Forensic report
60 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
CAR
- Goals
- 1
- xG (flurry)
- 0.26
- xG (raw)
- 0.26
- Deserve %
- 64.4%
- Finishing luck
- +0.74
TBL
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.15
- xG (raw)
- 0.15
- Deserve %
- 35.6%
- Finishing luck
- +1.85
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | C. LaRose | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 | |
| 15 | T. Ruutu | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 | |
| 19 | T. Letowski | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15:40 | |
| 12 | E. Staal | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 25:58 | |
| 14 | S. Samsonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 20:51 | |
| 18 | R. Bayda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:09 | |
| 24 | S. Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:11 | |
| 26 | E. Cole | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 21:53 | |
| 34 | J. Jensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 01:40 | |
| 37 | K. Aucoin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | |
| 51 | J. Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G. Wesley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15:35 | |
| 4 | D. Seidenberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 19:56 | |
| 5 | F. Kaberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:39 | |
| 7 | N. Wallin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17:51 | |
| 28 | W. Brookbank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 01:33 | |
| 42 | T. Gleason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21:08 | |
| 77 | J. Corvo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:17 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 21 | 2 | 90.5% | 58:32 | L |
| J. Grahame | NaN% | — |
Shot map
60 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:59CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P3 17:50—Penalty—
- P3 17:48CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P3 16:43CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P3 16:02CARShot on goalRyan Bayda
- P3 15:57CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P3 15:52CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P3 11:50—Penalty—
- P3 09:44CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P3 09:22—Penalty—
- P3 09:17CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P3 08:50CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P3 06:58CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P3 06:06CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P3 05:43TBLGoalJeff Halpern, Jussi Jokinen, Alexandre Picard
- P3 04:18TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
- P3 03:46CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P3 03:18TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P3 01:35—Penalty—
- P2 19:59TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
- P2 19:54CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 18:57TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P2 17:23—Penalty—
- P2 17:00CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 14:57CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P2 12:26—Penalty—
- P2 12:25CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 11:53CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 11:20CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 11:11CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P2 10:59CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P2 10:54TBLShot on goalJason Ward
- P2 10:04TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
- P2 09:15CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 07:25CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P2 06:31CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 06:25CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 04:38—Penalty—
- P2 03:57—Penalty—
- P2 02:51TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P2 02:27—Penalty—
- P2 02:19CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P2 02:11TBLShot on goalJussi Jokinen
- P2 00:40CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P2 00:24TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
- P2 00:18TBLGoalJussi Jokinen, Dan Boyle, Karri Ramo
- P1 19:38—Penalty—
- P1 19:13CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P1 19:06CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P1 19:05CARShot on goalRyan Bayda
- P1 17:24CARGoalChad LaRose, Trevor Letowski, Tuomo Ruutu
- P1 16:07TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P1 15:12TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P1 14:59TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P1 14:58TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P1 14:57TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P1 12:37CARShot on goalRyan Bayda
- P1 11:36TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P1 11:07TBLShot on goalMike Lundin
- P1 11:00TBLShot on goalMike Lundin
- P1 08:54—Penalty—
- P1 07:58CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P1 07:53CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P1 06:47TBLShot on goalAndreas Karlsson
- P1 06:21—Penalty—
- P1 05:55CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P1 04:35CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P1 04:27CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P1 03:13—Penalty—
- P1 01:53CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 01:52CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P1 01:51CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P1 00:11TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
CAR vs TBL · 73 events