Forensic report
70 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
CAR
- Goals
- 5
- xG (flurry)
- 0.25
- xG (raw)
- 0.25
- Deserve %
- 50.1%
- Finishing luck
- +4.75
ATL
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.25
- xG (raw)
- 0.25
- Deserve %
- 49.9%
- Finishing luck
- +3.75
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | E. Staal | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | |
| 13 | R. Whitney | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:15 | |
| 44 | P. Eaves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 04:37 | |
| 59 | C. LaRose | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:21 | |
| 16 | B. Sutter | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 04:49 | |
| 8 | M. Cullen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | |
| 11 | J. Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | |
| 14 | S. Samsonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:33 | |
| 15 | T. Ruutu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | |
| 17 | R. Brind'Amour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:22 | |
| 18 | R. Bayda | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 05:52 | |
| 24 | S. Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 15:29 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | F. Kaberle | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | |
| 25 | J. Pitkanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26:02 | |
| 77 | J. Corvo | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:57 | |
| 6 | T. Gleason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 26:51 | |
| 28 | W. Brookbank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 02:03 | |
| 33 | A. Babchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:25 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 31 | 4 | 87.1% | 60:00 | W |
| M. Leighton | NaN% | — |
Shot map
70 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 16:06ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P3 14:44CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P3 14:36CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P3 13:01CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P3 11:58CARGoalEric Staal, Joni Pitkanen
- P3 11:35ATLShot on goalMarty Reasoner
- P3 10:42CARGoalEric Staal
- P3 09:52ATLGoalBryan Little, Niclas Havelid, Vyacheslav Kozlov
- P3 08:59CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P3 08:48CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P3 07:39CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P3 07:27CARGoalEric Staal, Ray Whitney, Joe Corvo
- P3 07:19—Penalty—
- P3 06:35ATLShot on goalJason Williams
- P3 05:22CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P3 05:21CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P3 04:52ATLShot on goalJoey Crabb
- P3 04:01CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P3 03:50—Penalty—
- P3 03:00CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P3 01:54CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P3 00:57CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 19:57ATLGoalBryan Little, Vyacheslav Kozlov, Todd White
- P2 19:55ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P2 19:03—Penalty—
- P2 19:00ATLShot on goalNathan Oystrick
- P2 18:50CARShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
- P2 18:43CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P2 18:33CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P2 18:14ATLGoalBryan Little, Ron Hainsey, Vyacheslav Kozlov
- P2 17:44ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P2 17:43ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P2 17:13—Penalty—
- P2 17:04CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P2 15:43CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P2 13:55ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P2 13:53ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P2 13:39ATLShot on goalTodd White
- P2 13:38ATLShot on goalTodd White
- P2 12:33CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P2 11:49ATLShot on goalMarty Reasoner
- P2 11:23ATLShot on goalJim Slater
- P2 10:43—Penalty—
- P2 10:04ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
- P2 09:06ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P2 08:38CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 08:20CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 08:05CARShot on goalJustin Williams
- P2 05:58CARGoalPatrick Eaves, Ray Whitney, Brandon Sutter
- P2 05:26ATLShot on goalMarty Reasoner
- P2 04:28ATLShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P2 01:07ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P1 18:56CARGoalChad LaRose, Frantisek Kaberle, Ray Whitney
- P1 18:53CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P1 18:08CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P1 18:03CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P1 17:04CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 16:59CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 16:46ATLShot on goalJim Slater
- P1 16:10ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P1 15:50CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P1 15:29ATLShot on goalEric Perrin
- P1 11:31—Penalty—
- P1 11:20CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P1 10:58ATLGoalTodd White, Ron Hainsey, Vyacheslav Kozlov
- P1 10:56ATLShot on goalTodd White
- P1 10:38ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P1 10:33ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P1 10:25ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P1 10:11—Penalty—
- P1 10:05CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P1 09:30CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 09:10CARShot on goalJustin Williams
- P1 07:42ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P1 07:12CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P1 04:57CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P1 03:37CARShot on goalTim Gleason
CAR vs ATL · 77 events