ForensicHockey

Oilers

Oilers

Final/OT

45

SOG 2130

Stars

Stars

Forensic report

51 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: DAL

EDM

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.12
xG (raw)
0.12
Deserve %
38.7%
Finishing luck
+3.88

DAL

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
61.3%
Finishing luck
+4.81

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
27D. Penner11222016:51
10S. Horcoff10120120:32
89S. Gagner10101111:45
12R. Nilsson01100010:16
14R. Torres01100014:25
16J. Stoll011-12016:41
34F. Pisani011-10015:22
83A. Hemsky01120118:00
13A. Cogliano000-10013:00
19M. Reasoner000-10017:15
28P. Thoresen00001010:40
51K. Brodziak000-10016:02

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
77T. Gilbert10122328:20
5L. Smid000-23221:54
24S. Staios000-21424:55
25J. Pitkanen00034127:29
37D. Grebeshkov000-10115:19
52A. Rourke000-10109:18

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Garon24291.7%54:54O
D. Roloson6350.0%09:06

Shot map

51 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P4 04:00DALGoalBrenden Morrow, Sergei Zubov, Matt Niskanen
  • P4 03:36DALShot on goalSergei Zubov
  • P4 02:57DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P4 02:04Penalty
  • P4 01:20DALShot on goalSergei Zubov
  • P3 19:25DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P3 15:24DALShot on goalNiklas Hagman
  • P3 13:36EDMShot on goalRaffi Torres
  • P3 12:44EDMShot on goalRaffi Torres
  • P3 11:16DALShot on goalSergei Zubov
  • P3 10:36EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 10:36EDMGoalShawn Horcoff, Dustin Penner, Ales Hemsky
  • P3 09:32EDMShot on goalKyle Brodziak
  • P3 08:44DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P3 07:49Penalty
  • P3 07:44DALShot on goalAntti Miettinen
  • P3 07:23EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P3 06:52DALShot on goalMatt Niskanen
  • P3 03:15EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P2 19:01EDMShot on goalRaffi Torres
  • P2 15:43DALShot on goalChris Conner
  • P2 14:20DALGoalSergei Zubov, Antti Miettinen, Mike Ribeiro
  • P2 13:11DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P2 11:38DALShot on goalStephane Robidas
  • P2 10:40EDMGoalTom Gilbert, Raffi Torres, Jarret Stoll
  • P2 08:49DALShot on goalAntti Miettinen
  • P2 08:33DALShot on goalBrenden Morrow
  • P2 08:19DALShot on goalMike Ribeiro
  • P2 07:43DALShot on goalNiklas Hagman
  • P2 05:35Penalty
  • P2 04:58DALShot on goalTrevor Daley
  • P2 04:43DALShot on goalJeff Halpern
  • P2 03:50EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P2 03:34EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P2 03:13Penalty
  • P2 02:39DALShot on goalStu Barnes
  • P2 02:01EDMShot on goalKyle Brodziak
  • P2 00:41EDMShot on goalShawn Horcoff
  • P1 19:34DALShot on goalBrenden Morrow
  • P1 17:30DALShot on goalSergei Zubov
  • P1 15:00EDMShot on goalKyle Brodziak
  • P1 12:57EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P1 09:28DALShot on goalAntti Miettinen
  • P1 09:06DALGoalMike Modano, Jussi Jokinen, Sergei Zubov
  • P1 09:05DALShot on goalSergei Zubov
  • P1 08:26EDMGoalDustin Penner
  • P1 08:14EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P1 07:29EDMShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 07:06DALGoalMatt Niskanen, Sergei Zubov, Jeff Halpern
  • P1 06:44DALGoalMike Ribeiro, Antti Miettinen, Matt Niskanen
  • P1 05:32EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P1 05:20DALShot on goalJeff Halpern
  • P1 04:39Penalty
  • P1 04:38DALShot on goalMike Modano
  • P1 04:26EDMGoalSam Gagner, Robert Nilsson, Fernando Pisani
  • P1 04:07EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P1 00:53Penalty

EDM vs DAL · 57 events