ForensicHockey

Forensic report

63 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

COL

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.22
xG (raw)
0.22
Deserve %
51.8%
Finishing luck
+4.78

EDM

Goals
7
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
48.2%
Finishing luck
+6.80

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
23M. Hejduk11201019:51
19J. Sakic02200022:13
26P. Stastny02200022:27
8W. Wolski10114016:02
39T. Arnason101-30114:55
15A. Brunette01100120:27
54D. Jones011-21010:35
94R. Smyth011-10018:01
14I. Laperriere000-12008:43
17J. Hlinka000-20009:38
28B. Guite000-10007:28
55C. McLeod000-22008:09

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4J. Liles10101123:11
24R. Salei10103020:52
6J. Finger000-23119:45
22S. Hannan000-10023:16
34K. Sauer000-11212:55
44J. Leopold000-11113:51

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
P. Budaj20385.0%45:12L
J. Theodore8362.5%14:29

Shot map

63 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:50EDMGoalMarty Reasoner
  • P3 19:36COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P3 17:18COLGoalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 17:08COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P3 16:05COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P3 14:11Penalty
  • P3 13:09COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 12:58COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 12:39EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P3 12:37EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P3 11:23EDMShot on goalCurtis Glencross
  • P3 10:48EDMGoalSam Gagner, Ales Hemsky, Dustin Penner
  • P3 08:22COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 08:13Penalty
  • P3 07:18EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 06:38Penalty
  • P3 05:40COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 05:31COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P3 04:59EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 04:34EDMGoalMarc-Antoine Pouliot, Marty Reasoner, Fernando Pisani
  • P3 04:16COLGoalMilan Hejduk, Ryan Smyth, Paul Stastny
  • P3 03:41COLGoalWojtek Wolski, Joe Sakic, Andrew Brunette
  • P3 01:54EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P3 01:43COLGoalRuslan Salei, Milan Hejduk, Paul Stastny
  • P3 01:16COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P3 00:53EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P2 18:11EDMShot on goalKyle Brodziak
  • P2 17:58COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 17:31EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P2 17:27EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P2 16:49EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P2 15:51Penalty
  • P2 15:05EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P2 14:38COLShot on goalJordan Leopold
  • P2 14:02COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P2 12:57COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P2 09:36EDMShot on goalCurtis Glencross
  • P2 09:14EDMGoalKyle Brodziak, Joni Pitkanen, Steve Staios
  • P2 08:42COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P2 07:04EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P2 06:43EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P2 06:41EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P2 06:20Penalty
  • P2 04:58COLGoalTyler Arnason, David Jones, Joe Sakic
  • P2 04:41Penalty
  • P2 03:13COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P2 02:10COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P1 19:58COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P1 18:56Penalty
  • P1 18:10EDMShot on goalZack Stortini
  • P1 16:45COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 14:55Penalty
  • P1 14:55Penalty
  • P1 14:29EDMGoalFernando Pisani, Marc-Antoine Pouliot, Marty Reasoner
  • P1 14:23EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P1 11:30EDMGoalSam Gagner, Ales Hemsky, Denis Grebeshkov
  • P1 09:54EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P1 09:35COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P1 09:19Penalty
  • P1 07:58Penalty
  • P1 07:22COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P1 07:15COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P1 07:12COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P1 06:55COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P1 06:13COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P1 06:08COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 05:44EDMShot on goalCurtis Glencross
  • P1 05:42EDMShot on goalKyle Brodziak
  • P1 05:07COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P1 04:16COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P1 04:11COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P1 03:11Penalty
  • P1 03:11Penalty
  • P1 02:38EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P1 02:08COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P1 00:50EDMGoalDustin Penner, Ales Hemsky, Joni Pitkanen

COL vs EDM · 76 events