Forensic report
67 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
CAR
- Goals
- 5
- xG (flurry)
- 0.21
- xG (raw)
- 0.21
- Deserve %
- 48.0%
- Finishing luck
- +4.79
ATL
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.23
- xG (raw)
- 0.23
- Deserve %
- 52.0%
- Finishing luck
- +2.77
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | E. Staal | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | |
| 14 | S. Samsonov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:34 | |
| 51 | J. Hamilton | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:39 | |
| 19 | T. Letowski | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | |
| 26 | E. Cole | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:48 | |
| 34 | J. Jensen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 08:53 | |
| 15 | T. Ruutu | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | |
| 44 | P. Eaves | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 | |
| 18 | R. Bayda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:14 | |
| 24 | S. Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:31 | |
| 37 | K. Aucoin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | T. Conboy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 09:34 | |
| 2 | G. Wesley | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | |
| 5 | F. Kaberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 | |
| 6 | B. Hedican | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | |
| 7 | N. Wallin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:42 | |
| 42 | T. Gleason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:58 | |
| 77 | J. Corvo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:14 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 34 | 3 | 91.2% | 59:44 | W |
| J. Grahame | NaN% | — |
Shot map
67 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:57ATLShot on goalNiclas Havelid
- P3 19:21ATLGoalVyacheslav Kozlov, Bryan Little, Mark Recchi
- P3 18:56CARShot on goalJoe Jensen
- P3 18:54CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P3 16:31—Penalty—
- P3 16:07ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P3 14:51CARGoalErik Cole, Eric Staal, Sergei Samsonov
- P3 14:49CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P3 13:23—Penalty—
- P3 12:11CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P3 11:13ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P3 11:03CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P3 10:37CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P3 07:53ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P3 06:41ATLShot on goalBrad Larsen
- P3 06:38ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P3 05:32ATLShot on goalJim Slater
- P3 04:32CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P3 03:54CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P3 03:37ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
- P3 02:35ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P3 02:34ATLShot on goalJoel Kwiatkowski
- P3 01:34CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P2 18:53CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P2 17:19ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
- P2 17:01CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 16:57CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P2 15:13ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
- P2 14:14ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P2 12:42CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P2 11:54—Penalty—
- P2 11:53CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 11:46CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 10:21ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P2 09:32ATLShot on goalToby Enstrom
- P2 09:26ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P2 08:58ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P2 08:55—Penalty—
- P2 08:29CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 07:30CARShot on goalRyan Bayda
- P2 06:50ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
- P2 06:11ATLShot on goalSteve McCarthy
- P2 04:56ATLGoalSteve McCarthy, Chris Thorburn, Bobby Holik
- P2 04:19ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P2 04:17CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P2 03:35CARGoalJoe Jensen, Jeff Hamilton, Tim Conboy
- P2 02:21CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P2 01:56ATLGoalBryan Little, Vyacheslav Kozlov, Mark Recchi
- P2 00:33ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P1 19:37CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
- P1 18:07CARShot on goalTrevor Letowski
- P1 16:59ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P1 15:21ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P1 14:31CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P1 13:33CARGoalEric Staal, Jeff Hamilton
- P1 12:03CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 11:35ATLShot on goalJoel Kwiatkowski
- P1 11:04ATLShot on goalBoris Valabik
- P1 10:59ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P1 10:37ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P1 10:01ATLShot on goalTodd White
- P1 09:56ATLShot on goalTodd White
- P1 07:45CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P1 06:55CARGoalSergei Samsonov
- P1 06:15CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P1 05:44CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P1 04:33CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
- P1 04:04CARGoalTrevor Letowski, Patrick Eaves, Tuomo Ruutu
- P1 03:23ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
- P1 03:04ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P1 02:29CARShot on goalJoe Jensen
CAR vs ATL · 71 events