ForensicHockey

Forensic report

63 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: MTL

TOR

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
40.5%
Finishing luck
+0.81

MTL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.27
xG (raw)
0.27
Deserve %
59.5%
Finishing luck
+2.73

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
9M. Bell10111114:17
54K. Newbury01112006:39
55J. Blake01110016:35
10A. Steen00000022:36
11J. Tlusty000-20013:30
14M. Stajan00002018:48
16D. Tucker00002314:01
19D. Moore000-20016:29
21J. Pohl00001107:47
22B. Devereaux000-20013:43
23A. Ponikarovsky00003013:45
48J. Williams00000007:11

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
7I. White00005120:38
15T. Kaberle00001024:47
24B. McCabe000-12523:12
31P. Kubina00001223:22
36A. Stralman000-11214:08
44S. Kronwall00003114:42

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. Raycroft36391.7%60:00L
V. ToskalaNaN%

Shot map

63 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:58Penalty
  • P3 19:58Penalty
  • P3 19:58Penalty
  • P3 19:13MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P3 18:12Penalty
  • P3 18:09MTLShot on goalMark Streit
  • P3 17:53MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P3 16:16Penalty
  • P3 16:15TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P3 16:04Penalty
  • P3 16:04Penalty
  • P3 15:47TORShot on goalMark Bell
  • P3 13:21MTLShot on goalJosh Gorges
  • P3 12:53MTLShot on goalJosh Gorges
  • P3 12:00Penalty
  • P3 12:00Penalty
  • P3 10:59MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P3 10:36Penalty
  • P3 10:25MTLShot on goalJosh Gorges
  • P3 10:23MTLShot on goalSergei Kostitsyn
  • P3 09:09TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P3 07:29MTLGoalChris Higgins, Bryan Smolinski, Andrei Markov
  • P3 06:52Penalty
  • P3 06:52Penalty
  • P3 06:33MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P3 05:53Penalty
  • P3 05:52MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P3 05:38TORShot on goalJohn Pohl
  • P3 04:30TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P3 03:57TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
  • P3 03:47TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P3 02:28TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P3 01:01TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P3 00:25MTLShot on goalBryan Smolinski
  • P2 18:23MTLShot on goalTom Kostopoulos
  • P2 18:17MTLShot on goalSteve Begin
  • P2 18:02TORGoalMark Bell, Kris Newbury, Jason Blake
  • P2 15:33MTLShot on goalPatrice Brisebois
  • P2 14:03MTLGoalChris Higgins, Mark Streit, Ryan O'Byrne
  • P2 13:09MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P2 12:34TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 12:14TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P2 10:27TORShot on goalStaffan Kronwall
  • P2 10:08TORShot on goalJiri Tlusty
  • P2 09:50TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P2 09:00MTLGoalMark Streit, Alex Kovalev, Tomas Plekanec
  • P2 08:49MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P2 07:26MTLShot on goalGregory Stewart
  • P2 07:02MTLShot on goalRoman Hamrlik
  • P2 06:01MTLShot on goalSergei Kostitsyn
  • P2 05:08TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P2 04:05MTLShot on goalTomas Plekanec
  • P2 04:03Penalty
  • P2 03:14TORShot on goalKris Newbury
  • P2 03:11TORShot on goalJohn Pohl
  • P2 01:21MTLShot on goalTom Kostopoulos
  • P2 00:29TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P1 16:28TORShot on goalJiri Tlusty
  • P1 15:23TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 14:07MTLShot on goalSergei Kostitsyn
  • P1 14:05MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P1 13:57MTLShot on goalPatrice Brisebois
  • P1 13:24MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P1 13:15MTLShot on goalMark Streit
  • P1 12:10Penalty
  • P1 11:41MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P1 09:56Penalty
  • P1 09:36TORShot on goalKris Newbury
  • P1 09:22TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 08:40MTLShot on goalTom Kostopoulos
  • P1 08:27MTLShot on goalGuillaume Latendresse
  • P1 05:33TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P1 05:13TORShot on goalJeremy Williams
  • P1 05:12TORShot on goalJeremy Williams
  • P1 05:02TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 04:03Penalty
  • P1 03:30Penalty
  • P1 02:39MTLShot on goalGregory Stewart
  • P1 00:42MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P1 00:40MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P1 00:29MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev

TOR vs MTL · 81 events