27Penalty
  • P3 05:27Penalty
  • P3 03:54TORGoalJohn Mitchell, Pavel Kubina, Lee Stempniak
  • P2 19:13NYRShot on goalWade Redden
  • P2 19:02NYRShot on goalDmitri Kalinin
  • P2 18:59NYRShot on goalRyan Callahan
  • P2 18:33NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P2 18:25NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P2 18:03NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P2 16:51Penalty
  • P2 13:06NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P2 11:20TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P2 09:49NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P2 09:20NYRShot on goalMarc Staal
  • P2 09:12NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P2 09:09NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
  • P2 08:23NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P2 08:22NYRShot on goalAaron Voros
  • P2 08:20NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P2 07:32NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P2 07:03TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 06:29Penalty
  • P2 05:00NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P2 04:48TORShot on goalNiklas Hagman
  • P2 04:37TORShot on goalNiklas Hagman
  • P2 04:10NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P2 03:57TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 00:49NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P2 00:45NYRShot on goalFredrik Sjostrom
  • P1 19:57TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P1 19:40Penalty
  • P1 19:31TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P1 19:23TORShot on goalNiklas Hagman
  • P1 18:44TORShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P1 17:59TORShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 17:57TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P1 17:54TORShot on goalIan White
  • P1 17:27NYRShot on goalFredrik Sjostrom
  • P1 16:41TORShot on goalMikhail Grabovski
  • P1 16:26NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
  • P1 12:47TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P1 11:51TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P1 11:33TORShot on goalLuke Schenn
  • P1 10:17TORShot on goalBoyd Devereaux
  • P1 09:35TORShot on goalNikolay Kulemin
  • P1 09:00NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P1 07:58NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
  • P1 07:47NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P1 07:01TORShot on goalIan White
  • P1 06:06TORShot on goalNik Antropov
  • P1 05:14Penalty
  • P1 03:04Penalty
  • P1 03:04NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P1 03:02NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
  • P1 02:03Penalty
  • P1 02:03Penalty
  • P1 00:54NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P1 00:37NYRShot on goalScott Gomez

TOR vs NYR · 79 events