ForensicHockey

Forensic report

57 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: TBL

COL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
45.5%
Finishing luck
+2.82

TBL

Goals
0
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
54.5%
Finishing luck
-0.21

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
26P. Stastny11210019:29
15A. Brunette02210016:07
23M. Hejduk10110017:55
39T. Arnason01100017:11
8W. Wolski00001020:17
11C. McCormick00003016:22
14I. Laperriere00000011:14
17J. Hlinka00001113:38
27S. Parker00001005:46
28B. Guite00002112:09
40M. Svatos00003016:43
55C. McLeod00001009:10

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
6J. Finger10111417:45
4J. Liles01101013:36
5B. Clark01101023:17
3K. Skrastins00000223:38
22S. Hannan00012321:40
44J. Leopold00000020:04

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
P. BudajNaN%
J. Theodore320100.0%59:59W

Shot map

57 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 18:52TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
  • P3 18:26COLGoalMilan Hejduk, Andrew Brunette, Paul Stastny
  • P3 17:53TBLShot on goalPaul Ranger
  • P3 17:46TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P3 16:54TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P3 16:35TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P3 15:51Penalty
  • P3 13:52TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P3 12:44TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P3 11:50Penalty
  • P3 11:18COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P3 10:05TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P3 10:02TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
  • P3 09:49TBLShot on goalJan Hlavac
  • P3 07:40TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P3 07:37TBLShot on goalJan Hlavac
  • P3 05:55TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P3 05:55TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P3 05:41TBLShot on goalDoug Janik
  • P3 05:30TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P3 05:24TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P3 04:23TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P3 03:51COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P3 02:38TBLShot on goalAndre Roy
  • P3 01:38TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P3 01:33TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P3 01:03COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P3 00:33TBLShot on goalJan Hlavac
  • P2 19:17COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P2 18:26TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P2 17:31TBLShot on goalChris Gratton
  • P2 16:27COLGoalPaul Stastny, Andrew Brunette, Brett Clark
  • P2 16:26COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P2 16:25COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P2 14:31Penalty
  • P2 11:32COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P2 09:02TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
  • P2 07:52COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P2 06:36Penalty
  • P2 06:10COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P2 05:30COLGoalJeff Finger, John-Michael Liles, Tyler Arnason
  • P2 05:14Penalty
  • P2 04:59COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P2 02:32COLShot on goalCody McCormick
  • P2 00:59COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P2 00:57COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P1 19:59TBLShot on goalShane O'Brien
  • P1 18:27COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P1 18:20COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P1 16:47COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 15:10COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P1 13:01COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 11:36COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P1 11:04TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
  • P1 09:42TBLShot on goalKyle Wanvig
  • P1 09:32TBLShot on goalKyle Wanvig
  • P1 09:01TBLShot on goalJan Hlavac
  • P1 08:21TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P1 07:25COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P1 05:10COLShot on goalCody McCormick
  • P1 05:06COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P1 03:47TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P1 01:51Penalty
  • P1 01:51Penalty
  • P1 01:27Penalty
  • P1 01:27Penalty

COL vs TBL · 66 events