ForensicHockey

Forensic report

61 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: WSH

CAR

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.14
xG (raw)
0.14
Deserve %
36.0%
Finishing luck
+0.86

WSH

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.26
xG (raw)
0.26
Deserve %
64.0%
Finishing luck
+3.74

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
24S. Walker10111017:27
18R. Bayda01102014:23
11J. Williams00000003:48
12E. Staal00001121:47
13R. Whitney00000013:21
14S. Samsonov00001115:53
15T. Ruutu000-11014:23
19T. Letowski000-12016:44
26E. Cole00000119:03
37K. Aucoin00002013:04
51J. Hamilton00001007:06
59C. LaRose000-12110:31

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
6B. Hedican01102622:59
2G. Wesley00010319:54
5F. Kaberle000-10016:07
7N. Wallin00004020:21
42T. Gleason00002217:37
77J. Corvo000-20119:16

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
C. Ward39489.7%60:00L
J. GrahameNaN%

Shot map

61 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:39Penalty
  • P3 19:39Penalty
  • P3 18:58WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P3 18:17CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P3 18:01WSHShot on goalBrooks Laich
  • P3 18:00WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P3 16:24WSHGoalAlex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, Jeff Schultz
  • P3 15:48Penalty
  • P3 15:29Penalty
  • P3 15:29Penalty
  • P3 15:12Penalty
  • P3 15:04CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P3 13:08WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P3 12:26Penalty
  • P3 12:14CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P3 11:00WSHShot on goalMatt Bradley
  • P3 07:28WSHShot on goalEric Fehr
  • P3 07:20CARShot on goalGlen Wesley
  • P3 07:10CARShot on goalScott Walker
  • P3 05:50CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P3 05:31CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
  • P3 03:45Penalty
  • P3 02:18CARShot on goalBret Hedican
  • P3 00:47WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P2 19:59WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 19:51WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P2 19:25Penalty
  • P2 16:33WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P2 14:28WSHGoalAlexander Semin, Mike Green, Sergei Fedorov
  • P2 13:56WSHShot on goalTom Poti
  • P2 13:03Penalty
  • P2 13:03Penalty
  • P2 13:03CARShot on goalScott Walker
  • P2 12:55WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P2 12:31Penalty
  • P2 11:41WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P2 11:20CARShot on goalErik Cole
  • P2 10:35Penalty
  • P2 10:33CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P2 10:17Penalty
  • P2 09:15Penalty
  • P2 09:14CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
  • P2 08:54WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P2 07:51CARShot on goalErik Cole
  • P2 07:19CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
  • P2 06:00WSHShot on goalMatt Bradley
  • P2 05:32WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P2 04:59WSHShot on goalNicklas Backstrom
  • P2 03:33Penalty
  • P2 03:32WSHShot on goalJohn Erskine
  • P2 03:19WSHShot on goalJohn Erskine
  • P2 03:13WSHShot on goalBoyd Gordon
  • P2 03:02WSHShot on goalBoyd Gordon
  • P2 02:38CARGoalScott Walker, Bret Hedican, Ryan Bayda
  • P2 02:25CARShot on goalScott Walker
  • P2 02:13WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P2 00:54WSHShot on goalTom Poti
  • P1 19:01WSHGoalBrooks Laich, Tomas Fleischmann, Viktor Kozlov
  • P1 18:21WSHShot on goalAlexander Semin
  • P1 17:32WSHShot on goalAlex Ovechkin
  • P1 17:03Penalty
  • P1 15:00WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 15:00WSHGoalMatt Cooke, Mike Green, Sergei Fedorov
  • P1 12:44CARShot on goalTim Gleason
  • P1 12:43CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P1 10:32WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov
  • P1 09:49WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 09:12CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
  • P1 08:27WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 07:15CARShot on goalTrevor Letowski
  • P1 06:21CARShot on goalJustin Williams
  • P1 03:18WSHShot on goalMatt Bradley
  • P1 03:08WSHShot on goalBoyd Gordon
  • P1 02:33WSHShot on goalTomas Fleischmann
  • P1 02:21CARShot on goalJustin Williams
  • P1 01:53WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 01:36WSHShot on goalMike Green
  • P1 01:21WSHShot on goalViktor Kozlov

CAR vs WSH · 78 events