ForensicHockey

Forensic report

47 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: EDM

CGY

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.12
xG (raw)
0.12
Deserve %
36.8%
Finishing luck
+2.88

EDM

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
63.2%
Finishing luck
+1.79

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
11O. Nolan112-11015:56
18M. Lombardi02200020:03
40A. Tanguay10111019:44
7S. Yelle000-12013:46
12J. Iginla00012022:47
17E. Godard00000003:31
19W. Primeau000-11013:36
20K. Huselius00000016:53
22D. Langkow00010220:24
25D. Moss00002012:36
26M. Nilson00000008:55
41D. Boyd00001005:40

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
3D. Phaneuf02200122:24
33A. Aucoin10100119:45
8A. Eriksson01101121:24
4J. Vandermeer00001119:19
6C. Sarich00002117:50
28R. Regehr00002219:35

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
C. JosephNaN%
M. Kiprusoff30293.3%59:52W

Shot map

47 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:15EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 19:06EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P3 16:16CGYGoalOwen Nolan, Matthew Lombardi, Dion Phaneuf
  • P3 15:33EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 15:15CGYShot on goalJim Vandermeer
  • P3 15:01EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P3 14:10CGYShot on goalJim Vandermeer
  • P3 13:17EDMGoalCurtis Glencross, Kyle Brodziak
  • P3 12:48EDMShot on goalKyle Brodziak
  • P3 10:20Penalty
  • P3 10:13EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P3 09:51EDMShot on goalMatt Greene
  • P3 09:43EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P3 08:16CGYShot on goalDustin Boyd
  • P3 06:52EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 06:50EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P3 05:39EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P3 04:04EDMShot on goalDenis Grebeshkov
  • P3 03:58EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 03:26EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P3 03:23EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P3 02:20EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P2 19:57CGYGoalAlex Tanguay, Anders Eriksson, Dion Phaneuf
  • P2 18:22CGYShot on goalJim Vandermeer
  • P2 17:52CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
  • P2 16:41Penalty
  • P2 15:28EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P2 14:29CGYShot on goalMatthew Lombardi
  • P2 12:28CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
  • P2 09:42EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P2 07:29EDMShot on goalDenis Grebeshkov
  • P2 07:05EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P2 06:01Penalty
  • P2 04:00CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
  • P2 03:39CGYShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P2 03:29CGYShot on goalKristian Huselius
  • P2 02:48EDMShot on goalCurtis Glencross
  • P2 02:09CGYShot on goalCory Sarich
  • P2 01:57EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P2 00:40EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P1 19:52Penalty
  • P1 15:12CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
  • P1 14:12CGYGoalAdrian Aucoin, Owen Nolan, Matthew Lombardi
  • P1 13:21Penalty
  • P1 12:45EDMShot on goalMarc-Antoine Pouliot
  • P1 11:13CGYShot on goalCory Sarich
  • P1 10:22EDMGoalCurtis Glencross, Kyle Brodziak, Steve Staios
  • P1 07:47EDMShot on goalMarc-Antoine Pouliot
  • P1 06:47EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 05:18CGYShot on goalDavid Moss
  • P1 03:57Penalty
  • P1 03:18EDMShot on goalZack Stortini
  • P1 00:24EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll

CGY vs EDM · 53 events