Forensic report
64 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TOR
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.19
- xG (raw)
- 0.19
- Deserve %
- 43.5%
- Finishing luck
- +1.81
CAR
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.25
- xG (raw)
- 0.25
- Deserve %
- 56.5%
- Finishing luck
- +2.75
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | M. Sundin | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:01 | |
| 11 | J. Tlusty | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 19:26 | |
| 16 | D. Tucker | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:30 | |
| 3 | W. Belak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 04:04 | |
| 14 | M. Stajan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23:32 | |
| 19 | D. Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | |
| 21 | J. Pohl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 07:26 | |
| 26 | B. Ondrus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 03:51 | |
| 42 | K. Wellwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 09:22 | |
| 54 | K. Newbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 05:21 | |
| 55 | J. Blake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | |
| 80 | N. Antropov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 25:08 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | H. Gill | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21:14 | |
| 7 | I. White | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 15:37 | |
| 8 | C. Colaiacovo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 16:54 | |
| 15 | T. Kaberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:56 | |
| 31 | P. Kubina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27:07 | |
| 36 | A. Stralman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:27 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Raycroft | NaN% | — | |||
| V. Toskala | 38 | 3 | 92.1% | 62:32 | O |
Shot map
64 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P4 03:20—Penalty—
- P4 03:20—Penalty—
- P4 03:20CARGoalRod Brind'Amour, Ray Whitney, Cory Stillman
- P4 02:46CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P4 02:34—Penalty—
- P4 01:53CARShot on goalMike Commodore
- P4 01:36TORShot on goalMats Sundin
- P4 01:17CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P4 00:47CARShot on goalGlen Wesley
- P3 19:48TORGoalMats Sundin, Darcy Tucker
- P3 19:40TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P3 19:29TORShot on goalMats Sundin
- P3 19:01TORShot on goalMats Sundin
- P3 18:49CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P3 17:44CARShot on goalCory Stillman
- P3 16:13TORShot on goalIan White
- P3 14:05CARShot on goalCory Stillman
- P3 13:14—Penalty—
- P3 11:32TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P3 08:05TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
- P3 07:35TORShot on goalIan White
- P3 05:58TORShot on goalJiri Tlusty
- P3 04:18CARShot on goalMike Commodore
- P3 03:29CARGoalScott Walker, Tim Gleason, Bret Hedican
- P3 03:23CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P3 02:31TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
- P3 00:46TORShot on goalAnton Stralman
- P2 19:38CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P2 19:27CARShot on goalBret Hedican
- P2 18:21CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P2 18:13CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P2 18:11CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P2 17:58—Penalty—
- P2 17:57CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P2 17:50CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P2 17:05TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
- P2 14:33CARShot on goalCory Stillman
- P2 13:19CARGoalTim Gleason, Scott Walker, Ray Whitney
- P2 11:57CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 11:25CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 09:08CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P2 08:46TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
- P2 08:25—Penalty—
- P2 08:25—Penalty—
- P2 07:04TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P2 06:50TORShot on goalNik Antropov
- P2 05:40CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 05:21—Penalty—
- P2 04:52TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 03:45TORShot on goalMats Sundin
- P2 03:11CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P2 01:38TORShot on goalJohn Pohl
- P2 01:23CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P2 01:12TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P2 00:34CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 19:59CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P1 17:39CARShot on goalCory Stillman
- P1 17:18CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
- P1 16:23—Penalty—
- P1 15:46CARShot on goalJeff Hamilton
- P1 14:55TORShot on goalJason Blake
- P1 13:02CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P1 09:45CARShot on goalCory Stillman
- P1 08:15CARShot on goalBret Hedican
- P1 07:20—Penalty—
- P1 06:30CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P1 05:16TORShot on goalDominic Moore
- P1 04:15CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 04:00CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P1 03:50CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P1 03:20TORGoalJiri Tlusty, Mats Sundin, Hal Gill
- P1 02:30TORShot on goalKris Newbury
- P1 00:58TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
- P1 00:56TORShot on goalJason Blake
TOR vs CAR · 74 events