ForensicHockey

Forensic report

81 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: BOS

BOS

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.36
xG (raw)
0.36
Deserve %
60.5%
Finishing luck
+4.64

FLA

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.23
xG (raw)
0.24
Deserve %
39.5%
Finishing luck
+3.77

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
16M. Sturm12300018:51
91M. Savard022-21022:54
81P. Kessel10100017:25
12C. Kobasew01102018:32
17M. Lucic011-15016:45
46D. Krejci01101114:41
11P. Axelsson00000017:48
13G. Metropolit00000016:30
22S. Thornton000-12008:50
27G. Murray000-20020:17
53J. Reich00000007:21
60V. Sobotka00001008:04

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
6D. Wideman11201128:50
33Z. Chara10102529:33
21A. Ference00001126:28
34S. Hnidy000-20213:55
44A. Ward00004021:36
45M. Stuart000-22009:45

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. Auld150100.0%24:55W
T. Thomas12466.7%40:00

Shot map

81 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P5 00:00FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P5 00:00BOSShot on goalDavid Krejci
  • P5 00:00FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P5 00:00BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P5 00:00FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P5 00:00BOSGoalMarco Sturm, Tomas Vokoun
  • P4 03:47BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P4 03:46BOSShot on goalGlen Metropolit
  • P4 03:06FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P4 02:23BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P4 02:01FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P4 01:22BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P4 01:11BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P3 19:08FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P3 18:25BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P3 17:51BOSShot on goalChuck Kobasew
  • P3 16:24BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P3 15:11FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P3 14:48BOSGoalPhil Kessel, David Krejci, Milan Lucic
  • P3 14:21BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P3 13:10BOSGoalZdeno Chara, Marco Sturm, Marc Savard
  • P3 12:56Penalty
  • P3 12:13FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
  • P3 11:54BOSShot on goalChuck Kobasew
  • P3 11:54BOSShot on goalAaron Ward
  • P3 11:16FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P3 11:14FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P3 11:12FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P3 10:58BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P3 09:55Penalty
  • P3 09:48BOSShot on goalDennis Wideman
  • P3 08:33BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P3 08:01FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 06:25FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P3 05:54BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P3 05:03BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P3 04:15FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P3 03:46FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 03:06FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P3 02:59FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P3 01:10Penalty
  • P3 00:41FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P2 19:59FLAGoalKamil Kreps, David Booth
  • P2 19:52BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P2 19:46BOSShot on goalChuck Kobasew
  • P2 19:45BOSShot on goalMilan Lucic
  • P2 19:31BOSShot on goalAndrew Ference
  • P2 19:05BOSShot on goalChuck Kobasew
  • P2 18:12FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
  • P2 17:52BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P2 17:45Penalty
  • P2 17:37BOSShot on goalMark Stuart
  • P2 17:28BOSShot on goalShawn Thornton
  • P2 16:57BOSShot on goalShawn Thornton
  • P2 16:13BOSGoalDennis Wideman, Marc Savard, Marco Sturm
  • P2 15:45Penalty
  • P2 15:44BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P2 15:20BOSShot on goalShawn Thornton
  • P2 14:18BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P2 12:55Penalty
  • P2 12:11FLAGoalRostislav Olesz, Steve Montador, Ruslan Salei
  • P2 11:48BOSShot on goalShane Hnidy
  • P2 10:20BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P2 09:32FLAGoalSteve Montador, Rostislav Olesz, Gregory Campbell
  • P2 06:35FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P2 06:33FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P2 04:43FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
  • P2 04:35BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P2 02:53BOSShot on goalDavid Krejci
  • P2 01:58BOSGoalMarco Sturm, Chuck Kobasew, Dennis Wideman
  • P2 01:01BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P1 18:52BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P1 15:32FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P1 14:37FLAShot on goalDrew Larman
  • P1 14:07Penalty
  • P1 14:07Penalty
  • P1 12:36BOSShot on goalGlen Murray
  • P1 12:18BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P1 10:38FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P1 07:54BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P1 06:51BOSShot on goalDennis Wideman
  • P1 06:45BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P1 06:16BOSShot on goalShawn Thornton
  • P1 06:07Penalty
  • P1 06:07Penalty
  • P1 04:00BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P1 03:09BOSShot on goalGlen Murray
  • P1 02:40FLAGoalJay Bouwmeester, Bryan Allen, Kamil Kreps
  • P1 02:04BOSShot on goalVladimir Sobotka
  • P1 01:53BOSShot on goalJeremy Reich
  • P1 00:13FLAShot on goalNathan Horton

BOS vs FLA · 91 events