ForensicHockey

Forensic report

48 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: SJS

EDM

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.13
xG (raw)
0.13
Deserve %
40.6%
Finishing luck
+2.87

SJS

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
59.4%
Finishing luck
+1.80

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
34F. Pisani10100116:25
51K. Brodziak10110012:37
83A. Hemsky101-10115:02
18E. Moreau01111115:21
20C. Glencross01113007:08
27D. Penner011-10014:03
46Z. Stortini01111007:24
89S. Gagner011-11115:55
12R. Nilsson00000015:14
13A. Cogliano00000012:18
16J. Stoll00003020:38
19M. Reasoner00002216:46

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
2M. Greene000-15415:19
5L. Smid00002222:30
24S. Staios00001025:37
25J. Pitkanen00001023:25
37D. Grebeshkov00000010:08
77T. Gilbert00010119:29

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Garon30293.3%59:53W
D. RolosonNaN%

Shot map

48 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:51Penalty
  • P3 19:21Penalty
  • P3 18:17SJSShot on goalMarcel Goc
  • P3 17:53SJSShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P3 17:35EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P3 13:35EDMShot on goalLadislav Smid
  • P3 13:11Penalty
  • P3 13:07SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P3 10:55SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P3 08:59SJSShot on goalTomas Plihal
  • P3 08:34SJSGoalMike Grier, Craig Rivet
  • P3 08:07EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P3 08:05EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P3 07:09Penalty
  • P3 03:33EDMGoalFernando Pisani, Ethan Moreau
  • P3 02:28SJSShot on goalMike Grier
  • P3 02:05SJSShot on goalTomas Plihal
  • P3 01:42EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P2 19:56SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P2 19:47SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P2 19:35SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
  • P2 17:58SJSShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P2 16:43SJSGoalJoe Pavelski, Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Milan Michalek
  • P2 15:43EDMShot on goalMatt Greene
  • P2 14:52Penalty
  • P2 14:52Penalty
  • P2 14:51SJSShot on goalMarc-Edouard Vlasic
  • P2 14:37SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P2 14:19SJSShot on goalJody Shelley
  • P2 13:02SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
  • P2 12:29SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P2 10:52SJSShot on goalMarcel Goc
  • P2 10:32EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P2 10:20EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P2 09:55SJSShot on goalMike Grier
  • P2 09:33EDMGoalKyle Brodziak, Zack Stortini, Curtis Glencross
  • P2 08:58SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P2 01:31EDMGoalAles Hemsky, Sam Gagner, Dustin Penner
  • P2 01:30EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P2 00:45SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
  • P1 19:41Penalty
  • P1 19:41Penalty
  • P1 19:41Penalty
  • P1 18:42Penalty
  • P1 18:03EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P1 16:07SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
  • P1 15:55Penalty
  • P1 14:21EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 13:23SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
  • P1 11:37Penalty
  • P1 11:18Penalty
  • P1 09:18SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
  • P1 08:54SJSShot on goalJody Shelley
  • P1 08:53SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
  • P1 06:52EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P1 06:31EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 06:05EDMShot on goalJarret Stoll
  • P1 04:47Penalty
  • P1 04:47Penalty
  • P1 04:47EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P1 04:28SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
  • P1 04:25SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
  • P1 00:35SJSShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P1 00:09Penalty

EDM vs SJS · 64 events