Forensic report
56 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
BUF
- Goals
- 1
- xG (flurry)
- 0.14
- xG (raw)
- 0.14
- Deserve %
- 40.0%
- Finishing luck
- +0.86
ANA
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.21
- xG (raw)
- 0.21
- Deserve %
- 60.0%
- Finishing luck
- +3.79
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | J. Hecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 | |
| 19 | T. Connolly | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:41 | |
| 29 | J. Pominville | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | |
| 9 | D. Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:46 | |
| 12 | A. Kotalik | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 15:17 | |
| 20 | D. Paille | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | |
| 21 | D. Stafford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 | |
| 22 | A. Mair | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 10:27 | |
| 26 | T. Vanek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | |
| 28 | P. Gaustad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 16:35 | |
| 61 | M. Afinogenov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | |
| 76 | A. Peters | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 05:39 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | N. Pratt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 14:21 | |
| 5 | T. Lydman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 20:38 | |
| 6 | J. Spacek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | |
| 38 | N. Paetsch | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 | |
| 44 | A. Sekera | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 20:30 | |
| 51 | B. Campbell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:43 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Miller | 33 | 4 | 87.9% | 59:54 | L |
| J. Thibault | NaN% | — |
Shot map
56 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 20:00—Penalty—
- P3 20:00—Penalty—
- P3 20:00—Penalty—
- P3 18:37ANAShot on goalChris Pronger
- P3 17:20ANAShot on goalRyan Getzlaf
- P3 17:04ANAShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P3 15:50BUFShot on goalDaniel Paille
- P3 15:02BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
- P3 14:34BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
- P3 11:28BUFShot on goalNolan Pratt
- P3 11:17BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
- P3 11:03ANAGoalCorey Perry, Francois Beauchemin, Mathieu Schneider
- P3 10:35—Penalty—
- P3 10:31BUFShot on goalMaxim Afinogenov
- P3 09:13BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
- P3 08:51—Penalty—
- P3 08:16BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
- P3 07:37BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
- P3 06:54BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
- P3 06:22—Penalty—
- P3 06:21ANAShot on goalTodd Marchant
- P3 06:02BUFShot on goalNathan Paetsch
- P3 03:45—Penalty—
- P3 03:45—Penalty—
- P3 03:22—Penalty—
- P3 03:22—Penalty—
- P3 03:19ANAShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P3 01:58ANAShot on goalRyan Getzlaf
- P3 00:59ANAShot on goalRob Niedermayer
- P3 00:51BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
- P2 19:56ANAShot on goalChris Pronger
- P2 19:48—Penalty—
- P2 18:20ANAGoalTodd Bertuzzi, Andy McDonald
- P2 17:25BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
- P2 16:16ANAShot on goalRob Niedermayer
- P2 15:55—Penalty—
- P2 15:05BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
- P2 13:52ANAShot on goalRyan Getzlaf
- P2 12:22ANAGoalMathieu Schneider, Chris Pronger, Ryan Getzlaf
- P2 11:52—Penalty—
- P2 10:57ANAShot on goalGeorge Parros
- P2 08:49ANAShot on goalChris Kunitz
- P2 08:41—Penalty—
- P2 08:18ANAShot on goalCorey Perry
- P2 08:04BUFShot on goalAndrej Sekera
- P2 06:08ANAShot on goalDrew Miller
- P2 06:03ANAShot on goalTodd Marchant
- P2 04:31ANAShot on goalTravis Moen
- P2 03:48ANAShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P2 02:46ANAShot on goalDrew Miller
- P2 01:32ANAShot on goalTodd Bertuzzi
- P2 00:32ANAShot on goalSamuel Pahlsson
- P2 00:21ANAShot on goalCorey Perry
- P1 16:20BUFShot on goalDerek Roy
- P1 16:17BUFShot on goalAndrej Sekera
- P1 15:33ANAGoalAndy McDonald, Kent Huskins, Joe Dipenta
- P1 14:24ANAShot on goalSamuel Pahlsson
- P1 13:44ANAShot on goalMathieu Schneider
- P1 13:07—Penalty—
- P1 13:07—Penalty—
- P1 11:42ANAShot on goalCorey Perry
- P1 11:33BUFShot on goalToni Lydman
- P1 11:03ANAShot on goalChris Kunitz
- P1 09:49BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
- P1 09:33BUFShot on goalDaniel Paille
- P1 09:10BUFShot on goalDaniel Paille
- P1 09:02ANAShot on goalAndy McDonald
- P1 05:50ANAShot on goalGeorge Parros
- P1 04:07BUFGoalJochen Hecht, Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
- P1 03:49BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
- P1 01:55ANAShot on goalJoe Dipenta
- P1 01:42ANAShot on goalRyan Getzlaf
BUF vs ANA · 72 events