ForensicHockey

Forensic report

44 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: CGY

COL

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.10
xG (raw)
0.10
Deserve %
36.4%
Finishing luck
+0.90

CGY

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
63.6%
Finishing luck
+1.82

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
28B. Guite10111012:05
94R. Smyth01111020:09
8W. Wolski00001011:25
11C. McCormick00002006:09
14I. Laperriere00002010:08
15A. Brunette00000019:08
17J. Hlinka00000017:13
19J. Sakic00000020:10
23M. Hejduk00000014:18
39T. Arnason00011019:43
54D. Jones00001117:01
55C. McLeod00000011:55

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
22S. Hannan01110018:50
4J. Liles00001019:47
6J. Finger00010119:37
24R. Salei00002115:33
34K. Sauer00000018:13
52A. Foote00002022:38

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
P. BudajNaN%
J. Theodore28292.9%59:13L

Shot map

44 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:58Penalty
  • P3 19:57COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P3 18:23CGYShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P3 17:48COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P3 17:31CGYShot on goalStephane Yelle
  • P3 16:02CGYShot on goalWayne Primeau
  • P3 12:50CGYShot on goalWayne Primeau
  • P3 12:09CGYShot on goalMatthew Lombardi
  • P3 05:52COLGoalBen Guite, Scott Hannan, Ryan Smyth
  • P3 05:50COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P3 04:49CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
  • P3 04:32COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P3 03:16CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
  • P3 02:38CGYShot on goalCraig Conroy
  • P3 01:50COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P2 18:16CGYShot on goalRobyn Regehr
  • P2 16:34CGYShot on goalStephane Yelle
  • P2 15:29COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P2 13:22COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P2 12:56CGYShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P2 12:47COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P2 11:40CGYShot on goalDaymond Langkow
  • P2 11:17CGYShot on goalKristian Huselius
  • P2 08:47COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P2 07:48CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
  • P2 06:34CGYShot on goalAnders Eriksson
  • P2 06:05CGYShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P2 04:03COLShot on goalDavid Jones
  • P2 03:31COLShot on goalDavid Jones
  • P2 03:04CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
  • P2 02:57CGYShot on goalMarcus Nilson
  • P2 01:49CGYShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P2 00:04COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P1 19:34Penalty
  • P1 17:55CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
  • P1 16:47Penalty
  • P1 16:26CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
  • P1 14:59CGYShot on goalMatthew Lombardi
  • P1 14:38CGYGoalCraig Conroy, Owen Nolan, Dion Phaneuf
  • P1 14:37CGYShot on goalDion Phaneuf
  • P1 13:02Penalty
  • P1 11:14Penalty
  • P1 10:53CGYShot on goalRobyn Regehr
  • P1 09:22CGYShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P1 08:47Penalty
  • P1 08:19CGYGoalDaymond Langkow, Jarome Iginla, Kristian Huselius
  • P1 08:17CGYShot on goalJarome Iginla
  • P1 07:56COLShot on goalKurt Sauer
  • P1 07:10Penalty
  • P1 05:30Penalty
  • P1 01:26COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P1 00:55COLShot on goalCody McCormick
  • P1 00:09Penalty
  • P1 00:09Penalty

COL vs CGY · 54 events