Forensic report
77 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
STL
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.33
- xG (raw)
- 0.33
- Deserve %
- 61.8%
- Finishing luck
- +3.67
ATL
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.20
- xG (raw)
- 0.20
- Deserve %
- 38.2%
- Finishing luck
- +1.80
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | B. Boyes | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | |
| 7 | K. Tkachuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:26 | |
| 18 | J. McClement | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 | |
| 42 | D. Backes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:35 | |
| 21 | P. Berglund | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | |
| 26 | B. Crombeen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | |
| 15 | B. Winchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 11:13 | |
| 20 | A. Steen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 16:50 | |
| 25 | Y. Stastny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | |
| 41 | S. Regier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:26 | |
| 57 | D. Perron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 | |
| 65 | C. Paddock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 07:39 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | J. Woywitka | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:07 | |
| 4 | E. Brewer | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24:05 | |
| 28 | C. Colaiacovo | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | |
| 5 | B. Jackman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23:41 | |
| 46 | R. Polak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 17:31 | |
| 77 | J. McKee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 14:59 |
Shot map
77 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:57STLGoalJay McClement, Brad Boyes
- P3 19:27ATLShot on goalRon Hainsey
- P3 18:35ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
- P3 16:44STLShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
- P3 16:36STLShot on goalDavid Backes
- P3 15:31ATLShot on goalJason Williams
- P3 14:28STLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen
- P3 14:12STLShot on goalYan Stastny
- P3 12:13—Penalty—
- P3 12:12STLShot on goalBrad Winchester
- P3 12:07STLShot on goalJay McKee
- P3 11:45STLGoalBrad Boyes, Carlo Colaiacovo, Jeff Woywitka
- P3 11:09STLShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
- P3 11:06STLShot on goalDavid Backes
- P3 09:48—Penalty—
- P3 09:46STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
- P3 08:35STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
- P3 08:22STLShot on goalDavid Perron
- P3 06:01ATLShot on goalEric Perrin
- P3 04:57ATLShot on goalToby Enstrom
- P3 03:53STLShot on goalJay McClement
- P3 03:30STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
- P3 03:26STLShot on goalPatrik Berglund
- P3 03:25STLShot on goalPatrik Berglund
- P3 03:05ATLShot on goalNathan Oystrick
- P3 03:02ATLShot on goalNiclas Havelid
- P3 02:51ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P3 02:08ATLShot on goalRon Hainsey
- P3 01:37ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P3 00:56ATLShot on goalRon Hainsey
- P3 00:45—Penalty—
- P3 00:18STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
- P2 16:27STLShot on goalDavid Backes
- P2 16:22STLShot on goalJay McClement
- P2 15:03STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
- P2 15:03STLGoalKeith Tkachuk, Eric Brewer, Patrik Berglund
- P2 14:38STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
- P2 14:33—Penalty—
- P2 14:31STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
- P2 14:29STLShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
- P2 13:18STLShot on goalJeff Woywitka
- P2 12:47STLShot on goalEric Brewer
- P2 12:45STLShot on goalEric Brewer
- P2 12:08STLShot on goalEric Brewer
- P2 12:02STLShot on goalDavid Perron
- P2 11:16STLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen
- P2 08:51ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
- P2 08:21STLShot on goalJeff Woywitka
- P2 06:22ATLShot on goalTodd White
- P2 05:44ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P2 05:06ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P2 04:48—Penalty—
- P2 04:40ATLShot on goalMarty Reasoner
- P2 04:16ATLShot on goalMarty Reasoner
- P2 03:31ATLShot on goalRon Hainsey
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 19:54STLShot on goalEric Brewer
- P1 19:46STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
- P1 19:40STLShot on goalEric Brewer
- P1 18:35ATLGoalNiclas Havelid, Vyacheslav Kozlov, Todd White
- P1 18:10ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P1 17:58STLShot on goalBrad Winchester
- P1 16:13ATLShot on goalJason Williams
- P1 15:40STLShot on goalJeff Woywitka
- P1 15:33STLShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
- P1 14:35STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
- P1 14:28—Penalty—
- P1 14:28—Penalty—
- P1 14:06ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P1 13:26STLShot on goalJay McClement
- P1 13:07STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
- P1 12:17ATLShot on goalToby Enstrom
- P1 12:14ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P1 10:43ATLShot on goalJoey Crabb
- P1 10:36ATLShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P1 09:29ATLShot on goalJason Williams
- P1 09:07STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
- P1 09:01STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
- P1 06:32ATLGoalColby Armstrong, Ron Hainsey
- P1 06:31ATLShot on goalRon Hainsey
- P1 06:20ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
- P1 04:38STLGoalDavid Backes, B.J. Crombeen, Jeff Woywitka
- P1 04:36STLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen
- P1 04:00STLShot on goalSteve Regier
- P1 01:43STLShot on goalJay McKee
STL vs ATL · 85 events