ForensicHockey

Forensic report

63 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

COL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.22
xG (raw)
0.22
Deserve %
52.1%
Finishing luck
+1.78

MIN

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
47.9%
Finishing luck
+2.80

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
15A. Brunette10112220:07
39T. Arnason10100013:13
8W. Wolski01111115:41
19J. Sakic01110123:24
40M. Svatos011-10015:02
10W. Smith00000014:28
14I. Laperriere00002013:29
17J. Hlinka00000007:27
26P. Stastny000-10022:38
27S. Parker00000001:12
28B. Guite00000211:44
94R. Smyth000-11023:43

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
34K. Sauer01112112:54
4J. Liles00000319:31
5B. Clark00001223:38
6J. Finger000-11316:16
22S. Hannan00001322:59
44J. Leopold00000215:19

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
P. Budaj32390.6%59:00L
J. TheodoreNaN%

Shot map

63 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:37COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 18:56COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P3 17:28MINShot on goalWes Walz
  • P3 17:17MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P3 16:56MINGoalMikko Koivu
  • P3 15:25COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P3 13:17MINShot on goalEric Belanger
  • P3 12:45MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P3 11:38MINShot on goalMarian Gaborik
  • P3 10:16COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P3 09:14MINShot on goalMarian Gaborik
  • P3 08:26Penalty
  • P3 07:04COLShot on goalKurt Sauer
  • P3 05:33COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 04:18MINShot on goalBranko Radivojevic
  • P3 03:45COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P3 03:36COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 02:31COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 00:30MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P3 00:17MINShot on goalMartin Skoula
  • P2 19:58MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P2 18:08Penalty
  • P2 16:08MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P2 15:37MINShot on goalKim Johnsson
  • P2 14:07COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P2 14:05COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P2 13:57MINShot on goalBranko Radivojevic
  • P2 13:49COLGoalAndrew Brunette, Kurt Sauer, Wojtek Wolski
  • P2 13:47COLShot on goalKurt Sauer
  • P2 13:32MINShot on goalMarian Gaborik
  • P2 12:26COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P2 11:38COLGoalTyler Arnason, Marek Svatos, Joe Sakic
  • P2 10:03Penalty
  • P2 08:41MINShot on goalPetteri Nummelin
  • P2 08:25MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P2 08:15MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P2 07:22MINGoalBrian Rolston, Kurtis Foster, Pavol Demitra
  • P2 07:06MINShot on goalBrian Rolston
  • P2 07:01MINShot on goalKurtis Foster
  • P2 06:29Penalty
  • P2 05:58Penalty
  • P2 05:27COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P2 05:20MINGoalMark Parrish, Marian Gaborik, Pavol Demitra
  • P2 04:52MINShot on goalKurtis Foster
  • P2 04:30Penalty
  • P2 04:11COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P2 03:00COLShot on goalWyatt Smith
  • P2 02:30MINShot on goalKurtis Foster
  • P2 02:25MINShot on goalKurtis Foster
  • P1 19:52COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P1 19:41Penalty
  • P1 18:05COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P1 17:32COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 17:30COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P1 17:18COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 16:08Penalty
  • P1 15:49MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P1 15:04COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P1 13:13COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P1 13:05MINShot on goalMarian Gaborik
  • P1 12:59MINShot on goalMark Parrish
  • P1 12:51MINShot on goalMark Parrish
  • P1 12:11MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P1 11:04Penalty
  • P1 10:09COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P1 09:32Penalty
  • P1 09:22MINShot on goalJames Sheppard
  • P1 08:22COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P1 07:52COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 07:33COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P1 07:05COLShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P1 06:35COLShot on goalJoe Sakic
  • P1 05:58Penalty
  • P1 05:10MINShot on goalPetteri Nummelin

COL vs MIN · 74 events