ForensicHockey

Forensic report

61 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

COL

Goals
0
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
50.5%
Finishing luck
-0.20

CBJ

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
49.5%
Finishing luck
+2.81

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
8W. Wolski00001120:20
14I. Laperriere00003113:13
16D. Tucker000-15111:29
18B. Willsie000-11014:08
23M. Hejduk00000019:22
28B. Guite000-11110:14
37T. Hensick000-11011:01
39T. Arnason000-20014:41
40M. Svatos000-21015:38
42C. Stewart00006015:43
55C. McLeod000-15115:09
94R. Smyth00000118:02

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4J. Liles000-31316:44
5B. Clark00000520:58
22S. Hannan000-20321:22
24R. Salei00002121:13
29D. Tjarnqvist00000018:22
44J. Leopold000-11218:21

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. RaycroftNaN%
P. Budaj30390.0%60:00L

Shot map

61 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:50COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P3 19:12COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P3 18:52COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P3 15:43CBJShot on goalAndrew Murray
  • P3 14:30COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P3 13:55COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P3 13:45CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P3 13:16COLShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P3 12:16CBJGoalFreddy Modin, Jan Hejda, R.J. Umberger
  • P3 11:52COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P3 10:29CBJShot on goalFreddy Modin
  • P3 10:05COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P3 09:43CBJGoalJason Williams, Jakub Voracek, Jason Chimera
  • P3 09:30COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
  • P3 06:43COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P3 04:58COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 03:56CBJShot on goalJan Hejda
  • P3 03:03CBJShot on goalKristian Huselius
  • P3 02:55CBJShot on goalKris Russell
  • P3 02:50CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P3 02:29CBJGoalAndrew Murray, Raffi Torres, Jan Hejda
  • P3 02:07CBJShot on goalJason Chimera
  • P3 01:53COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P3 01:13COLShot on goalChris Stewart
  • P3 00:22COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 17:58COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
  • P2 17:52COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P2 17:37COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P2 14:11COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
  • P2 13:30CBJShot on goalJason Chimera
  • P2 12:45COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 08:30COLShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P2 08:21CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P2 06:39COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P2 04:54Penalty
  • P2 03:59COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P2 02:56COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P2 02:50COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P2 01:59CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P2 01:48Penalty
  • P2 01:46COLShot on goalJordan Leopold
  • P2 01:02COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P2 00:05COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P1 19:04Penalty
  • P1 19:01CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 18:21CBJShot on goalJason Williams
  • P1 18:14CBJShot on goalJakub Voracek
  • P1 17:50CBJShot on goalRostislav Klesla
  • P1 17:44CBJShot on goalManny Malhotra
  • P1 16:45COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P1 13:11CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P1 12:37CBJShot on goalManny Malhotra
  • P1 12:27CBJShot on goalJason Chimera
  • P1 12:10Penalty
  • P1 11:24CBJShot on goalFedor Tyutin
  • P1 11:18Penalty
  • P1 10:23COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P1 09:39COLShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 09:08CBJShot on goalMichael Peca
  • P1 09:05CBJShot on goalRaffi Torres
  • P1 08:20CBJShot on goalRick Nash
  • P1 05:57CBJShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 03:42CBJShot on goalRostislav Klesla
  • P1 03:15CBJShot on goalFreddy Modin
  • P1 02:32CBJShot on goalMichael Peca
  • P1 01:42COLShot on goalJordan Leopold

COL vs CBJ · 66 events