Forensic report
56 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
BUF
- Goals
- 7
- xG (flurry)
- 0.25
- xG (raw)
- 0.25
- Deserve %
- 61.8%
- Finishing luck
- +6.75
SJS
- Goals
- 1
- xG (flurry)
- 0.15
- xG (raw)
- 0.16
- Deserve %
- 38.2%
- Finishing luck
- +0.85
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | P. Gaustad | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20:01 | |
| 9 | D. Roy | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24:39 | |
| 19 | T. Connolly | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 | |
| 12 | A. Kotalik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | |
| 26 | T. Vanek | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | |
| 37 | M. Ryan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 09:26 | |
| 21 | D. Stafford | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | |
| 22 | A. Mair | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 06:36 | |
| 29 | J. Pominville | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 18:40 | |
| 61 | M. Afinogenov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | |
| 55 | J. Hecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:56 | |
| 76 | A. Peters | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 01:50 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | T. Lydman | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:58 | |
| 51 | B. Campbell | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25:24 | |
| 4 | N. Pratt | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 13:50 | |
| 38 | N. Paetsch | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | |
| 6 | J. Spacek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21:18 | |
| 44 | A. Sekera | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22:40 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Miller | 22 | 1 | 95.5% | 60:00 | W |
| J. Thibault | NaN% | — |
Shot map
56 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:52SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
- P3 19:24—Penalty—
- P3 19:24—Penalty—
- P3 19:24BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
- P3 18:25BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
- P3 17:43BUFGoalThomas Vanek, Nathan Paetsch, Jason Pominville
- P3 17:10BUFShot on goalBrian Campbell
- P3 16:36—Penalty—
- P3 16:36—Penalty—
- P3 16:03BUFGoalPaul Gaustad, Maxim Afinogenov, Nolan Pratt
- P3 15:07SJSShot on goalDevin Setoguchi
- P3 15:06SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
- P3 15:05SJSShot on goalDevin Setoguchi
- P3 12:32BUFGoalDerek Roy, Drew Stafford, Brian Campbell
- P3 12:25BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
- P3 08:49BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
- P3 06:40—Penalty—
- P3 05:00SJSShot on goalMilan Michalek
- P3 04:25—Penalty—
- P3 04:23SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
- P3 02:38BUFShot on goalBrian Campbell
- P3 01:11SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
- P2 18:40BUFShot on goalMichael Ryan
- P2 17:14BUFGoalPaul Gaustad, Brian Campbell, Tim Connolly
- P2 17:08BUFShot on goalBrian Campbell
- P2 16:04—Penalty—
- P2 14:48SJSShot on goalAlexei Semenov
- P2 14:22—Penalty—
- P2 14:09BUFShot on goalMaxim Afinogenov
- P2 13:23BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
- P2 13:22BUFShot on goalNathan Paetsch
- P2 12:26BUFGoalMichael Ryan, Adam Mair, Toni Lydman
- P2 11:55SJSShot on goalMike Grier
- P2 10:55BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
- P2 10:23BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
- P2 08:40SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
- P2 08:22SJSShot on goalAlexei Semenov
- P2 07:33BUFGoalTim Connolly
- P2 06:43SJSShot on goalDevin Setoguchi
- P2 06:37—Penalty—
- P2 06:17SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
- P2 06:06SJSShot on goalJeremy Roenick
- P2 05:11BUFShot on goalBrian Campbell
- P2 05:01BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
- P2 04:06BUFGoalAles Kotalik, Derek Roy, Toni Lydman
- P2 03:20SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
- P2 03:12BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
- P2 02:00—Penalty—
- P2 01:59SJSShot on goalAlexei Semenov
- P2 00:16BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
- P1 18:28BUFShot on goalMaxim Afinogenov
- P1 16:50SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
- P1 16:18SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
- P1 14:53—Penalty—
- P1 14:01SJSGoalSandis Ozolinsh, Joe Pavelski, Patrick Marleau
- P1 07:40BUFShot on goalAndrew Peters
- P1 07:09BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
- P1 07:07BUFShot on goalAndrej Sekera
- P1 06:24SJSShot on goalSandis Ozolinsh
- P1 05:16SJSShot on goalMike Grier
- P1 03:12—Penalty—
- P1 03:10BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
- P1 03:08BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
- P1 02:13SJSShot on goalMike Grier
- P1 01:44BUFShot on goalNathan Paetsch
- P1 01:05BUFShot on goalMaxim Afinogenov
- P1 00:49BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
- P1 00:29BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
BUF vs SJS · 68 events