ForensicHockey

Forensic report

52 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

MIN

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.14
xG (raw)
0.14
Deserve %
41.2%
Finishing luck
+0.86

COL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
58.8%
Finishing luck
+2.80

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
25E. Belanger101-11017:53
96P. Bouchard011-10115:24
9M. Koivu000-11120:32
12B. Rolston00001119:52
15J. Sheppard00001012:00
19S. Veilleux000-11022:30
21M. Parrish000-10115:40
22C. Clutterbuck00000007:03
24D. Boogaard00002004:28
37W. Walz00000013:53
83M. Foy00002011:44
92B. Radivojevic000-13116:03

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
26K. Foster01100017:29
5K. Johnsson00000121:12
8B. Burns000-24023:42
33P. Nummelin00000216:14
41M. Skoula000-22119:06
55N. Schultz00000119:36

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
J. Harding30390.0%60:00L
N. SchaeferNaN%

Shot map

52 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:23COLGoalWojtek Wolski, Paul Stastny, Andrew Brunette
  • P3 17:57COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 17:44Penalty
  • P3 17:02MINShot on goalPetteri Nummelin
  • P3 17:00MINShot on goalPetteri Nummelin
  • P3 14:31MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P3 13:31Penalty
  • P3 12:47COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 07:47MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P3 06:55Penalty
  • P3 06:43MINShot on goalStephane Veilleux
  • P3 05:54MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P3 05:20COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P3 04:57MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P3 03:53COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P2 19:59COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P2 19:05COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P2 19:00COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P2 16:58MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P2 15:30COLGoalMarek Svatos, Ryan Smyth, Joe Sakic
  • P2 14:03MINShot on goalStephane Veilleux
  • P2 12:03MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P2 09:56MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P2 07:07COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P2 06:55COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P2 05:06COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P2 04:57MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P2 04:44Penalty
  • P2 04:09COLShot on goalWyatt Smith
  • P2 03:42COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P2 03:25COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P2 03:19COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P2 02:42COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P2 02:40COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P2 01:19COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P1 18:01COLShot on goalWyatt Smith
  • P1 16:32COLShot on goalKurt Sauer
  • P1 16:28COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P1 15:42MINGoalEric Belanger, Pierre-Marc Bouchard, Kurtis Foster
  • P1 15:13Penalty
  • P1 13:57COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P1 11:46MINShot on goalNick Schultz
  • P1 10:53COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P1 10:39COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P1 08:41COLShot on goalJaroslav Hlinka
  • P1 08:29COLGoalRyan Smyth, Joe Sakic
  • P1 07:42MINShot on goalStephane Veilleux
  • P1 06:47COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P1 05:44MINShot on goalNick Schultz
  • P1 05:19MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P1 04:55COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P1 04:48MINShot on goalPetteri Nummelin
  • P1 04:31MINShot on goalEric Belanger
  • P1 04:05COLShot on goalJeff Finger
  • P1 03:25MINShot on goalStephane Veilleux
  • P1 02:52MINShot on goalPetteri Nummelin
  • P1 02:39MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P1 01:17Penalty

MIN vs COL · 58 events