Forensic report
73 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
ATL
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.20
- xG (raw)
- 0.21
- Deserve %
- 40.1%
- Finishing luck
- +2.80
FLA
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.31
- xG (raw)
- 0.31
- Deserve %
- 59.9%
- Finishing luck
- +1.69
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | B. Holik | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:30 | |
| 8 | M. Recchi | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 15:26 | |
| 10 | B. Little | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 16:16 | |
| 17 | I. Kovalchuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18:24 | |
| 27 | C. Thorburn | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10:47 | |
| 11 | E. Perrin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19:45 | |
| 12 | T. White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | |
| 13 | V. Kozlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 | |
| 19 | C. Armstrong | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19:04 | |
| 23 | J. Slater | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:02 | |
| 29 | B. Larsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 07:05 | |
| 36 | E. Boulton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 06:52 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G. Exelby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | |
| 5 | S. McCarthy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:40 | |
| 7 | M. Popovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 12:13 | |
| 28 | N. Havelid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:28 | |
| 39 | T. Enstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:53 | |
| 48 | B. Valabik | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 14:10 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hedberg | NaN% | — | |||
| K. Lehtonen | 45 | 2 | 95.6% | 59:51 | W |
Shot map
73 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal