Forensic report
65 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
ATL
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.15
- xG (raw)
- 0.15
- Deserve %
- 36.8%
- Finishing luck
- +2.85
TBL
- Goals
- 1
- xG (flurry)
- 0.26
- xG (raw)
- 0.26
- Deserve %
- 63.2%
- Finishing luck
- +0.74
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | V. Kozlov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15:25 | |
| 17 | I. Kovalchuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20:59 | |
| 49 | C. Stuart | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:12 | |
| 11 | E. Perrin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:45 | |
| 47 | R. Peverley | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | |
| 9 | E. Christensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | |
| 10 | B. Little | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | |
| 12 | T. White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:28 | |
| 20 | C. Armstrong | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | |
| 27 | C. Thorburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 08:19 | |
| 36 | E. Boulton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 08:49 | |
| 41 | J. Motzko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 08:20 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | M. Schneider | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:03 | |
| 28 | N. Havelid | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:15 | |
| 2 | G. Exelby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:16 | |
| 4 | Z. Bogosian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:03 | |
| 6 | R. Hainsey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20:57 | |
| 39 | T. Enstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:57 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hedberg | NaN% | — | |||
| K. Lehtonen | 41 | 1 | 97.6% | 59:59 | W |
Shot map
65 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:50ATLGoalIlya Kovalchuk
- P3 17:51ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P3 17:28TBLShot on goalRyan Malone
- P3 17:01TBLShot on goalCory Murphy
- P3 16:21TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P3 15:08TBLShot on goalSteve Downie
- P3 13:07TBLShot on goalRyan Malone
- P3 12:50TBLShot on goalSteve Eminger
- P3 12:26—Penalty—
- P3 12:07TBLShot on goalMark Recchi
- P3 11:51TBLShot on goalSteven Stamkos
- P3 10:09ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P3 10:05ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P3 09:34ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P3 09:32ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P3 09:27ATLShot on goalRich Peverley
- P3 07:04TBLShot on goalSteve Eminger
- P3 06:58TBLShot on goalRyan Craig
- P3 03:16TBLShot on goalSteven Stamkos
- P3 03:02TBLShot on goalRyan Craig
- P3 02:37TBLShot on goalGary Roberts
- P3 02:16TBLShot on goalSteve Eminger
- P3 01:19TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 01:04—Penalty—
- P3 00:55TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 00:23TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 19:59TBLShot on goalCory Murphy
- P2 19:20—Penalty—
- P2 19:18TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 15:45TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
- P2 15:33—Penalty—
- P2 14:28TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P2 14:01TBLShot on goalMark Recchi
- P2 13:57TBLShot on goalRyan Malone
- P2 13:10ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
- P2 10:42TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 10:38ATLShot on goalNiclas Havelid
- P2 09:18TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
- P2 08:57ATLShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P2 08:02TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 07:55ATLShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P2 07:44TBLShot on goalSteve Eminger
- P2 07:01ATLShot on goalRon Hainsey
- P2 06:51ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P2 06:37ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P2 06:32ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P2 06:08ATLShot on goalTodd White
- P2 05:41—Penalty—
- P2 05:09TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 03:19TBLShot on goalSteve Downie
- P2 02:40ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
- P2 02:27TBLShot on goalGary Roberts
- P2 02:02ATLGoalVyacheslav Kozlov, Rich Peverley, Niclas Havelid
- P1 18:17TBLShot on goalMatt Pettinger
- P1 16:25ATLShot on goalRich Peverley
- P1 16:09—Penalty—
- P1 15:26ATLShot on goalColin Stuart
- P1 13:37TBLShot on goalSteven Stamkos
- P1 12:35TBLShot on goalRyan Malone
- P1 09:52ATLGoalColin Stuart, Eric Perrin, Mathieu Schneider
- P1 08:28—Penalty—
- P1 08:28TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P1 08:14ATLShot on goalRich Peverley
- P1 07:44TBLShot on goalCory Murphy
- P1 07:33TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P1 07:06—Penalty—
- P1 06:53ATLShot on goalZach Bogosian
- P1 06:23ATLShot on goalGarnet Exelby
- P1 03:53TBLShot on goalGary Roberts
- P1 03:47TBLShot on goalMatt Smaby
- P1 01:24TBLGoalGary Roberts, Steve Downie, Steven Stamkos
- P1 01:05TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P1 01:02TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
ATL vs TBL · 73 events