ForensicHockey

Forensic report

45 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: STL

STL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.16
xG (raw)
0.16
Deserve %
55.4%
Finishing luck
+2.84

CBJ

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.13
xG (raw)
0.13
Deserve %
44.6%
Finishing luck
+3.87

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
20A. Steen11200114:39
15B. Winchester101-13012:40
74T. Oshie10102018:25
10A. McDonald01100018:54
42D. Backes011-13218:33
7K. Tkachuk000-12018:26
18J. McClement00012013:40
21P. Berglund00000018:03
22B. Boyes000-13120:49
26B. Crombeen000-12011:32
55C. Janssen00002004:58
57D. Perron00002016:14

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
5B. Jackman000-21121:22
28C. Colaiacovo00010323:33
29J. Woywitka000-21122:43
49S. Wagner000-13114:48
62T. Strachan00011111:53
77J. McKee00012016:08

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
C. Holt30100.0%18:33
C. Mason18477.8%40:00L

Shot map

45 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:45STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P3 16:05STLGoalT.J. Oshie, Andy McDonald, Alexander Steen
  • P3 14:07Penalty
  • P3 13:16CBJShot on goalAndrew Murray
  • P3 10:48STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P3 10:43STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P3 10:09CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P3 09:45STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P3 09:33STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P3 09:11Penalty
  • P3 07:43STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P3 06:54STLGoalAlexander Steen
  • P3 06:44Penalty
  • P3 06:17STLShot on goalT.J. Oshie
  • P3 05:50CBJShot on goalMike Commodore
  • P3 05:09STLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen
  • P3 03:58Penalty
  • P3 02:24STLShot on goalBrad Winchester
  • P3 02:11STLShot on goalAndy McDonald
  • P3 00:54STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P2 19:53CBJShot on goalMichael Peca
  • P2 19:23STLShot on goalAndy McDonald
  • P2 17:08CBJGoalAndrew Murray, Fedor Tyutin, Michael Peca
  • P2 16:56CBJShot on goalFedor Tyutin
  • P2 16:35CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P2 16:22Penalty
  • P2 16:22Penalty
  • P2 15:38CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P2 14:40CBJShot on goalKristian Huselius
  • P2 13:56CBJShot on goalAndrew Murray
  • P2 13:46CBJShot on goalChristian Backman
  • P2 09:56STLShot on goalT.J. Oshie
  • P2 07:54Penalty
  • P2 04:45Penalty
  • P2 03:57CBJGoalRick Nash, Manny Malhotra, Christian Backman
  • P2 03:32STLGoalBrad Winchester, David Backes
  • P2 03:25STLShot on goalBrad Winchester
  • P2 02:24STLShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 18:18CBJShot on goalJared Boll
  • P1 17:52CBJGoalManny Malhotra
  • P1 14:07STLShot on goalJay McKee
  • P1 12:46STLShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
  • P1 12:29STLShot on goalJay McClement
  • P1 12:02CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 11:39CBJShot on goalJakub Voracek
  • P1 11:03STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P1 09:56STLShot on goalJay McClement
  • P1 09:07STLShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P1 08:28CBJShot on goalFedor Tyutin
  • P1 08:22CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 06:03CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P1 05:40CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 01:15CBJGoalFedor Tyutin, Jason Williams, Rick Nash
  • P1 01:08Penalty

STL vs CBJ · 55 events