Forensic report
55 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
ATL
- Goals
- 1
- xG (flurry)
- 0.16
- xG (raw)
- 0.16
- Deserve %
- 52.1%
- Finishing luck
- +0.84
FLA
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.14
- xG (raw)
- 0.14
- Deserve %
- 47.9%
- Finishing luck
- +2.86
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | I. Kovalchuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:33 | |
| 10 | B. Little | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18:26 | |
| 8 | M. Recchi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 | |
| 9 | E. Christensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 11:39 | |
| 11 | E. Perrin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:23 | |
| 13 | V. Kozlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:08 | |
| 16 | B. Holik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:20 | |
| 19 | C. Armstrong | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 | |
| 23 | J. Slater | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:29 | |
| 27 | C. Thorburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 13:00 | |
| 29 | B. Larsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 06:06 | |
| 36 | E. Boulton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 03:52 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | J. Kwiatkowski | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18:24 | |
| 2 | G. Exelby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 15:37 | |
| 5 | S. McCarthy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 15:02 | |
| 22 | K. Klee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:23 | |
| 28 | N. Havelid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:27 | |
| 39 | T. Enstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25:45 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hedberg | 25 | 3 | 88.0% | 58:37 | L |
| K. Lehtonen | NaN% | — |
Shot map
55 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:41ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P3 19:34ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P3 19:10ATLShot on goalToby Enstrom
- P3 18:05ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P3 17:13ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
- P3 16:21FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P3 15:33ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
- P3 14:31ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
- P3 12:48ATLShot on goalJim Slater
- P3 10:47ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
- P3 10:06ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
- P3 06:26ATLShot on goalJim Slater
- P3 05:10FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
- P3 04:23ATLShot on goalBrad Larsen
- P3 03:57FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
- P3 01:07FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P3 00:17FLAGoalRostislav Olesz, Olli Jokinen, Brett McLean
- P2 19:55—Penalty—
- P2 19:42ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
- P2 19:20ATLShot on goalErik Christensen
- P2 18:30ATLShot on goalJoel Kwiatkowski
- P2 18:02FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P2 17:55FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P2 17:28ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
- P2 17:22—Penalty—
- P2 17:12FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
- P2 17:01—Penalty—
- P2 15:29ATLShot on goalErik Christensen
- P2 14:37ATLShot on goalBryan Little
- P2 10:59FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P2 09:30ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
- P2 08:50FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
- P2 08:31FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P2 07:47FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
- P2 06:18FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
- P2 06:14—Penalty—
- P2 05:58FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P2 05:02ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
- P2 04:41FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P2 04:14—Penalty—
- P2 04:14—Penalty—
- P2 04:14—Penalty—
- P2 04:14—Penalty—
- P2 03:25FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
- P2 01:00ATLGoalIlya Kovalchuk, Bryan Little, Joel Kwiatkowski
- P2 00:39FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
- P1 17:25ATLShot on goalToby Enstrom
- P1 17:07ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
- P1 17:00—Penalty—
- P1 15:54ATLShot on goalEric Perrin
- P1 15:42FLAShot on goalMagnus Johansson
- P1 14:35ATLShot on goalJim Slater
- P1 14:30ATLShot on goalJim Slater
- P1 13:38FLAGoalOlli Jokinen, Steve Montador, Brett McLean
- P1 13:31—Penalty—
- P1 12:30ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
- P1 11:27—Penalty—
- P1 11:10FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
- P1 10:17FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P1 10:02FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P1 06:24—Penalty—
- P1 06:16FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
- P1 06:10FLAShot on goalKarlis Skrastins
- P1 04:25ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
- P1 02:50—Penalty—
- P1 02:10—Penalty—
- P1 02:10—Penalty—
- P1 02:07FLAGoalRadek Dvorak, Ville Peltonen, Kamil Kreps
- P1 01:50ATLShot on goalErik Christensen
- P1 00:14ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
ATL vs FLA · 70 events