ForensicHockey

Forensic report

51 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: STL

EDM

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.15
xG (raw)
0.15
Deserve %
43.7%
Finishing luck
+3.85

STL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
56.3%
Finishing luck
+1.81

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
10S. Horcoff12321120:40
27D. Penner11212018:40
13A. Cogliano10111013:39
12R. Nilsson01110014:15
83A. Hemsky01121020:15
18E. Moreau000-12018:20
26E. Cole000-14018:11
46Z. Stortini000-12002:56
51K. Brodziak000-11118:12
78M. Pouliot000-10003:32
85L. Reddox000-10004:21
89S. Gagner00000017:28

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
44S. Souray10110025:13
37D. Grebeshkov01110118:51
77T. Gilbert01122025:40
24S. Staios000-12019:10
43J. Strudwick000-13018:12
71L. Visnovsky00000212:54

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
D. Roloson29293.1%60:00W
J. DeslauriersNaN%

Shot map

51 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:59STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P3 19:40STLShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P3 18:43STLShot on goalEric Brewer
  • P3 18:29Penalty
  • P3 17:03EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P3 15:50STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P3 13:41STLShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
  • P3 11:55EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P3 10:38Penalty
  • P3 10:36EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P3 08:16STLShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P3 07:57STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P3 07:47STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
  • P3 06:45EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P3 05:19STLShot on goalPatrik Berglund
  • P3 05:12STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P3 02:59EDMGoalShawn Horcoff, Dustin Penner, Ales Hemsky
  • P3 01:04STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
  • P3 00:31STLShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P3 00:20EDMGoalDustin Penner, Shawn Horcoff, Tom Gilbert
  • P2 18:30EDMGoalSheldon Souray, Shawn Horcoff
  • P2 18:25Penalty
  • P2 18:17STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P2 16:57EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P2 16:46STLShot on goalRoman Polak
  • P2 16:40Penalty
  • P2 16:12EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P2 15:45Penalty
  • P2 15:03EDMGoalAndrew Cogliano, Robert Nilsson, Denis Grebeshkov
  • P2 13:53Penalty
  • P2 13:53Penalty
  • P2 13:53Penalty
  • P2 12:47STLShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
  • P2 12:33EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P2 08:28STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P2 08:20STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P2 07:32Penalty
  • P2 07:31EDMShot on goalEthan Moreau
  • P2 05:42STLShot on goalPatrik Berglund
  • P2 05:13EDMShot on goalLubomir Visnovsky
  • P2 05:09EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P2 04:45STLShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P2 01:48EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P1 18:16STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P1 16:41EDMShot on goalEthan Moreau
  • P1 15:07EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P1 15:01EDMShot on goalMarc-Antoine Pouliot
  • P1 11:53STLShot on goalEric Brewer
  • P1 11:26Penalty
  • P1 11:26Penalty
  • P1 11:26Penalty
  • P1 11:15STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
  • P1 10:02STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P1 09:53EDMShot on goalMarc-Antoine Pouliot
  • P1 09:52EDMShot on goalMarc-Antoine Pouliot
  • P1 07:56STLGoalPatrik Berglund, David Perron, Jay McKee
  • P1 07:53STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P1 07:48STLShot on goalCam Paddock
  • P1 07:09STLGoalBrad Boyes, David Perron, Keith Tkachuk
  • P1 04:49Penalty
  • P1 04:49Penalty
  • P1 04:48EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P1 04:43Penalty
  • P1 04:42STLShot on goalEric Brewer
  • P1 02:15EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P1 00:37STLShot on goalJay McClement

EDM vs STL · 66 events