Forensic report
65 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
OTT
- Goals
- 8
- xG (flurry)
- 0.28
- xG (raw)
- 0.28
- Deserve %
- 59.4%
- Finishing luck
- +7.72
TOR
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.19
- xG (raw)
- 0.19
- Deserve %
- 40.6%
- Finishing luck
- +1.81
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | A. Vermette | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24:13 | |
| 19 | J. Spezza | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 | |
| 15 | D. Heatley | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22:50 | |
| 58 | C. Bass | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 07:32 | |
| 11 | D. Alfredsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 06:53 | |
| 37 | D. McAmmond | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:15 | |
| 10 | S. Donovan | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | |
| 28 | M. Lapointe | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15:04 | |
| 61 | C. Stillman | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:04 | |
| 12 | M. Fisher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 02:18 | |
| 25 | C. Neil | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 09:59 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | C. Phillips | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:50 | |
| 5 | C. Schubert | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:43 | |
| 6 | W. Redden | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20:20 | |
| 55 | B. Lee | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | |
| 14 | A. Meszaros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16:46 | |
| 24 | A. Volchenkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:03 | |
| 44 | M. Commodore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 19:52 |
Shot map
65 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 20:00—Penalty—
- P3 20:00—Penalty—
- P3 16:44—Penalty—
- P3 16:44—Penalty—
- P3 16:33TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P3 15:32OTTShot on goalChris Phillips
- P3 15:27—Penalty—
- P3 15:27—Penalty—
- P3 15:27—Penalty—
- P3 14:14OTTShot on goalJason Spezza
- P3 13:08TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P3 12:22TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
- P3 12:15TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
- P3 10:58OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P3 10:14—Penalty—
- P3 10:14—Penalty—
- P3 09:31OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P3 09:21TORShot on goalKris Newbury
- P3 07:14OTTGoalDany Heatley, Jason Spezza, Martin Lapointe
- P3 06:51TORGoalDominic Moore, Darcy Tucker, Pavel Kubina
- P3 05:15TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P3 05:01—Penalty—
- P3 04:48OTTShot on goalChris Neil
- P3 03:11OTTGoalAntoine Vermette, Cody Bass, Brian Lee
- P3 03:10OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P3 03:09OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P3 02:58TORShot on goalBryan McCabe
- P3 02:27OTTGoalDean McAmmond
- P3 01:54—Penalty—
- P3 01:50TORShot on goalIan White
- P3 00:09TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P2 19:59TORShot on goalJohn Pohl
- P2 19:33OTTShot on goalCory Stillman
- P2 19:33OTTGoalAntoine Vermette, Cory Stillman, Shean Donovan
- P2 19:30OTTShot on goalCory Stillman
- P2 18:11TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P2 16:18TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P2 15:08—Penalty—
- P2 14:01OTTGoalAntoine Vermette, Christoph Schubert, Wade Redden
- P2 14:00OTTShot on goalChristoph Schubert
- P2 13:07OTTShot on goalJason Spezza
- P2 12:43OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P2 12:05—Penalty—
- P2 11:37OTTShot on goalChristoph Schubert
- P2 11:12OTTShot on goalChris Phillips
- P2 10:50TORShot on goalBryan McCabe
- P2 10:45OTTShot on goalChristoph Schubert
- P2 10:14OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P2 09:57OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P2 09:56OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P2 09:55OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P2 09:07OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P2 08:58—Penalty—
- P2 08:40OTTShot on goalChris Phillips
- P2 08:29TORShot on goalIan White
- P2 08:22TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
- P2 07:47OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P2 07:24OTTShot on goalDean McAmmond
- P2 06:31TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P2 06:03OTTGoalCody Bass, Chris Phillips, Antoine Vermette
- P2 05:30TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 05:29TORShot on goalMark Bell
- P2 05:28TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
- P2 05:23—Penalty—
- P2 04:35OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P2 02:50TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 19:59—Penalty—
- P1 19:59—Penalty—
- P1 19:58OTTShot on goalChris Phillips
- P1 18:46TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
- P1 17:47—Penalty—
- P1 17:47—Penalty—
- P1 17:41OTTShot on goalDaniel Alfredsson
- P1 17:15OTTGoalJason Spezza, Daniel Alfredsson
- P1 16:02OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P1 14:43TORShot on goalBryan McCabe
- P1 13:46TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 13:13—Penalty—
- P1 12:37OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
- P1 11:12OTTGoalDany Heatley, Daniel Alfredsson, Jason Spezza
- P1 09:52—Penalty—
- P1 08:36TORShot on goalJiri Tlusty
- P1 07:30TORGoalMark Bell, Darcy Tucker
- P1 05:14—Penalty—
- P1 05:10TORShot on goalJiri Tlusty
- P1 03:27TORShot on goalJohn Pohl
- P1 02:56OTTShot on goalDany Heatley
OTT vs TOR · 92 events