ForensicHockey

Forensic report

47 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: DET

DAL

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.15
xG (raw)
0.15
Deserve %
48.4%
Finishing luck
+3.85

DET

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.16
xG (raw)
0.16
Deserve %
51.6%
Finishing luck
+1.84

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
29S. Ott11205118:08
9M. Modano02211117:25
91B. Richards02200018:46
21L. Eriksson101-10118:18
25C. Conner10110011:47
26J. Lehtinen10100120:14
18J. Neal01113113:59
63M. Ribeiro011-10020:25
13K. Barch00002005:35
17T. Petersen00000008:42
20B. Sutherby000-11011:50
39J. Lundqvist00001007:28

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
2N. Grossmann00001012:45
3S. Robidas00001124:30
5M. Niskanen00001122:06
6T. Daley00000125:52
27A. Hutchinson00000010:59
55D. Sydor00000121:08

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
T. StephanNaN%
M. Turco24291.7%59:27W

Shot map

47 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 18:50DETShot on goalJohan Franzen
  • P3 18:00Penalty
  • P3 18:00Penalty
  • P3 15:57DALShot on goalSteve Ott
  • P3 13:51Penalty
  • P3 12:35DALShot on goalBrian Sutherby
  • P3 06:14DETShot on goalMarian Hossa
  • P3 02:37DALShot on goalMike Ribeiro
  • P3 01:39DETShot on goalValtteri Filppula
  • P3 00:50DETShot on goalTomas Holmstrom
  • P2 19:53DETShot on goalMarian Hossa
  • P2 19:05Penalty
  • P2 18:12DALShot on goalBrian Sutherby
  • P2 17:51DALShot on goalBrian Sutherby
  • P2 17:44DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P2 15:11DETGoalAndreas Lilja, Valtteri Filppula, Niklas Kronwall
  • P2 14:21DETShot on goalKris Draper
  • P2 10:42Penalty
  • P2 10:42DETShot on goalDaniel Cleary
  • P2 08:53DETShot on goalKris Draper
  • P2 05:34Penalty
  • P2 05:34Penalty
  • P2 05:34Penalty
  • P2 05:27DETShot on goalTomas Kopecky
  • P2 05:04DALShot on goalMike Ribeiro
  • P2 04:06DETGoalMarian Hossa, Brian Rafalski, Pavel Datsyuk
  • P2 03:44DETShot on goalPavel Datsyuk
  • P2 03:37DETShot on goalNicklas Lidstrom
  • P2 03:31Penalty
  • P2 03:26DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P2 03:12DETShot on goalJiri Hudler
  • P2 02:00DALGoalLoui Eriksson, James Neal, Mike Modano
  • P2 01:30DALShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P2 00:45DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P2 00:25Penalty
  • P1 19:58DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P1 19:43Penalty
  • P1 19:43Penalty
  • P1 19:32DETShot on goalNicklas Lidstrom
  • P1 18:32DALGoalChris Conner, Mike Modano
  • P1 17:50DALShot on goalMike Ribeiro
  • P1 17:29DETShot on goalBrian Rafalski
  • P1 17:17DETShot on goalAndreas Lilja
  • P1 16:50DETShot on goalMikael Samuelsson
  • P1 16:29DETShot on goalJohan Franzen
  • P1 15:58DETShot on goalBrian Rafalski
  • P1 15:51DETShot on goalMarian Hossa
  • P1 14:41DALShot on goalAndrew Hutchinson
  • P1 13:27DALShot on goalJames Neal
  • P1 12:39DALShot on goalSteve Ott
  • P1 11:32DALGoalJere Lehtinen, Brad Richards, Steve Ott
  • P1 10:50Penalty
  • P1 10:15DALGoalSteve Ott, Brad Richards, Mike Ribeiro
  • P1 09:57Penalty
  • P1 05:29DALShot on goalChris Conner
  • P1 03:56DETShot on goalTomas Holmstrom
  • P1 02:34DETShot on goalChris Chelios
  • P1 01:56DALShot on goalJere Lehtinen
  • P1 01:55DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P1 00:32DETShot on goalValtteri Filppula
  • P1 00:08DALShot on goalTrevor Daley

DAL vs DET · 61 events